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F. M. Walcott HouseF. M. Walcott House · Photo: Ammodramus · CC0
BHazard risk
Natural hazards in Valentine · FEMA

Valentine’s building-damage rate from wildfire is in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Valentine gets a B for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 65% of U.S. towns, #8 of 57 in Nebraska. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (56%), then wildfire (24%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 65%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#8 of 57 in Nebraska
By hazard

What Valentine faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

56%of expected building damage
Below average · lower than 72% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 3 years in the area

Wildfire

24%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts

Tornadoes

8%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 67% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 3 years in the area
Smaller shares here
 Winter storms top 0% Hail Earthquakes Strong wind Ice storms Lightning top 5% Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 27% of Valentine’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Valentine’s grade

River and rain flooding is 56% of the building damage FEMA expects in Valentine, and Valentine’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 72% of U.S. census tracts. Wildfire adds 24%, at a rate in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Valentine sits
Valentine
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B #8 of 57 in Nebraska; lower expected damage per building than 65% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Valentine’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding56%Wildfire24%Tornadoes8%Everything else12%

The typical Nebraska town has higher expected damage than 66% of U.S. towns; within the state, Valentine has less expected damage per building than 88% of Nebraska towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.7M a year in losses across Valentine: $881K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Valentine’s 2,633 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract, which it shares with Cody village (168 residents) and Merriman village (87 residents) and Crookston village (71 residents) and Kilgore village (63 residents) and Nenzel village (17 residents). FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s, the same for all of them. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Valentine flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Valentine. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

Disasters

The storms Valentine remembers

None of the 7 disasters declared for Cherry County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Valentine itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in ValentineCherry County only

Cherry County has had 7 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 1 FEMA wildfire suppression grant (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Cherry County, 2006–2006.

Be ready

Get ready for what Valentine faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Wildfire
  • Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
  • Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
  • Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Valentine

Is Valentine at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Valentine has lower expected damage per building than 65% of U.S. towns: B for hazard risk, #8 of 57 in Nebraska. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (56%) and wildfire (24%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Valentine in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map.

How much is flood insurance in Valentine?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Valentine’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Valentine at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (56%), and Valentine’s rate for it is lower than 72% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Valentine.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Valentine’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.