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Weather in Oak Bay · ECCC forecast and 1991–2020 normals

Oak Bay’s weather tomorrow: a warm November day of 13 degrees

Usually, November days warm to 10°C and nights cool to 5°C; Oak Bay’s forecast is read against that. Expect a chance of rain of 80% tomorrow, wind of 20 km/h, and a low of 11°C. Wet weather looks most likely on Tuesday, a 70% chance of rain.

Winter 8°/4°CSpring 14°/7°CSummer 20°/12°CAutumn 14°/8°C
Right now
11°C
Chance of showers
High 13°C · Low 11°C · Wind 10 km/h
Tomorrow 3°C warmer than a normal 14 November
Sunrise 07:19 · sunset 16:36
Observed at Victoria Gonzales, 16:00
COASTAL FLOODING STATEMENTIssued 15:48, 13 November · until 07:48, 14 NovemberDetails

ECCC’s full alert, with what to expect and what to do, is on its warnings page.

Environment and Climate Change Canada
Tomorrow
13°C / 11°C
A normal 14 November: 10°C / 5°C
Chance of rain
80%
Probable over the next day
Wind
10 km/h
From the NNE · gusts 27 km/h · up to 20 km/h tomorrow
Wind chill
−3
what it feels like now
Daylight
9 h 18 min
07:18 to 16:36
Hour by hour · °C

The next 24 hours in Oak Bay

Look for 13°C around 17:00 and 8°C around 04:00. Rain peaks in likelihood around 14:00, at 80%.

17:00 · 13°C · Chance of showers · 30% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h13°Now18:00 · 12°C · Chance of showers · 30% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h19:00 · 11°C · Chance of showers · 30% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h11°20:00 · 11°C · Chance of showers · 30% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h20:0021:00 · 10°C · Mainly cloudy · 20% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h10°22:00 · 10°C · Partly cloudy · 20% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h23:00 · 10°C · Partly cloudy · 20% chance of rain · wind 5 km/h10°23:0000:00 · 10°C · Partly cloudy · 20% chance of rain · wind 5 km/h01:00 · 10°C · A few clouds · 20% chance of rain · wind 5 km/h10°02:00 · 9°C · A few clouds · 20% chance of rain · wind 5 km/h02:0003:00 · 9°C · A few clouds · 20% chance of rain · wind 5 km/h9°04:00 · 8°C · A few clouds · 20% chance of rain · wind 5 km/h8°05:00 · 8°C · A few clouds · 20% chance of rain · wind 5 km/h8°05:0006:00 · 8°C · A few clouds · 20% chance of rain · wind 5 km/h07:00 · 8°C · A mix of sun and cloud · 20% chance of rain · wind 5 km/h8°08:00 · 9°C · A mix of sun and cloud · 20% chance of rain · wind 5 km/h08:0009:00 · 11°C · A mix of sun and cloud · 20% chance of rain · wind 5 km/h11°10:00 · 12°C · A mix of sun and cloud · 20% chance of rain · wind 20 km/h11:00 · 12°C · Mainly cloudy · 20% chance of rain · wind 20 km/h12°11:0012:00 · 12°C · Overcast · 20% chance of rain · wind 20 km/h13:00 · 12°C · Overcast · 20% chance of rain · wind 20 km/h12°14:00 · 12°C · A few showers · 80% chance of rain · wind 20 km/h80%14:0015:00 · 13°C · A few showers · 80% chance of rain · wind 20 km/h13°16:00 · 13°C · A few showers · 80% chance of rain · wind 20 km/h
TemperatureChance of rainNight
7 days · °C

The week ahead, against a normal week

The week tracks the normals closely. Tap a day for more.

Sat14 NovA few showers11°13°+3°

Saturday: Increasing cloudiness. A few showers beginning in the afternoon. Wind becoming southeast 20 km/h gusting to 40 except gusting to 60 near Haro Strait in the afternoon. High 13. UV index 1 or low.

Saturday night: Showers. Wind southeast 40 km/h gusting to 60 except gusting to 80 near Haro Strait. Low 11.

Sun15 NovShowers40% chance7°12°+2°

Sunday: Showers. High 12.

Sunday night: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. Low 7.

Mon16 NovChance of showers40% chance3°10°normal

Monday: Cloudy with 40 percent chance of showers. High 10.

Monday night: Cloudy periods with 40 percent chance of showers. Low plus 3.

Tue17 NovA mix of sun and cloud70% chance4°10°normal

Tuesday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 10.

Tuesday night: Cloudy with 70 percent chance of showers. Low plus 4.

Wed18 NovChance of showers30% chance3°9°normal

Wednesday: Cloudy with 30 percent chance of showers. High 9.

Wednesday night: Cloudy periods with 30 percent chance of showers. Low plus 3.

Thu19 NovA mix of sun and cloud9°normal

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 9.

Normal range for the date (ECCC 1991–2020 normals, Victoria Gonzales (City))Forecast low to high

What stands out about Oak Bay’s weather

ECCC’s normals for Oak Bay against Canadian towns, with the full story a tap away.

Climate →
Milder winters than most Canadian townsJanuary nights average 3.8°C, milder than almost every Canadian town.Cooler summers than most Canadian townsJuly afternoons average 20.6°C, cooler than almost every Canadian town.Less snow than most Canadian townsAbout 39 cm of snow a year, less snowy than 96% of Canadian towns.
A normal year

Where today sits in Oak Bay’s year

Typical highs and lows month by month, from the ECCC averages.

Full climate →
Winter
8° / 4°
259 mm of rain and snow, the wettest season
Spring
14° / 7°
126 mm of rain and snow
Summer
20° / 12°
48 mm of rain and snow
Autumn now
14° / 8°
242 mm of rain and snow
Best months to be outside
JunJulAugSep
Highs of 17–27°C and nights of 8°C or more
When is it wettest?November, with 129 mm.When does the most snow fall?December, with 12 cm.What is each month like?Highs, lows, rain and snow for all 12.

Warnings and more

The alerts above are ECCC’s, as issued; its report has them in full.

Weather alertsRead the alerts in full, as ECCC issued them.ECCC forecast: Gonzales PointThe forecast in full on ECCC’s page for the site, 2.7 km away.Oak Bay’s climateThirty-year normals: temperatures, rain and snow, frost and heating.Flood & hazardsWhat could go wrong in Oak Bay: wildfire, flooding, earthquakes, radon.

Forecast, current conditions and alerts: Environment and Climate Change Canada’s city page for Gonzales Point, fetched 13 November, 16:17. Normals: ECCC 1991–2020, Victoria Gonzales (City). Data Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada · ECCC Data Services End-use Licence

Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).