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Mission Santa Cruz (8321945663)Photo: Don DeBold from San Jose, CA, USA · CC BY 2.0
DHazard risk
Natural hazards in Santa Cruz · FEMA

More hazard damage per building is expected in Santa Cruz than in 94% of U.S. towns, mostly from earthquakes

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Santa Cruz gets a D for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 94% of U.S. towns, #471 of 847 in California. Most of that expected damage is earthquakes (51%), then river and rain flooding (39%). Flood insurance has paid 110 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 94%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#471 of 847 in California
Hazard risk
D#471 of 847
in California · higher than 94% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
Earthquakes
51% of expected building damage
Flood claims
110
paid since 1978 · $1.5M
Flooded more than once
9
properties · 1 “severe repetitive loss”
Flood insurance
15% off
Community discount (class 7)

What stands out about Santa Cruz’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Santa Cruz faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

Earthquakes

51%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 5% of U.S. census tracts

River and rain flooding

39%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 80% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Tsunamis

9%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Wildfire Coastal flooding Tornadoes Hail Strong wind Winter storms Heat waves Landslides top 4% Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
HurricanesIce stormsCold wavesAvalanchesVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts earthquakes at 60% of Santa Cruz’s expected losses. Earthquakes do little damage to buildings (51.2%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Santa Cruz’s grade

Earthquakes are 51% of the building damage FEMA expects in Santa Cruz, and Santa Cruz’s rate of earthquakes damage is in the top 5% of U.S. census tracts. Tsunamis add 9%, at a rate in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Santa Cruz sits
Santa Cruz
Least damageMiddleMost damage

D #471 of 847 in California; higher expected damage per building than 94% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Santa Cruz’s residents live in 17 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
Earthquakes51%River and rain flooding39%Tsunamis9%Everything else1%

The typical California town has higher expected damage than 92% of U.S. towns; within the state, Santa Cruz has more expected damage per building than 56% of California towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $57.2M a year in losses across Santa Cruz: $44.6M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Recent disaster.FEMA’s model looks at expected damage to the buildings standing today. After Wildfires in 2020, FEMA took 2,422 aid registrations from Santa Cruz addresses (the town has 23,888 homes).
A firm figure. It combines 17 census tracts by where Santa Cruz’s residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Santa Cruz flood? Yes: 110 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Santa Cruz, from FEMA’s records: 4.6 per 1,000 homes, more than 58% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 1 claim1979: 1 claim1980: 3 claims1981: 1 claim1982: 22 claims1983: 19 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 4 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 1 claim1993: 0 claims1994: 0 claims1995: 3 claims1996: 7 claims1997: 3 claims1998: 21 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 1 claim2001: 0 claims2002: 3 claims2003: 1 claim2004: 1 claim2005: 2 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 1 claim2011: 0 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 3 claims2015: 1 claim2016: 2 claims2017: 2 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 1 claim2022: 0 claims2023: 2 claims2024: 4 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims198219831998
19782026
Biggest named events
  • The Pineapple Express - Southern21 claims · $311K
  • The San Diego Flooding4 claims · $117K
  • The California Atmospheric River2 claims · $109K
110
paid claims since 1978
$1.5M
paid to owners
9
homes flooded more than once
$14K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (1)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
Community discount15% off flood insurance

Santa Cruz is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 7) for its flood-proofing work.

Insurance rates: Santa Cruz County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
8homes raised above flood level
Disasters

8 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Santa Cruz

Disasters that paid out in Santa Cruz itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Santa Cruz), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2024Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides$19K to the City of Santa Cruz for repairs4 flood claims paid that year
  2. 2023Severe Winter Storms, Straight-line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides1,058 households applied for aid$3.5M aid approved$14K to the City of Santa Cruz for repairs2 flood claims paid that year
  3. 2022Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides439 households applied for aid$1.4M aid approved$2.9M to the City of Santa Cruz for repairs
  4. 2020Wildfires2,422 households applied for aid$2.0M aid approved$343K to the City of Santa Cruz for repairs
  5. 2017Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and Mudslides$1.8M to the City of Santa Cruz for repairs
  6. 2017Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and Mudslides$287K to the City of Santa Cruz for repairs
Show all 8
  1. 2017Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and Mudslides$346K to the City of Santa Cruz for repairs
  2. 2005Severe Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, and Landslides$610K to the City of Santa Cruz for repairs2 flood claims paid that year
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Santa CruzSanta Cruz County only

Santa Cruz County has had 24 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 6 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Santa Cruz County, 2002–2020.

Were you here?

Old photos of Santa Cruz after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Santa Cruz archive →
Next door

Santa Cruz and its neighbors

Santa Cruz is 3rd of the 3 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Live OakDmore damage than 90%earthquakes3
Twin LakesDmore damage than 90%earthquakes3
Santa CruzDmore damage than 94%earthquakes110
Paradise Park—470 residents; we grade 1,000+
Pasatiempo—610 residents; we grade 1,000+

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Santa Cruz faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tsunamis
  • Strong shaking or a sudden drop in the sea means head for high ground now.
  • Learn the tsunami route signs near the shore.
  • Stay away until officials say it’s safe.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
  • Santa Cruz residents get 15% off flood insurance.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Santa Cruz

Is Santa Cruz at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Santa Cruz has higher expected damage per building than 94% of U.S. towns: D for hazard risk, #471 of 847 in California. Most of the expected damage is earthquakes (51%) and river and rain flooding (39%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Santa Cruz flood?

Flood insurance has paid 110 claims in Santa Cruz since 1978, $1.5M in all, or 4.6 per 1,000 homes, more than 58% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 9 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Pineapple Express - Southern (21).

Is Santa Cruz in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Santa Cruz County, 33% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 2.5% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Santa Cruz?

Santa Cruz is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 7), which takes 15% off federal flood insurance policies for its flood-proofing work. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Santa Cruz?

By FEMA money that reached Santa Cruz, Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides (2022): 439 households applied for aid, $1.4M approved, and $2.9M to the City of Santa Cruz for repairs. By flood claims, Pineapple Express - Southern: 21 paid, $311K.

Is Santa Cruz at risk from earthquakes?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (51%), and Santa Cruz’s rate for it is in the top 5% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Santa Cruz.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Santa Cruz’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.