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View of Empire State Building from Rockefeller Center New York City dllu (cropped)Photo: Dllu · CC BY-SA 4.0
A−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in New York City · FEMA

FEMA expects less hazard damage per building in New York City than in 84% of U.S. towns; 36,272 flood claims have been paid there

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, New York City gets an A− for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 84% of U.S. towns, #248 of 758 in New York State. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (76%), then hurricanes (10%). Flood insurance has paid 36,272 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 84%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#248 of 758 in New York State
Hazard risk
A−#248 of 758
in New York State · lower than 84% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
River and rain flooding
76% of expected building damage
Flood claims
36,272
paid since 1978 · $1.46B
Flooded more than once
4,511
properties · 207 “severe repetitive loss”
Disasters paid out here
4
of 21 declared for its 5 counties

What stands out about New York City’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What New York City faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

76%of expected building damage
Below average · lower than 67% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

10%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 74% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 6 years in the area

Earthquakes

9%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 68% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Coastal flooding Tornadoes Hail Strong wind Winter storms Ice storms Wildfire Cold waves Heat waves Landslides Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
AvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts heat waves at 16% of New York City’s expected losses. Heat waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind New York City’s grade

River and rain flooding is 76% of the building damage FEMA expects in New York City, and New York City’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 67% of U.S. census tracts. Coastal flooding adds 2%, at a rate in the top 6% of U.S. census tracts.

Where New York City sits
New York City
Least damageMiddleMost damage

A− #248 of 758 in New York State; lower expected damage per building than 84% of U.S. towns (21,298).

New York City’s residents live in 2,292 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding76%Hurricanes10%Earthquakes9%Everything else4%

The typical New York State town has lower expected damage than 69% of U.S. towns; within the state, New York City has less expected damage per building than 67% of New York State towns.

Among the 400 U.S. cities of 100,000 or more, New York City has lower expected damage per building than 93% (#30 of 400). Because it is so big, its total expected yearly loss, $1.35B, is the 2nd largest of those 400 (after Los Angeles).

Model and record.Most of New York City’s paid flood claims (15,578 of 36,272) came from Hurricane Sandy (2012), a coastal storm. FEMA’s model spreads coastal flood damage over all of the city’s buildings, most of them far from the water, so coastal flooding is 1.5% of the citywide figure. In Breezy Point–Belle Harbor–Rockaway Park–Broad Channel, by the water, coastal flooding is 40% of the building damage FEMA expects.
A firm citywide average that varies by neighborhood. It combines 2,292 census tracts by where New Yorkers live; neighborhoods run from much lower to well above it (see By borough). FEMA’s model is an average year, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does New York City flood? Yes: 36,272 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in New York City, from FEMA’s records: 9.9 per 1,000 homes, more than 74% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 2,125 claims1979: 4,157 claims1980: 3,419 claims1981: 859 claims1982: 458 claims1983: 802 claims1984: 455 claims1985: 71 claims1986: 8 claims1987: 75 claims1988: 94 claims1989: 39 claims1990: 14 claims1991: 146 claims1992: 1,579 claims1993: 165 claims1994: 38 claims1995: 17 claims1996: 333 claims1997: 23 claims1998: 25 claims1999: 91 claims2000: 12 claims2001: 14 claims2002: 28 claims2003: 29 claims2004: 82 claims2005: 236 claims2006: 36 claims2007: 361 claims2008: 48 claims2009: 29 claims2010: 269 claims2011: 2,116 claims2012: 15,645 claims2013: 22 claims2014: 176 claims2015: 26 claims2016: 26 claims2017: 23 claims2018: 75 claims2019: 16 claims2020: 13 claims2021: 984 claims2022: 440 claims2023: 415 claims2024: 61 claims2025: 56 claims2026: 41 claims197919802012

The 1978–80 bars are many small claims from the program’s first years (about $2,600 each in FEMA’s file).

19782026
Biggest named events
  • Hurricane Sandy15,578 claims · $1,296M
  • Hurricane Irene1,815 claims · $22.6M
36,272
paid claims since 1978
$1,461M
paid to owners
4,511
homes flooded more than once
$40K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
Each house = 76 homesFEMA “severe repetitive loss” (207)Flooded 2+ times
of all homes are insured
No community discount

New York City isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Kings County (Brooklyn) only; FEMA publishes take-up by county.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
4buildings floodproofed
1building retrofitted against wind
Disasters

4 federal disasters brought FEMA money to New York City

Disasters that paid out in New York City itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of New York), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2021Remnants of Hurricane Ida503 households applied for aid$1.1M aid approved885 flood claims paid for it, $30.9M
  2. 2012Hurricane Sandy20,404 households applied for aid$14.0M aid approved15,578 flood claims paid for it, $1.30B
  3. 2011Remnants of Tropical Storm Lee2 households applied for aid$1K aid approved
  4. 2011Hurricane Irene7 households applied for aid$2K aid approved1,815 flood claims paid for it, $22.6M

Household aid is matched by the city each registrant wrote; many New Yorkers wrote Brooklyn, Flushing or Staten Island instead of New York, so these counts cover only part of the city. The 2001 World Trade Center declarations are not natural disasters and are left out.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in New York Citythe five boroughs only

The five boroughs have had 21 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees; the 2001 World Trade Center declarations.

