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Houses in South Run Forest development, South Run CDP, Virginia 03Photo: Ser Amantio di Nicolao · CC BY-SA 4.0
Climate in South Run · NOAA 1991–2020 normals

South Run’s winters are milder and less snowy than most of the U.S.

A typical July afternoon reaches 88°, a January night drops to 27°, and about 13 inches of snow falls in a normal winter.

Milder January nights than 67% of U.S. towns#88Mildest winters  of 225 in VA
Less snow than 61% of U.S. towns#97Least snow  of 225 in VA
All VA rankings →

A year in South Run at a glance

Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.

Jan44°27° 5" snow
Feb47°28° 4" snow
Mar56°35°
Apr67°45° Last frost ~Apr 91 day 90°+
May75°54° 3 days 90°+
Jun83°63° 9 days 90°+
Jul88°68° 17 days 90°+Wettest
Aug86°66° 11 days 90°+
Sep79°59° 4 days 90°+
Oct68°47° First frost ~Oct 31
Nov now57°37°
Dec48°31°

What stands out about South Run’s climate

Compared with towns across the U.S., with South Run’s place in Virginia beside it.

A normal year

What a year in South Run feels like

Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.

Winter
46° / 28°
4 days with 1"+ of snow
Spring
66° / 44°
Last frost around Apr 9
Summer
86° / 66°
13 days reach 90°
Fall
68° / 48°
First frost around Oct 31
Best months to be outsideAprMayJunSepOctHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Frost, heat & the growing season

About 202 frost-free days a year

In half of years the last 32° night comes by April 9 and the first by October 31. Day counts come from NOAA’s station at Vienna, VA, 10 miles from the town’s center, 110 ft higher; frost dates and degree days from Dalecarlia Reservoir, MD, 16 miles away.

99
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
127th fewest of 225 in Virginia
Fewer freezing nights than 61% of U.S. towns
<1
nights at or below 0°
43rd fewest of 225 in Virginia
Fewer nights at or below 0° than 69% of U.S. towns
13
days that reach 90°
21st fewest of 225 in Virginia
Fewer 90° days than 65% of U.S. towns
0
days that reach 100°
None in a normal year
7bUSDA zone
Plant hardiness zone 7b

The 2023 USDA map puts South Run’s center in zone 7b: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about 6°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

25
JFMAMJJASOND

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more

17
JFMAMJJASOND
Rain & snow

About 13 inches of snow a winter

Snow, measured at Franconia 1.3 Sse, VA, falls mostly in January. Precipitation (rain plus melted snow) adds up to 43 inches a year; July is the wettest month and February the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 116 days a year.

43"
Rain + melted snow a year
154th wettest of 225 in Virginia
Wetter than 52% of U.S. towns
13"
Snow in a normal winter
97th least snowy of 225 in Virginia
Less snow than 61% of U.S. towns
12 days
With 1"+ of snow on the ground
93rd fewest of 205 in Virginia
Fewer days with snow on the ground than 59% of U.S. towns

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water

4.4"
JFMAMJJASOND

Snowfall by month

Inches of snow

5"
JFMAMJJASOND
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in South Run

77% of the work is heating. Months averaging under 55° run from November through March.

4,506 heating degree daysLess heating than 66% of U.S. towns
1,338 cooling degree daysMore cooling than 69% of U.S. towns

Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Dalecarlia Reservoir, MD.

Living here

Living with South Run’s climate

What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.

The garden window

202 frost-free days in zone 7b. The last frost comes by Apr 9 in half of years, so many gardeners wait a week or two past that to set out tomatoes. The first fall frost comes by Oct 31.

Get outside

Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: April, May, June, September and October. 8.3 miles of trails are waiting.

Parks & trails →
Storms and extremes

Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in South Run from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (79%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 7%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.

Natural hazards →
Next door

South Run and its neighbors

Every town next door is within a degree of South Run in January and July, closer than the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.

Laurel Hill: January low 27°, July high 88°West Springfield: January low 27°, July high 88°Burke Centre: January low 26°, July high 87°Kings Park West: January low 26°, July high 87°Fairfax Station: January low 26°, July high 87°Kings Park: January low 27°, July high 87°Long Branch: January low 26°, July high 87°Newington: January low 27°, July high 88°Crosspointe: January low 27°, July high 88°Burke: January low 26°, July high 87°Newington Forest: January low 27°, July high 88°South Run: January low 27°, July high 88°South RunCrosspointeBurkeNewington Forest
ColderMilder26° to 27°
Burke26.3° about the same
South Run26.6°
Crosspointe26.6° about the same
Newington Forest26.7° about the same

Climates most like South Run’s, farther away

TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.

