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Housing in Surprise

3,934 homes sold in Surprise in the last year, at a typical $423K

Almost every sale is a house. Below: what each kind of home sells for, what your budget buys, the best months to buy, how hard you’ll have to bid, and a shortcut to every site where Surprise homes are listed.

Homes sold
3,934
June 2025 to May 2026
Typical sale price
$423K
houses $426K · condos $202K
Price per square foot
$225
Arizona $253
Paid vs. asking
98.7%
16% sold over asking
For sale now
1,349
May 2026 · 383 sold that month
What sold · last 12 months

2% of Surprise’s sales are condos, at $224K less than a house

3802 houses and 81 condos sold in the year to May 2026. Houses sell faster and draw more bidding wars.

Houses$426K

typical sale · 3802 sold in 12 months

Per square foot
$225AZ $251
Days to sell
74
Sold over asking
16%
Listings with a price cut
30%
Condos$202K

typical sale · 81 sold in 12 months

Per square foot
$231AZ $279
Days to sell
95
Sold over asking
7%
Listings with a price cut
29%
Fewer sales

Multi-family (2–4 units): 3 sold, typical $893K
Townhouses: 48 sold, typical $302K

Too few sales in 12 months for reliable figures.

14 years of sales

About as many homes sell as usual, at twice the 2016 price

3,934 sales in the last year, against 4,153 in 2020 and a low of 3,203 in 2014. The typical sale went from $214K in 2016 to $423K.

Homes soldTypical sale price
01050210031504200$200K$300K$400K$500K2012: 3541 sold, typical $144K’122013: 3546 sold, typical $170K2014: 3203 sold, typical $184K’142015: 3267 sold, typical $198K2016: 3459 sold, typical $214K’162017: 3789 sold, typical $229K2018: 3782 sold, typical $250K’182019: 4122 sold, typical $266K2020: 4153 sold, typical $298K’202021: 4106 sold, typical $387K2022: 3229 sold, typical $451K’222023: 3311 sold, typical $422K2024: 3362 sold, typical $433K’242025: 3675 sold, typical $423KLast 12 months: 3934 sold, typical $423KNow

Source: Redfin Data Center, MLS sales. Typical price and $/sq ft are the monthly medians, weighted by sales.

What your budget buys

What $400K buys in Surprise

Houseat $225 a sq ft
Condoat $231 a sq ft
The same money in Arizonaat $251 a sq ft

Is this asking price fair?

Check a listing against what Surprise homes sold for

Against the town’s median price per square foot over the last 12 months. A rough check: condition, lot and location within town move a price more than this can see.

What the sales history says · 14 years of sales

Bidding wars in Surprise are back to pre-pandemic levels, and more homes are for sale

We read every month of Surprise’s home sales since 2012 so you don’t have to. Each figure covers 12 months, because a single month in a town is too few sales to mean much. Latest: the year to May 2026, 3,934 sales.

If you’re buying in Surprise

  • Shop in January. It brings about 385 new listings a month, close to the busiest month, with fewer bidding wars (19% over asking).
  • You can negotiate. 30% of listings have cut their price, against 25% before the pandemic.
  • Bid near asking. Buyers paid 98.7% of the list price on average; 16% paid over.
  • You’ll usually have time. Only 16% of homes go under contract within two weeks; the typical one takes 74 days.
Best time to buy

Spring brings the homes; summer brings the bidding wars

March has the most new listings (about 404 a month), but July is the most competitive: 25% of July sales close over asking. January and February offer nearly as much choice with fewer homes bid up (19%). January has the least competition (19%).

New listings a monthShare sold over asking
0101.3202.5303.840513%27%40%Sweet spotJan: 385 new listings a month, 19% sold over asking, 51 days to sellJFeb: 349 new listings a month, 22% sold over asking, 50 days to sellFMar: 404 new listings a month, 23% sold over asking, 46 days to sellMApr: 392 new listings a month, 25% sold over asking, 42 days to sellAMay: 379 new listings a month, 24% sold over asking, 43 days to sellMJun: 353 new listings a month, 24% sold over asking, 44 days to sellJJul: 351 new listings a month, 25% sold over asking, 43 days to sellJAug: 367 new listings a month, 24% sold over asking, 44 days to sellASep: 363 new listings a month, 24% sold over asking, 43 days to sellSOct: 381 new listings a month, 23% sold over asking, 45 days to sellONov: 307 new listings a month, 22% sold over asking, 43 days to sellNDec: 241 new listings a month, 22% sold over asking, 48 days to sellD

Averages for each calendar month, 2015 on.

How competitive is it now?

Calmer than the 2021 frenzy, and about like Arizona as a whole

Surprise now2017–192021 peakAZ now
Sold over askingShare of sales that closed above the list price16%16%56%13%
Gone within two weeksShare of homes under contract within 14 days16%40%66%22%
Listings with a price cutShare of homes for sale that cut their price30%25%15%29%
Price paid vs. askingAverage sale price ÷ list price98.7%98.7%101.9%97.8%
Days to sellMedian days from listing to contract74432667
Supply

1502 homes for sale on a typical day

That’s 4 times the 2021 low (371) and 113% more than in 2017–19.

2012: 923 for sale’122013: 881 for sale2014: 910 for sale2015: 716 for sale’152016: 801 for sale2017: 734 for sale2018: 703 for sale’182019: 680 for sale2020: 499 for sale2021: 371 for sale’212022: 694 for sale2023: 818 for sale2024: 1084 for sale’242025: 1489 for saleLast 12 months: 1502 for saleNow
Room to negotiate

1 in 3 listings has cut its price

30% in the last year, against 25% in 2017–19 and 29% across Arizona.

