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The New Forest, AshurstPhoto: Mike Faherty · CC BY-SA 2.0
CHazard risk Grade
Flood & hazards in Ashurst · Environment Agency

Heavy rain is Ashurst’s main flood risk: 4.5% of homes, against 1.1% from rivers or the sea

On the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences, “high or medium” means at least a 1 in 100 chance of flooding from rivers or the sea in any year. Ashurst’s Hazard risk Grade is C.

In brief

What stands out about Ashurst’s hazards

From the Environment Agency’s maps and records and the BGS radon atlas, below.

By hazard

What Ashurst faces

Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.

Not on this page: coastal erosion, subsidence and shrink-swell ground (the British Geological Survey licenses it), groundwater flooding and reservoir failure.
Hazard risk Grade

Ashurst grades C for hazard risk

Flood risk from rivers and the sea, against all UK towns.

Homes at high or medium flood risk (1.1%)Fewer than 31% of UK towns

The share of homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea, ranked against every UK town of 1,000 or more: fewer homes at risk is better. Towns with none at high or medium risk are ordered by their share at low risk, so they don’t all share one score. Surface water and radon aren’t graded: they are described below.

Flood map

Where the water goes in Ashurst

Turn layers on and off. Blue is the risk from rivers and the sea; pink is where heavy rain collects. Both allow for flood defences.

Recorded flood: 2000© OpenStreetMap contributors · EA NaFRA2
HighMediumLowrivers & seaHighMediumLowsurface waterAshurst’s built-up area

The river and sea risk follows the Bartley Water. Surface-water risk is spread across the village, in dips, underpasses and along small streams, which is why more homes are exposed to it.

Rivers and the sea

1.1% of Ashurst’s homes are at high or medium risk from rivers or the sea

The Environment Agency’s national map, allowing for defences. A further 1.4% are at low risk.

High risk0.6%of homes · 1 in 30 a year or more7 homes, EA count
Medium risk0.5%of homes · 1 in 30 to 1 in 1005 homes, EA count
Low risk1.4%of homes · 1 in 100 to 1 in 1,00014 homes, EA count
Where Ashurst sits among 3,735 UK towns
35%None
23%Under 0.5%
9%0.5–1%
11%1–2%Ashurst
11%2–5%
5%5–10%
3%10–20%
2%20% +

Share of each UK town’s homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. 35% of UK towns have none; Ashurst has more than 69% of towns.

The Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea (NaFRA2, June 2026) counts each postcode’s homes by band; the shares weight those postcodes by Census 2021 households. The EA counts include homes built since 2021.

Surface water

Heavy rain puts about 4.1 times as many Ashurst homes at risk as rivers and the sea do

Surface water is rain that falls faster than drains and the ground can take it. It is mapped separately from rivers and the sea, and it is not in the Hazard risk Grade.

Surface water4.5%
Rivers and the sea1.1%
0%7%14% of homes

About 3.1% of homes are at high risk of surface-water flooding (a 1 in 30 chance or more each year) and 1.4% at medium risk: roughly 50 households. A further 5.3% face a low risk from surface water. That is more than 62% of UK towns.

~50
households at high or medium risk
5.3%
of homes at low risk
62%
of UK towns have a smaller share
1,286
addresses read on the map

Our estimate: every address in the village (ONS NSUL) read on the Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Surface Water map (NaFRA2, 2025), each postcode’s share weighted by its Census 2021 households. Neither agency publishes a count of homes for surface water, so treat it as a guide; one street can differ from the next.

Flood history

Ashurst has flooded in 1 recorded year since 2000

Every flood the Environment Agency has mapped inside Ashurst’s built-up area, newest first. The record is fullest for big river floods; small and surface-water floods are often missing.

  1. 2000October and December 2000: River flooding recorded1 hectare inside today’s built-up area
River levels

The Bartley Water in November 2024 rose to its 2nd-highest level since 2001

The highest level each winter (October to September) at the Environment Agency’s Ashurst Bridge gauge, since 2001. The river normally runs between 3.35 m and 5.40 m here.