TownJan. lowJuly highPrecip.Snow
South Run, VA27°88°43"13"
Hurricane, WV25°87°44"11"
Chester, IL24°88°44"12"
St. Louis, MO24°88°42"14"
Johnson City, TN27°87°46"9.2"

Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

The last 30 years in South Run averaged 1.7° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+2.8°).

+1.7°1991–2020 vs. 1901–2000

A bigger shift than in 75% of U.S. towns.

Winter+2.2°now 37°, was 35°
Spring+1.5°now 55°, was 54°
Summer+1.8°now 76°, was 74°
Fall+1.5°now 58°, was 57°

Change by month

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.

Compared with other towns

How South Run compares

Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with South Run’s place among Virginia’s.

Summer heat88° July high
Hotter July afternoons than 66% of U.S. towns98th hottest of 225 in Virginia
Winter cold27° January low
Milder January nights than 67% of U.S. towns88th mildest of 225 in Virginia
Precipitation43" a year
Wetter than 52% of U.S. towns154th wettest of 225 in Virginia
Snow13" a winter
Less snow than 61% of U.S. towns97th least snowy of 225 in Virginia
Hot days13 days at 90°+
Fewer 90° days than 65% of U.S. towns21st fewest of 225 in Virginia
Freezing nights99 a year
Fewer freezing nights than 61% of U.S. towns127th fewest of 225 in Virginia
Growing season202 frost-free days
A longer frost-free season than 68% of U.S. towns85th longest of 225 in Virginia
Month by month

South Run weather by month

Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at South Run’s center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Franconia 1.3 Sse, VA. 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet daysSnow on ground30-yr range
January44°27°2.9"4.8"10427° – 42°
February47°28°2.6"3.5"9527° – 45°
March56°35°3.5"2.8"9240° – 55°
April67°45°3.3"0.0"11052° – 61°
May75°54°4.1"0.0"12060° – 70°
June83°63°4.1"0.0"11069° – 78°
July88°68°4.4"0.0"9073° – 82°
August86°66°3.7"0.0"10071° – 80°
September79°59°4.3"0.0"8066° – 74°
October68°47°3.6"0.0"9053° – 64°
November57°37°3.0"0.1"8041° – 53°
December48°31°3.5"2.2"10130° – 50°
Year66°47°42.9"13.4"11612
Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average. December swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 30° to 50°. September is the most reliable, staying within 8°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Sources

Where South Run’s numbers come from

Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →

  • Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at South Run’s center.
  • Snow: Franconia 1.3 Sse, VA.
  • Frost dates, heating and cooling: Dalecarlia Reservoir, MD, 16 miles away.
  • Freezing nights, 90° and 100° days: Vienna, VA, 10 miles from the town’s center, 110 ft higher; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
  • Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
  • Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
  • Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).

Common questions about South Run’s climate

What is the weather like in South Run?

A typical July afternoon reaches 88°, a January night drops to 27°, and about 13 inches of snow falls in a normal winter. Milder January nights than 67% of U.S. towns; hotter July afternoons than 66% of U.S. towns.

How cold does it get in South Run in winter?

January nights average 27°. About 99 nights a year reach 32° or below. In the coldest January of the last 30 years the month averaged 27°.

How much snow does South Run get?

About 13 inches in a normal winter at Franconia 1.3 Sse, VA, most of it in January, with snow on the ground about 12 days a year.

How hot does it get in South Run?

July, with a typical high of 88° and a low of 68°. About 13 days a year reach 90° (Dalecarlia Reservoir, MD).

When is the first and last frost in South Run?

In half of years the last spring frost (32°) comes by April 9 and the first fall frost by October 31, about 202 frost-free days, at Dalecarlia Reservoir, MD.

What growing zone is South Run in?

Zone 7b on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about 6°.

What is the best time of year to visit South Run?

By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), April, May, June, September and October. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.

Is South Run getting warmer?

Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 1.7° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 75% of U.S. towns.

Neighbors talk weather

Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in South Run.

Town Square →
Ask your neighbors

Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.