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231029-1 Hayden Flour MillPhoto: Hunter Trick (TrickHunter) · CC BY-SA 4.0
C−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Tempe · FEMA

More hazard damage per building is expected in Tempe than in 82% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Tempe gets a C− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 82% of U.S. towns, #80 of 140 in Arizona. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (95%). Flood insurance has paid 22 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 82%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#80 of 140 in Arizona
Hazard risk
C−#80 of 140
in Arizona · higher than 82% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
River and rain flooding
95% of expected building damage
Flood claims
22
paid since 1978 · $246K
Flooded more than once
2
properties · 1 “severe repetitive loss”
Flood insurance
25% off
Community discount (class 5)

What stands out about Tempe’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Tempe faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

95%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 8% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 8 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Earthquakes Hail Strong wind Tornadoes Hurricanes Wildfire Winter storms Heat waves Landslides Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingIce stormsCold wavesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts heat waves at 39% of Tempe’s expected losses. Heat waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Tempe’s grade

River and rain flooding is 95% of the building damage FEMA expects in Tempe, and Tempe’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is in the top 8% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Tempe sits
Tempe
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C− #80 of 140 in Arizona; higher expected damage per building than 82% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Tempe’s residents live in 41 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding95%Everything else5%

The typical Arizona town has higher expected damage than 78% of U.S. towns; within the state, Tempe has more expected damage per building than 57% of Arizona towns.

Among the 400 U.S. cities of 100,000 or more, Tempe has higher expected damage per building than 75% (#302 of 400). Because it is so big, its total expected yearly loss, $102M, is the 113th largest of those 400.

A firm figure. It combines 41 census tracts by where Tempe’s residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Tempe flood? Sometimes: 22 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Tempe, from FEMA’s records: 0.3 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 96% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 5 claims1979: 0 claims1980: 8 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 0 claims1983: 0 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 1 claim1992: 1 claim1993: 1 claim1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 1 claim1997: 0 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 0 claims2005: 1 claim2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 1 claim2009: 0 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 0 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 2 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 1 claim2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims197819802014
19782026
22
paid claims since 1978
$246K
paid to owners
2
homes flooded more than once
$11K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (1)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
Community discount25% off flood insurance

Tempe is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 5) for its flood-proofing work.

Insurance rates: Maricopa County.
Disasters

1 federal disaster brought FEMA money to Tempe

Disasters that paid out in Tempe itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Tempe), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2014Severe Storms and Flooding$302K to the City of Tempe for repairs2 flood claims paid that year
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Tempeits 2 counties only

Its 2 counties have had 12 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 11 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in its 2 counties, 2005–2024.

Were you here?

Old photos of Tempe after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Tempe archive →
Next door

Tempe and its neighbors

Tempe is 6th of the 6 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
GuadalupeA−less damage than 83%river and rain flooding—
ChandlerB−more damage than 54%river and rain flooding3
PhoenixC+more damage than 61%river and rain flooding863
MesaCmore damage than 65%river and rain flooding37
ScottsdaleC−more damage than 76%river and rain flooding148
TempeC−more damage than 82%river and rain flooding22

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Tempe faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
  • Tempe residents get 25% off flood insurance.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Tempe

Is Tempe at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Tempe has higher expected damage per building than 82% of U.S. towns: C− for hazard risk, #80 of 140 in Arizona. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (95%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Tempe flood?

Flood insurance has paid 22 claims in Tempe since 1978, $246K in all, or 0.3 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 96% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 2 properties have flooded more than once.

Is Tempe in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Maricopa County, 29% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.6% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Tempe?

Tempe is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 5), which takes 25% off federal flood insurance policies for its flood-proofing work. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Tempe?

By FEMA money that reached Tempe, Severe Storms and Flooding (2014): $302K to the City of Tempe for repairs.

Is Tempe at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (95%), and Tempe’s rate for it is in the top 8% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Tempe.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Tempe’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.