Highest level each winter, metres
Winter 2010–11: highest 5.61 m · 3 days above the normal rangeWinter 2011–12: highest 5.73 m · 3 days above the normal rangeWinter 2012–13: highest 6.09 m · 18 days above the normal rangeWinter 2013–14: highest 6.14 m on 23 December 2013 · 16 days above the normal rangeWinter 2014–15: highest 5.49 m · 1 days above the normal rangeWinter 2015–16: highest 6.11 m · 11 days above the normal rangeWinter 2016–17: highest 5.69 m · 1 days above the normal rangeWinter 2017–18: highest 5.71 m · 3 days above the normal rangeWinter 2018–19: highest 5.83 m · 3 days above the normal rangeWinter 2019–20: highest 6.27 m on 16 February 2020 · 10 days above the normal rangeWinter 2020–21: highest 5.78 m · 2 days above the normal rangeWinter 2023–24: highest 6.58 m on 5 January 2024 · 27 days above the normal rangeWinter 2025–26: highest 6.54 m on 27 January 2026 · 9 days above the normal range’23–24’25–26Record 6.76 m, 2009Top of normal range
2010–112025–26
The highest days on record
  • 5 January 20246.58 m
  • 27 November 20246.57 m
  • 27 January 20266.54 m
  • 2 November 20236.51 m
  • 18 December 20256.47 m
  • 9 February 20246.28 m

The Bartley Water has topped its normal range on 107 days since 2001, most in the winters of 2023–24 and 2012–13. By its highest day, the winter of 2025–26 was the 2nd-highest of the 13.

Environment Agency Hydrology API, Ashurst Bridge (station E14540), daily maximum level; the record and normal range from the EA’s stage scale. Live river levels are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding.

Flood warnings

No flood warning or alert is in force for Ashurst · 9 warnings in 20 years

The Environment Agency has 1 flood warning area and 1 alert area reaching into the village; warnings since the service began in 2006.

Now: no flood warnings or alerts for Ashurst (checked 5 November 2026, 09:47). Check for flooding on GOV.UK →
Warnings and alerts each year for areas in Ashurst
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
Flood warning (flooding expected)Flood alert (flooding possible)

Of the 9 warnings, 9 were for Rushington and Eling on the Bartley Water. 2024 had the most warnings (2); 2016 the most alerts (4).

The most recent warning was on 19 February 2026.

Show the 2 warning and alert areas
AreaKindSince 2006Now
Rushington and Eling on the Bartley WaterWarning area9None
Bartley WaterAlert area20None

Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (first issues only, not updates; “flood watch” counted as an alert before 2011) and the real-time flood-monitoring API. Sign up for free warnings on GOV.UK or call Floodline, 0345 988 1188.

Radon

Ashurst is in the lowest radon band

Radon is a natural radioactive gas from the ground; long exposure raises the risk of lung cancer. The atlas gives the chance that a home in each 1 km square is above the UK action level (200 Bq/m³).

SU3210: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU3211: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU3310: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU3311: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU3410: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU3411: Under 1% of homes above the action level© OpenStreetMap contributors · BGS/UKHSA
Under 1%
Share of the village’s area in each band
Under 1% of homes100%

Every 1 km square over Ashurst is in the lowest band: fewer than 1 in 100 homes are expected to be above the action level.

BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3. Check an address at UKradon.org.

Neighbours

Flood risk in the places around Ashurst

Share of homes at high or medium and at low risk from rivers and the sea. Tap a town for its page.

ABCD
TownPeopleHigh or mediumLowHazard
Ashurst2,3701.1%1.4%C
Totton28,0932.9%4.3%C−
Cadnam and Bartley2,02312%7.2%D−
Marchwood5,7765.3%5.7%D
Lyndhurst2,4621.8%0.2%C−
Rownhams and Nursling4,7960%0%A
Hythe and Dibden Purlieu19,8571.1%1.7%C
Southampton249,6331.8%0.9%C−

Cadnam and Bartley, 2.4 miles north-west, has the most homes at risk around Ashurst (12% at high or medium). Rownhams and Nursling has none.

