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Condo building in downtown Falls ChurchPhoto: Ser Amantio di Nicolao · CC BY-SA 3.0
AHazard risk
Natural hazards in Falls Church · FEMA

Less hazard damage per building is expected in Falls Church than in 88% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Falls Church gets an A for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 88% of U.S. towns, #80 of 253 in Virginia. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (72%). Flood insurance has paid 50 claims here since 1989.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 88%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#80 of 253 in Virginia

What stands out about Falls Church’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Falls Church faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

72%of expected building damage
Below average · lower than 75% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 3 years in the area

Hurricanes

10%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 72% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 10 years in the area

Tornadoes

6%of expected building damage
About average · higher than 51% of U.S. census tracts

Strong wind

5%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 88% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 8 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Earthquakes Hail Ice storms Lightning Winter storms Cold waves Wildfire Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts lightning at 16% of Falls Church’s expected losses. Lightning does little damage to buildings (0.2%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Falls Church’s grade

River and rain flooding is 72% of the building damage FEMA expects in Falls Church, and Falls Church’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 75% of U.S. census tracts. Next is hurricanes at 10% (higher than 72% of U.S. census tracts).

Where Falls Church sits
Falls Church
Least damageMiddleMost damage

A #80 of 253 in Virginia; lower expected damage per building than 88% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Falls Church’s residents live in 3 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding72%Hurricanes10%Tornadoes6%Everything else13%

The typical Virginia town has lower expected damage than 81% of U.S. towns; within the state, Falls Church has less expected damage per building than 69% of Virginia towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $3.1M a year in losses across Falls Church: $2.0M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. Falls Church covers 3 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Falls Church flood? Sometimes: 50 flood claims since 1989

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Falls Church, from FEMA’s records: 7.6 per 1,000 homes, more than 69% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1989: 2 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 0 claims1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 0 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 1 claim2002: 0 claims2003: 1 claim2004: 0 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 3 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 3 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 15 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 1 claim2014: 0 claims2015: 1 claim2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 5 claims2019: 16 claims2020: 1 claim2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 1 claim2026: 0 claims201120182019
19892026
50
paid claims since 1989
$662K
paid to owners
9
homes flooded more than once
$13K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0)Flooded 2+ times
of all homes are insured
Community discount15% off flood insurance

Falls Church is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 7) for its flood-proofing work.

Insurance rates: the county.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
2flood-prone properties bought out and cleared
Disasters

7 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Falls Church

Disasters that paid out in Falls Church itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Falls Church), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2016Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm$86K to the City of Falls Church for repairs
  2. 2012Hurricane Sandy$49K to the City of Falls Church for repairs
  3. 2012Severe Storms and Straight-line Winds$188K to the City of Falls Church for repairs
  4. 2010Severe Winter Storms and Snowstorms$127K to the City of Falls Church for repairs
  5. 2009Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm$68K to the City of Falls Church for repairs
  6. 2003Hurricane Isabel62 households applied for aid$28K aid approved$160K to the City of Falls Church for repairs
Show all 7
  1. 2003Severe Winter Storm, Record/near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,floodind, and Mudslide$29K to the City of Falls Church for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Falls Church only

has had 12 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often winter storms, then hurricanes and tropical storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Were you here?

Old photos of Falls Church after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Falls Church archive →
Next door

Falls Church and its neighbors

Falls Church is 4th of the 6 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Seven CornersA+less damage than 98%river and rain flooding3
IdylwoodA+less damage than 96%river and rain flooding8
ArlingtonAless damage than 88%river and rain flooding123
Falls ChurchAless damage than 88%river and rain flooding50
West Falls ChurchAless damage than 87%river and rain flooding76
McLeanAless damage than 85%river and rain flooding57

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Falls Church faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hurricane season
  • The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
  • Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
  • Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
High winds
  • Trim dead limbs over the house and driveway.
  • Tie down trash cans and outdoor furniture.
  • Stay clear of downed lines and call the utility.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
  • Falls Church residents get 15% off flood insurance.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Falls Church

Is Falls Church at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Falls Church has lower expected damage per building than 88% of U.S. towns: A for hazard risk, #80 of 253 in Virginia. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (72%) and hurricanes (10%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Falls Church flood?

Flood insurance has paid 50 claims in Falls Church since 1989, $662K in all, or 7.6 per 1,000 homes, more than 69% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 9 properties have flooded more than once.

Is Falls Church in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In the county, 4.9% of all homes carry federal flood insurance.

How much is flood insurance in Falls Church?

Falls Church is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 7), which takes 15% off federal flood insurance policies for its flood-proofing work. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Falls Church?

By FEMA money that reached Falls Church, Hurricane Isabel (2003): 62 households applied for aid, $28K approved, and $160K to the City of Falls Church for repairs.

Is Falls Church at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (72%), and Falls Church’s rate for it is lower than 75% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Falls Church.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Falls Church’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.