Were you here?

Old photos of New York City after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the New York City archive →
By borough

Where in New York City FEMA expects the most damage

The citywide figure averages very different places. Almost no New Yorker lives in a census tract in the national top fifth for expected building damage; coastal flooding, under 2% citywide, is 30–40% of it in the Rockaways and Howard Beach.

The five boroughs
BoroughResidentsDamage per building vs U.S. townsMain hazards (building)Coastal floodingExpected loss / yr
Brooklyn2,736,074lower than 90%river and rain flooding 72%, earthquakes 13%0.8%$374M
Staten Island495,747lower than 89%river and rain flooding 72%, hurricanes 12%3.3%$82.0M
Manhattan1,694,251lower than 83%river and rain flooding 82%, hurricanes 10%0.4%$307M
Queens2,405,464lower than 81%river and rain flooding 75%, hurricanes 10%3.0%$376M
Bronx1,472,654lower than 76%river and rain flooding 80%, hurricanes 10%1.4%$212M

Boroughs are the five counties; residents from the 2020 census. Expected loss counts buildings, people and crops, and the five add up to the city’s $1.35B.

Where coastal flooding concentrates
NeighborhoodResidentsDamage per building vs U.S. townsWhat drives it
Breezy Point–Belle Harbor–Rockaway Park–Broad ChannelQueens24,134lower than 72%coastal flooding 40% (in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts)
Rockaway Beach–Arverne–EdgemereQueens41,367lower than 75%coastal flooding 38% (in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts)
Howard Beach–LindenwoodQueens27,300lower than 73%coastal flooding 30% (in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts)
Coney Island–Sea GateBrooklyn49,517lower than 88%coastal flooding 16% (in the top 2% of U.S. census tracts)
Highest and lowest neighborhoods
NeighborhoodResidentsDamage per building vs U.S. townsWhat drives it
Kingsbridge–Marble HillBronx22,807higher than 67%river and rain flooding 90%
Cambria HeightsQueens19,081higher than 65%river and rain flooding 88%
Chelsea–Hudson YardsManhattan69,741higher than 61%river and rain flooding 90%
Brooklyn HeightsBrooklyn25,092among the lowestthe lowest of the 197 neighborhoods

Neighborhoods are New York City’s 2020 Neighborhood Tabulation Areas (197 with residents). Numbers only, no letters: grades are for towns.

Next door

New York City and its neighbors

New York City is 2nd of the 6 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
North HempsteadAless damage than 94%river and rain flooding189
New York CityA−less damage than 84%river and rain flooding36,272
YonkersB+less damage than 71%river and rain flooding690
Mount VernonB+less damage than 70%river and rain flooding82
LawrenceB+less damage than 70%river and rain flooding387
HempsteadB+less damage than 65%river and rain flooding19,033
Woodmere—a Census area inside a town; graded with the town
Inwood—a Census area inside a town; graded with the town
University Gardens—a Census area inside a town; graded with the town
South Valley Stream—a Census area inside a town; graded with the town
Elmont—a Census area inside a town; graded with the town

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what New York City faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hurricane season
  • The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
  • Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
  • Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in New York City

Is New York City at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, New York City has lower expected damage per building than 84% of U.S. towns: A− for hazard risk, #248 of 758 in New York State. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (76%) and hurricanes (10%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does New York City flood?

Flood insurance has paid 36,272 claims in New York City since 1978, $1.46B in all, or 9.9 per 1,000 homes, more than 74% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 4,511 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Hurricane Sandy (15,578).

Is New York City in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Kings County, 2.9% of all homes carry federal flood insurance.

How much is flood insurance in New York City?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for New York City’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in New York City?

By FEMA money that reached New York City, Hurricane Sandy (2012): 20,404 households applied for aid, $14.0M approved. By flood claims, Hurricane Sandy: 15,578 paid, $1.30B.

Is New York City at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (76%), and New York City’s rate for it is lower than 67% of U.S. census tracts.

Which parts of New York City have the most flood risk?

By FEMA’s model, coastal flooding concentrates in the Rockaways, Breezy Point and Howard Beach in Queens, and Coney Island in Brooklyn; the highest overall expected damage per building is in inland-flooding areas such as Kingsbridge–Marble Hill in the Bronx and Cambria Heights in Queens. See By borough above.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in New York City.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where New York City’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.