Be ready

Get ready for what Ashurst faces

Free warnings, what to do in a cloudburst, and what to check before you move.

Get the warnings
  • Sign up free for Environment Agency flood warnings by text, call or email.
  • Floodline: 0345 988 1188, 24 hours.
  • Ashurst’s warning areas include Rushington and Eling on the Bartley Water.
Sign up ↗
In a cloudburst
  • Surface water rises in minutes, often with no warning issued: stay out of underpasses and dips.
  • Keep the gullies and drains outside your home clear of leaves.
  • Report a blocked road drain to the council.
When the river rises
  • Never walk or drive through floodwater: 30 cm of moving water can float a car.
  • Move valuables, papers and medicines upstairs.
  • Turn off gas, electricity and water if you’re told to.
Before you buy or rent in Ashurst
  • Check the address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service: it gives rivers and sea and surface water separately.
  • Ask whether the home has flooded or had a flood insurance claim; the TA6 property form asks the seller.
  • Homes built before 2009 can get flood cover through Flood Re, the government-backed scheme; newer homes can’t.
How to read these numbers

What this data can and can’t tell you

  • Defences are counted. Both agencies’ maps allow for flood defences and the chance they are overtopped or fail, so a town behind a defence scheme can show few homes at high risk and many at low risk.
  • Surface water is our estimate. Neither agency publishes a count of homes at risk from surface water, so we read each address on the map. A flat on a hill and a basement in a dip can share a postcode.
  • Past floods are what was recorded. The flood outlines come from surveys, aerial photographs and reports; many small floods, and most surface-water floods, were never mapped.
  • One town, many streets. Risk is street by street. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service before you buy or rent.

Check the long-term flood risk for an address on GOV.UK →

Questions about flooding and hazards in Ashurst

Does Ashurst flood?

The last flood the Environment Agency recorded inside the village was in December 2000. 1.1% of homes are at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea on the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences. About 4.5% of homes are at high or medium risk from surface water, when heavy rain overwhelms the drains. Ashurst grades C for hazard risk against UK towns.

Which parts of Ashurst are at risk of flooding?

From rivers and the sea, the places the Environment Agency warns directly: Rushington and Eling on the Bartley Water. Surface water can collect in low spots anywhere in the village. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service.

When did Ashurst last flood?

The recorded flood outlines inside the village run from 2000 to 2000 (1 years); the largest was in 2000. Flood warnings have been issued for parts of the village since 2006, most recently on 19 February 2026.

Is Ashurst at risk of surface water flooding?

About 3.1% of homes are at high risk and 1.4% at medium risk from surface water, against 1.1% at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. Surface water floods come with little warning, and the agencies don’t issue warnings for them.

Is radon a problem in Ashurst?

Not by the atlas: every 1 km square over Ashurst is in the lowest band, where fewer than 1 in 100 homes are expected to be above the action level.

Are there flood warnings in Ashurst now?

No flood warning or alert was in force near Ashurst at 5 November 2026, 09:47. Live warnings are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding service and Floodline, 0345 988 1188.

Contains Environment Agency information © Environment Agency and/or database right 2026. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026.

Sources: Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea, postcodes in areas at risk (June 2026); Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales (May 2026); ONS Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Surface Water (NaFRA2, 2025) and Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales surface water and small watercourses, read at every address (ONS National Statistics UPRN Lookup, September 2026) and weighted by Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Recorded Flood Outlines and Natural Resources Wales historic flood map, inside the ONS 2022 built-up-area boundary · Environment Agency Hydrology API (daily maximum river level) and flood-monitoring stage scales · Environment Agency real-time flood-monitoring API · Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (January 2006 to June 2026) and flood warning and alert areas · BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3, by 1 km square · TownRatings grades: our own summary of the data, ranked against UK towns only. All under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026 (ONS boundaries). Northern Ireland: Source: NISRA; contains Land & Property Services data and Ordnance Survey of Northern Ireland information, © Crown copyright, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Scotland: contains National Records of Scotland data, Registers of Scotland data and SEPA data, © Crown copyright / © SEPA 2025, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.