Photo: Leonard J. DeFrancisci · CC BY-SA 3.0Dumfries’ winters are milder and less snowy than most of the U.S.
A typical July afternoon reaches 88°, a January night drops to 27°, and about 12 inches of snow falls in a normal winter.
A year in Dumfries at a glance
Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.
What stands out about Dumfries’ climate
Compared with towns across the U.S., with Dumfries’ place in Virginia beside it.
What a year in Dumfries feels like
Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.
About 226 frost-free days a year
In half of years the last 32° night comes by March 28 and the first by November 8. Frost and day counts come from NOAA’s station at Quantico Mcas, VA, 5 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height.
The 2023 USDA map puts Dumfries’ center in zone 7b: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about 8°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.
Freezing nights by month
Average nights at or below 32°
90° days by month
Average days at 90° or more
About 12 inches of snow a winter
Snow, measured at Quantico Mcas, VA, falls mostly in February. Precipitation (rain plus melted snow) adds up to 42 inches a year; September is the wettest month and February the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 118 days a year.
Rain + melted snow by month
Inches of water
Snowfall by month
Inches of snow
Heating and cooling a home in Dumfries
73% of the work is heating. Months averaging under 55° run from November through March.
Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Quantico Mcas, VA.
Living with Dumfries’ climate
What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.
226 frost-free days in zone 7b. The last frost comes by Mar 28 in half of years, so many gardeners wait a week or two past that to set out tomatoes. The first fall frost comes by Nov 8.
Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: April, May, September and October. 1.6 miles of trails are waiting.
Parks & trails →Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Dumfries from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (61%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 13%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.
Natural hazards →Dumfries and its neighbors
Every town next door is within a degree of Dumfries in January and July, closer than the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.
Climates most like Dumfries’, farther away
TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.
| Town | Jan. low | July high | Precip. | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumfries, VA | 27° | 88° | 42" | 12" |
| St. Louis, MO | 24° | 88° | 42" | 14" |
| Chester, IL | 24° | 88° | 44" | 12" |
| Hurricane, WV | 25° | 87° | 44" | 11" |
| Lewisville, NC | 28° | 88° | 45" | 7.0" |
Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.
Warmer than it used to be
The last 30 years in Dumfries averaged 1.9° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+2.9°).
A bigger shift than in 83% of U.S. towns.
Change by month
The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.
How Dumfries compares
Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Dumfries’ place among Virginia’s.
Dumfries weather by month
Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Dumfries’ center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Quantico Mcas, VA. 1991–2020 normals.
| Month | High | Low | Rain + melt | Snow | Wet days | Snow on ground | 30-yr range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 45° | 27° | 2.7" | 3.5" | 9 | 2 | 28° – 43° |
| February | 49° | 29° | 2.5" | 5.8" | 9 | 4 | 29° – 46° |
| March | 57° | 35° | 3.4" | 1.4" | 11 | 1 | 41° – 56° |
| April | 68° | 45° | 3.2" | 0.0" | 10 | 0 | 53° – 62° |
| May | 76° | 55° | 3.9" | 0.0" | 13 | 0 | 60° – 71° |
| June | 84° | 64° | 3.9" | 0.0" | 11 | 0 | 69° – 78° |
| July | 88° | 69° | 4.2" | 0.0" | 10 | 0 | 74° – 83° |
| August | 87° | 67° | 3.8" | 0.0" | 8 | 0 | 71° – 81° |
| September | 80° | 60° | 4.3" | 0.0" | 9 | 0 | 66° – 75° |
| October | 69° | 48° | 3.4" | 0.0" | 9 | 0 | 53° – 64° |
| November | 58° | 37° | 2.9" | 0.0" | 9 | 0 | 41° – 54° |
| December | 49° | 31° | 3.4" | 1.7" | 10 | 1 | 31° – 51° |
| Year | 67° | 47° | 41.7" | 12.4" | 118 | 8 |
How much a month can swing
A normal is an average. December swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 31° to 51°. September is the most reliable, staying within 8°.
Where Dumfries’ numbers come from
Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →
- Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Dumfries’ center.
- Snow: Quantico Mcas, VA.
- Frost, freezing nights, 90° and 100° days, heating and cooling: Quantico Mcas, VA, 5 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
- Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
- Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
- Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).
Common questions about Dumfries’ climate
What is the weather like in Dumfries?
A typical July afternoon reaches 88°, a January night drops to 27°, and about 12 inches of snow falls in a normal winter. Milder January nights than 67% of U.S. towns; hotter July afternoons than 70% of U.S. towns.
How cold does it get in Dumfries in winter?
January nights average 27°. About 76 nights a year reach 32° or below. In the coldest January of the last 30 years the month averaged 28°.
How much snow does Dumfries get?
About 12 inches in a normal winter at Quantico Mcas, VA, most of it in February, with snow on the ground about 8 days a year.
How hot does it get in Dumfries?
July, with a typical high of 88° and a low of 69°. About 30 days a year reach 90° (Quantico Mcas, VA).
When is the first and last frost in Dumfries?
In half of years the last spring frost (32°) comes by March 28 and the first fall frost by November 8, about 226 frost-free days, at Quantico Mcas, VA.
What growing zone is Dumfries in?
Zone 7b on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about 8°.
What is the best time of year to visit Dumfries?
By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), April, May, September and October. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.
Is Dumfries getting warmer?
Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 1.9° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 83% of U.S. towns.
Neighbors talk weather
Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Dumfries.
Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.