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Scottsdale, Arizona (cropped)Photo: Quintin Soloviev · CC BY 4.0
C−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Scottsdale · FEMA

More hazard damage per building is expected in Scottsdale than in 76% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Scottsdale gets a C− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 76% of U.S. towns, #65 of 140 in Arizona. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (90%). Flood insurance has paid 148 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 76%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#65 of 140 in Arizona

What stands out about Scottsdale’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Scottsdale faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

90%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 88% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 8 times a year in the area

Wildfire

6%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 8% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Hail Earthquakes Strong wind Tornadoes Hurricanes Winter storms Heat waves Landslides Lightning Avalanches top 2%
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingIce stormsCold wavesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts heat waves at 30% of Scottsdale’s expected losses. Heat waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Scottsdale’s grade

River and rain flooding is 90% of the building damage FEMA expects in Scottsdale, and Scottsdale’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 88% of U.S. census tracts. Wildfire adds 6%, at a rate in the top 8% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Scottsdale sits
Scottsdale
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C− #65 of 140 in Arizona; higher expected damage per building than 76% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Scottsdale’s residents live in 63 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding90%Wildfire6%Everything else5%

The typical Arizona town has higher expected damage than 78% of U.S. towns; within the state, Scottsdale has less expected damage per building than 54% of Arizona towns.

Among the 400 U.S. cities of 100,000 or more, Scottsdale has higher expected damage per building than 69% (#276 of 400). Because it is so big, its total expected yearly loss, $172M, is the 54th largest of those 400.

A firm figure. It combines 63 census tracts by where Scottsdale’s residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Scottsdale flood? Yes: 148 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Scottsdale, from FEMA’s records: 1.1 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 77% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 20 claims1979: 0 claims1980: 4 claims1981: 2 claims1982: 0 claims1983: 11 claims1984: 5 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 4 claims1988: 2 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 2 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 3 claims1993: 1 claim1994: 0 claims1995: 7 claims1996: 2 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 1 claim1999: 1 claim2000: 1 claim2001: 0 claims2002: 2 claims2003: 1 claim2004: 3 claims2005: 2 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 6 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 3 claims2011: 1 claim2012: 0 claims2013: 3 claims2014: 13 claims2015: 2 claims2016: 7 claims2017: 1 claim2018: 8 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 15 claims2022: 13 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 2 claims2026: 0 claims197820142021
19782026
148
paid claims since 1978
$2.5M
paid to owners
5
homes flooded more than once
$17K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
Community discount25% off flood insurance

Scottsdale is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 5) for its flood-proofing work.

Insurance rates: Maricopa County.
Disasters

1 federal disaster brought FEMA money to Scottsdale

Disasters that paid out in Scottsdale itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Scottsdale), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 256 households applied for aid$555K aid approved
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Scottsdaleits 2 counties only

Its 2 counties have had 12 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 11 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in its 2 counties, 2005–2024.

Were you here?

Old photos of Scottsdale after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Scottsdale archive →
Next door

Scottsdale and its neighbors

Scottsdale is 6th of the 7 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
CarefreeB−less damage than 50%river and rain flooding2
Fountain HillsC+more damage than 59%river and rain flooding2
Cave CreekC+more damage than 60%river and rain flooding1
PhoenixC+more damage than 61%river and rain flooding863
Paradise ValleyC+more damage than 64%river and rain flooding47
ScottsdaleC−more damage than 76%river and rain flooding148
TempeC−more damage than 82%river and rain flooding22

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Scottsdale faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Wildfire
  • Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
  • Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
  • Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
  • Scottsdale residents get 25% off flood insurance.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Scottsdale

Is Scottsdale at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Scottsdale has higher expected damage per building than 76% of U.S. towns: C− for hazard risk, #65 of 140 in Arizona. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (90%) and wildfire (6%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Scottsdale flood?

Flood insurance has paid 148 claims in Scottsdale since 1978, $2.5M in all, or 1.1 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 77% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 5 properties have flooded more than once.

Is Scottsdale in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Maricopa County, 29% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.6% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Scottsdale?

Scottsdale is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 5), which takes 25% off federal flood insurance policies for its flood-proofing work. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Scottsdale?

By FEMA money that reached Scottsdale, (): 256 households applied for aid, $555K approved.

Is Scottsdale at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (90%), and Scottsdale’s rate for it is higher than 88% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Scottsdale.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Scottsdale’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.