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DHazard risk
Natural hazards in South Patrick Shores · FEMA

More hazard damage per building is expected in South Patrick Shores than in 91% of U.S. towns, mostly from hurricanes

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, South Patrick Shores gets a D for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 91% of U.S. towns, #472 of 638 in Florida. Most of that expected damage is hurricanes (80%), then river and rain flooding (15%). Flood insurance has paid 50 claims here since 1981.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 91%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#472 of 638 in Florida

What stands out about South Patrick Shores’ natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What South Patrick Shores faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

Hurricanes

80%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 4% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 4 years in the area

River and rain flooding

15%of expected building damage
Well below average · lower than 90% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 1 years in the area
Smaller shares here
 Coastal flooding top 2% Tornadoes Strong wind Lightning Hail Earthquakes Wildfire Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Winter stormsIce stormsAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind South Patrick Shores’ grade

Hurricanes are 80% of the building damage FEMA expects in South Patrick Shores, and South Patrick Shores’ rate of hurricanes damage is in the top 4% of U.S. census tracts. Coastal flooding adds 4%, at a rate in the top 2% of U.S. census tracts.

Where South Patrick Shores sits
South Patrick Shores
Least damageMiddleMost damage

D #472 of 638 in Florida; higher expected damage per building than 91% of U.S. towns (21,298).

South Patrick Shores’ residents live in 3 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
Hurricanes80%River and rain flooding15%Coastal flooding4%Everything else2%

The typical Florida town has higher expected damage than 79% of U.S. towns; within the state, South Patrick Shores has more expected damage per building than 74% of Florida towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $3.8M a year in losses across South Patrick Shores: $3.4M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. South Patrick Shores covers 3 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does South Patrick Shores flood? Sometimes: 50 flood claims since 1981

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in South Patrick Shores, from FEMA’s records: 14.3 per 1,000 homes, more than 80% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1981: 1 claim1982: 1 claim1983: 2 claims1984: 1 claim1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 0 claims1994: 3 claims1995: 1 claim1996: 1 claim1997: 0 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 4 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 7 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 1 claim2008: 18 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 1 claim2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 1 claim2017: 7 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 1 claim2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims200420082017
19812026
Biggest named events
  • Tropical Storm Fay18 claims · $150K
  • Hurricane Jeanne5 claims · $57K
  • Hurricane Irma4 claims · $122K
50
paid claims since 1981
$416K
paid to owners
0
homes flooded more than once
$8K
average claim
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

South Patrick Shores isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Brevard County.
Disasters

The storms South Patrick Shores remembers

None of the 29 disasters declared for Brevard County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching South Patrick Shores itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

  1. 200818 flood claims paidThe year of Tropical Storm Fay, declared for Brevard County
  2. 20047 flood claims paidThe year of Hurricane Jeanne, declared for Brevard County
  3. 20177 flood claims paidThe year of Hurricane Irma, declared for Brevard County
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in South Patrick ShoresBrevard County only

Brevard County has had 29 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often hurricanes and tropical storms, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 4 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Brevard County, 1999–2008.

Were you here?

Old photos of South Patrick Shores after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the South Patrick Shores archive →
Next door

South Patrick Shores and its neighbors

South Patrick Shores is 3rd of the 4 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Satellite Beach: hazard risk DPatrick AFB: hazard risk DMerritt Island: hazard risk DSatellite BeachPatrick AFBMerritt IslandSouth Patrick Shores
Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Patrick AFBDmore damage than 88%hurricanes—
Satellite BeachDmore damage than 90%hurricanes102
South Patrick ShoresDmore damage than 91%hurricanes50
Merritt IslandDmore damage than 91%hurricanes213

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what South Patrick Shores faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

Hurricane season
  • The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
  • Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
  • Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
More from Ready.gov ↗
When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in South Patrick Shores

Is South Patrick Shores at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, South Patrick Shores has higher expected damage per building than 91% of U.S. towns: D for hazard risk, #472 of 638 in Florida. Most of the expected damage is hurricanes (80%) and river and rain flooding (15%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does South Patrick Shores flood?

Flood insurance has paid 50 claims in South Patrick Shores since 1981, $416K in all, or 14.3 per 1,000 homes, more than 80% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. The most claims came from Tropical Storm Fay (18).

Is South Patrick Shores in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Brevard County, 47% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 11.8% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in South Patrick Shores?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for South Patrick Shores’ flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in South Patrick Shores?

By flood claims, Tropical Storm Fay: 18 paid, $150K.

Is South Patrick Shores at risk from hurricanes?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (80%), and South Patrick Shores’ rate for it is in the top 4% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in South Patrick Shores.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where South Patrick Shores’ residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.