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Chicago River ferry bPhoto: File:Chicago River ferry.jpg: John Picken derivative work: Georgfotoart · CC BY 2.0
B−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Chicago · FEMA

On FEMA’s figures, Chicago faces about as much hazard damage per building as the typical U.S. town, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Chicago gets a B− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 51% of U.S. towns, #340 of 768 in Illinois. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (85%). Flood insurance has paid 550 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 51%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#340 of 768 in Illinois
Hazard risk
B−#340 of 768
in Illinois · higher than 51% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
River and rain flooding
85% of expected building damage
Flood claims
550
paid since 1978 · $6.0M
Flooded more than once
71
properties · 1 “severe repetitive loss”
Disasters paid out here
11
of 22 declared for its 2 counties

What stands out about Chicago’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Chicago faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

85%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 70% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

10%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 77% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Earthquakes Hail Strong wind Winter storms Ice storms Coastal flooding Hurricanes Wildfire Cold waves Heat waves Landslides Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
AvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 33% of Chicago’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Chicago’s grade

River and rain flooding is 85% of the building damage FEMA expects in Chicago, and Chicago’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 70% of U.S. census tracts. Next is tornadoes at 10% (higher than 77% of U.S. census tracts).

Where Chicago sits
Chicago
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B− #340 of 768 in Illinois; higher expected damage per building than 51% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Chicago’s residents live in 794 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding85%Tornadoes10%Earthquakes4%Everything else1%

The typical Illinois town has higher expected damage than 54% of U.S. towns; within the state, Chicago has less expected damage per building than 56% of Illinois towns.

Among the 400 U.S. cities of 100,000 or more, Chicago has lower expected damage per building than 59% (#163 of 400). Because it is so big, its total expected yearly loss, $1.09B, is the 4th largest of those 400.

Recent disaster.FEMA’s model looks at expected damage to the buildings standing today. After Severe Storms and Flooding in 2023, FEMA took 60,637 aid registrations from Chicago addresses (the town has 1,277,054 homes).
A firm figure. It combines 794 census tracts by where Chicago’s residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Chicago flood? Yes: 550 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Chicago, from FEMA’s records: 0.4 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 91% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 3 claims1979: 7 claims1980: 4 claims1981: 9 claims1982: 17 claims1983: 3 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 2 claims1986: 2 claims1987: 9 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 2 claims1990: 1 claim1991: 0 claims1992: 1 claim1993: 4 claims1994: 1 claim1995: 0 claims1996: 8 claims1997: 19 claims1998: 4 claims1999: 2 claims2000: 1 claim2001: 28 claims2002: 1 claim2003: 1 claim2004: 1 claim2005: 0 claims2006: 34 claims2007: 5 claims2008: 38 claims2009: 15 claims2010: 41 claims2011: 47 claims2012: 4 claims2013: 90 claims2014: 40 claims2015: 24 claims2016: 4 claims2017: 5 claims2018: 4 claims2019: 3 claims2020: 25 claims2021: 8 claims2022: 5 claims2023: 19 claims2024: 1 claim2025: 4 claims2026: 4 claims201020112013
19782026
Biggest named events
  • The Mid-spring storms72 claims · $1.1M
  • Hurricane Ike17 claims · $178K
550
paid claims since 1978
$6.0M
paid to owners
71
homes flooded more than once
$11K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
Each house = 2 homesFEMA “severe repetitive loss” (1)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Chicago isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Cook County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
1building floodproofed
1flood-prone property bought out and cleared
Disasters

11 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Chicago

Disasters that paid out in Chicago itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Chicago), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2024Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, and Floodng24,786 households applied for aid$87.3M aid approved1 flood claim paid that year
  2. 2023Severe Storms and Flooding10,200 households applied for aid$24.8M aid approved
  3. 2023Severe Storms and Flooding60,637 households applied for aid$185M aid approved
  4. 2013Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding42,535 households applied for aid$61.5M aid approved90 flood claims paid that year
  5. 2011Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm$5.2M to the City of Chicago for repairs47 flood claims paid that year
  6. 2010Severe Storms and Flooding91,135 households applied for aid$225M aid approved41 flood claims paid that year
Show all 11
  1. 2008Severe Storms and Flooding17,171 households applied for aid$20.7M aid approved$1.4M to the City of Chicago for repairs38 flood claims paid that year
  2. 2007Severe Storms and Flooding$2.5M to the City of Chicago for repairs5 flood claims paid that year
  3. 2005Hurricane Katrina Evacuation$655K to the City of Chicago for repairs
  4. 2000Illinois Winter Snow Storms$1.5M to the City of Chicago for repairs1 flood claim paid that year
  5. 1999Il-winter Storm 1/1/99$5.7M to the City of Chicago for repairs2 flood claims paid that year
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Chicagoits 2 counties only

Its 2 counties have had 22 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Were you here?

Old photos of Chicago after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Chicago archive →
Next door

Chicago and its neighbors

Chicago is 5th of the 11 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
RosemontA−less damage than 75%river and rain flooding50
Schiller ParkBless damage than 55%river and rain flooding126
Elk Grove TownshipB−less damage than 54%river and rain flooding141
Niles TownshipB−more damage than 50%river and rain flooding313
ChicagoB−more damage than 51%river and rain flooding550
Maine TownshipB−more damage than 53%river and rain flooding1,481
Park RidgeB−more damage than 54%river and rain flooding104
Leyden TownshipC+more damage than 62%river and rain flooding960
Stickney TownshipCmore damage than 71%river and rain flooding30
Worth TownshipDmore damage than 87%river and rain flooding102
Calumet TownshipDmore damage than 92%river and rain flooding5

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Chicago faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Chicago

Is Chicago at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Chicago has higher expected damage per building than 51% of U.S. towns: B− for hazard risk, #340 of 768 in Illinois. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (85%) and tornadoes (10%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Chicago flood?

Flood insurance has paid 550 claims in Chicago since 1978, $6.0M in all, or 0.4 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 91% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 71 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Mid-spring storms (72).

Is Chicago in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Cook County, 32% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.5% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Chicago?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Chicago’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Chicago?

By FEMA money that reached Chicago, Severe Storms and Flooding (2010): 91,135 households applied for aid, $225M approved. By flood claims, Mid-spring storms: 72 paid, $1.1M.

Is Chicago at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (85%), and Chicago’s rate for it is higher than 70% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Chicago.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Chicago’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.