2015: 25%’152016: 24%2017: 25%2018: 26%’182019: 25%2020: 20%2021: 15%’212022: 38%2023: 30%2024: 27%’242025: 30%Last 12 months: 30%Now
Prices by type

Since 2019, houses are up 59%, condos 56%

A house typically sold for $426K in the last year (3802 sales), a condo for $202K (81).

$125K$250K$375K$500K2013201520172019202120232025NowHouses 2013: $172K, 3398 salesHouses 2014: $186K, 3062 salesHouses 2015: $200K, 3113 salesHouses 2016: $217K, 3305 salesHouses 2017: $232K, 3622 salesHouses 2018: $252K, 3646 salesHouses 2019: $268K, 3934 salesHouses 2020: $302K, 4010 salesHouses 2021: $390K, 3962 salesHouses 2022: $456K, 3092 salesHouses 2023: $425K, 3176 salesHouses 2024: $436K, 3241 salesHouses 2025: $427K, 3544 salesHouses last 12 months: $426K, 3802 salesHouses $426KCondos 2013: $78K, 105 salesCondos 2014: $86K, 97 salesCondos 2015: $84K, 105 salesCondos 2016: $110K, 111 salesCondos 2017: $119K, 124 salesCondos 2018: $130K, 92 salesCondos 2019: $129K, 131 salesCondos 2020: $154K, 99 salesCondos 2021: $187K, 108 salesCondos 2022: $225K, 85 salesCondos 2023: $243K, 78 salesCondos 2024: $224K, 78 salesCondos 2025: $213K, 81 salesCondos last 12 months: $202K, 81 salesCondos $202K

Median sale price, weighted by sales each month. Years with fewer than 4 sales of a type are left out.

Across Arizona

Surprise ranks 22nd of 97 busy Arizona markets for bidding wars

Share of sales over asking in the last year, among towns with 60 or more sales. Surprise is one of the state’s hottest markets.

Source: Redfin Data Center, city market tracker, January 2012 to May 2026 (MLS sales, not seasonally adjusted). Ratios are weighted by homes sold; price cuts by homes for sale.

Rent or buy?

Owning the typical Surprise home costs about $2,356 a month

Mortgage
Property tax
Insurance
Rent

Price: Surprise’s typical sale, last 12 months. Property tax at Surprise’s 0.4% (median bill ÷ median value, Census ACS); insurance at 0.35% of price a year. Before PMI, HOA dues, upkeep and the tax deduction. Whether Surprise is affordable on local pay is on Cost of living.

Before you buy in Surprise

Six things worth knowing

404

New listings in March

The month with the most choice. December has the fewest, about 241.

Best time to buy
0.4%

Property tax, a year

Of a home’s value: the median bill over the median home value. On a $423K home, about $1,790 a year.

Taxes vs. neighbors
B+

Schools

The schools grade for Surprise, from test results, graduation and how much students grow.

Schools in Surprise
30 min

Typical commute

The average one-way trip to work for people who live in Surprise.

Work & commute
Flood

Check the flood map

Flood insurance isn’t in a standard policy, and lenders require it in FEMA flood zones. Check the address before you make an offer.

Natural hazards
Records

Look up any property

Assessed value, lot size and every past sale of a home you’re eyeing are public, at the town or county assessor and the registry of deeds.

Nearby markets · last 12 months

Sun City West and Sun City sell for less a square foot; Citrus Park for far more

The busier markets within 25 miles of Surprise, by what sold. Prices, taxes and how far a paycheck goes next door are on Cost of living.

SoldTypical sale$/sq ftOver askingDays to sell
Surprise3,934$423K$22516%74
Sun City1,483$265K$18115%75
Sun City West1,066$355K$2138%64
El Mirage276$349K$23529%55
Youngtown107$346K$22719%86
Citrus Park76$859K$3048%109
Wittmann32$399K$25225%69

Redfin Data Center, June 2025 to May 2026. Towns with fewer than 20 sales are left out, and Redfin doesn’t report every town separately.

Selling, or renting out?

Post your home to Surprise, free

Selling it yourself, renting out an apartment or looking for a roommate? Post it to Surprise. People who follow the town see it, and so do people comparing Surprise with their own town. No commission, no listing fee.

Questions about buying a home in Surprise

What do homes sell for in Surprise, AZ?

3,934 homes sold in the year to May 2026 at a typical $423K, $225 a square foot. Houses sold for about $426K, condos for about $202K.

Is Surprise a buyer’s or seller’s market?

A seller’s market: 1349 homes were for sale in May 2026 and 383 sold, about 3.5 months of supply. Buyers paid 98.7% of asking on average, and 30% of listings cut their price.

When is the best time to buy in Surprise?

March brings the most new listings. The sales history shows which months have fewer bidding wars.

How much are property taxes in Surprise?

About 0.4% of a home’s value a year. On a $423K home that’s near $1,790.

Where can I see homes for sale in Surprise?

Zillow, Redfin, Realtor.com and Homes.com all carry Surprise’s MLS listings; the search links above open each one filtered to Surprise.

Sales, prices, days on market and listings: Redfin Data Center (MLS, monthly, not seasonally adjusted). Property tax rate: Census American Community Survey. Two-bedroom rent: HUD Fair Market Rent. Typical home value: Zillow Home Value Index. Schools grade: TownRatings (how grades work).