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Houses on The Promenade, Kinmel Bay (geograph 4175274)Photo: Ian S · CC BY-SA 2.0
B−Hazard risk Grade
Flood & hazards in Kinmel Bay · NRW

Rivers or the sea put 0.3% of Kinmel Bay’s homes at high or medium flood risk

On Natural Resources Wales’s maps, which allow for flood defences, “high or medium” means at least a 1 in 100 chance of flooding from rivers or the sea in any year (1 in 200 for the sea in Wales). Kinmel Bay’s Hazard risk Grade is B−: #22 of 39 in Clwyd.

By hazard

What Kinmel Bay faces

Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.

Not on this page: coastal erosion, subsidence and shrink-swell ground (the British Geological Survey licenses it), groundwater flooding and reservoir failure.
Hazard risk Grade

Kinmel Bay grades B− for hazard risk

Flood risk from rivers and the sea, against all UK towns.

Homes at high or medium flood risk (0.3%)Fewer than 46% of UK towns

The share of homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea, ranked against every UK town of 1,000 or more: fewer homes at risk is better. Towns with none at high or medium risk are ordered by their share at low risk, so they don’t all share one score. Surface water and radon aren’t graded: they are described below.

Flood map

Where the water goes in Kinmel Bay

Turn layers on and off. Blue is the risk from rivers and the sea; pink is where heavy rain collects. Both allow for flood defences.

River Gele: 1964Recorded flood: 1977Recorded flood: 1990Recorded flood: 1997Recorded flood: 2013© OpenStreetMap contributors · NRW FRAW
RiversSeaSurface waterdarker = higher riskKinmel Bay’s built-up area

The river and sea risk follows the Irish Sea, the Elwy and the Aled. Surface-water risk is patchier: dips, underpasses and small streams.

Rivers and the sea

0.3% of Kinmel Bay’s homes are at high or medium risk from rivers or the sea

Natural Resources Wales’s national map, allowing for defences. A further 97% are at low risk.

High risk0.3%of homes · 1 in 30 a year or more
Medium riskunder 0.1%of homes · 1 in 30 to 1 in 100 (sea: 200)
Low risk97%of homes · 1 in 100 (sea: 200) to 1 in 1,000
Where Kinmel Bay sits among 3,735 UK towns
35%None
23%Under 0.5%Kinmel Bay
9%0.5–1%
11%1–2%
11%2–5%
5%5–10%
3%10–20%
2%20% +

Share of each UK town’s homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. 35% of UK towns have none; Kinmel Bay has more than 54% of towns.

Towns its size: 276th of 528 from the fewest homes at risk
#TownPeopleHigh or med.
1Thame Oxfordshire12,9520%
2Amesbury Wiltshire12,6760%
3Chorleywood Hertfordshire12,6320%
…
274Whiteley Hampshire9,3500.3%
275Billingshurst West Sussex9,1210.3%
276Kinmel Bay Clwyd9,0160.3%
277Barton on Sea Hampshire6,7630.3%
278Wincanton Somerset6,7440.3%
…
527Old Windsor and Wraysbury Berkshire7,68937%
528Bentley South Yorkshire12,04440%

UK towns of 6,000 to 13,000 people.

Natural Resources Wales’s Flood Risk Assessment Wales map (May 2026) tested against every address in the town (ONS NSUL), weighted by Census 2021 households. Rivers and sea can overlap; the worse band counts.

Surface water

Rivers and the sea, more than heavy rain, are Kinmel Bay’s flood risk

Surface water is rain that falls faster than drains and the ground can take it. It is mapped separately from rivers and the sea, and it is not in the Hazard risk Grade.

Surface waterunder 0.1%
Rivers and the sea0.3%
0%49%98% of homes

About under 0.1% of homes are at high risk of surface-water flooding (a 1 in 30 chance or more each year) and under 0.1% at medium risk. A further 0.3% face a low risk from surface water. That is more than 1% of UK towns.

0
households at high or medium risk
0.3%
of homes at low risk
1%
of UK towns have a smaller share
5,177
addresses read on the map

Our estimate: every address in the town (ONS NSUL) read on Natural Resources Wales’s Flood Risk Assessment Wales map of surface water and small watercourses, each postcode’s share weighted by its Census 2021 households. Neither agency publishes a count of homes for surface water, so treat it as a guide; one street can differ from the next.

Flood history

Kinmel Bay has flooded in 5 recorded years since 1964, most of all in 1990

Every flood Natural Resources Wales has mapped inside Kinmel Bay’s built-up area, newest first. The record is fullest for big river floods; small and surface-water floods are often missing.

  1. 2013December 2013: The sea came in16 hectares inside today’s built-up area
  2. 1997February 1997: The sea came inUnder 1 hectare inside today’s built-up area · Kinmel Bay
  3. 1990February 1990: The sea came in352 hectares inside today’s built-up area
  4. 1977February 1977: River flooding recordedUnder 1 hectare inside today’s built-up area
  5. 1964January 1964: The River Gele overflowed4 hectares inside today’s built-up area
The worst: 1990352 ha

Floodwater covered 352 hectares of what is now Kinmel Bay in 1990, the largest flood the record holds here (February).

3,361 of Kinmel Bay’s households today live inside the outline of a recorded flood.

Since 1990, the largest recorded flood inside the town covered 16 hectares.

Flood warnings

Natural Resources Wales warns 5 areas in Kinmel Bay

Natural Resources Wales issues flood alerts and warnings for Wales; the Environment Agency’s live service covers England only. Both run Floodline, 0345 988 1188.

Show the 7 warning and alert areas
AreaKindRiver or sea
Elwy and Gele catchmentAlert areaElwy, Aled, Gele, Clwyd
North East Wales coastlineAlert areaIrish Sea
Clwyd Left BankWarning areaIrish Sea
Kinmel BayWarning areaIrish Sea
Kinmel Bay Promenade and Sandy CoveWarning areaIrish Sea
Towyn, Belgrano and PensarnWarning areaIrish Sea
Towyn, Belgrano and Pensarn SeafrontWarning areaIrish Sea

Flood warnings in Wales (NRW) →

Radon

Parts of Kinmel Bay are in radon Affected Areas, at the low end

Radon is a natural radioactive gas from the ground; long exposure raises the risk of lung cancer. The atlas gives the chance that a home in each 1 km square is above the UK action level (200 Bq/m³).

SH9578: 3–5% of homes above the action levelSH9579: 3–5% of homes above the action levelSH9678: 3–5% of homes above the action levelSH9679: 3–5% of homes above the action levelSH9778: 3–5% of homes above the action levelSH9779: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSH9780: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSH9878: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSH9879: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSH9880: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSH9978: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSH9979: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSH9980: Under 1% of homes above the action level© OpenStreetMap contributors · BGS/UKHSA
Under 1%3–5%
Share of the town’s area in each band
Under 1% of homes78%
3–5% of homes22%

22% of Kinmel Bay’s built-up area is in a radon Affected Area (1% of homes or more above the action level).

The squares are indicative: each takes the highest band found anywhere inside it, so most homes in a coloured square are below it. Only a three-month test in the home gives a real answer.

BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3. Check an address at UKradon.org.

Neighbours

Flood risk in the places around Kinmel Bay

Share of homes at high or medium and at low risk from rivers and the sea. Tap a town for its page.

ABCD
TownPeopleHigh or mediumLowHazard
Kinmel Bay9,0160.3%97%B−
Rhyl26,9820.8%34%C+
Bodelwyddan1,7850%under 0.1%B+
Pensarn1,3290.1%97%B
Rhuddlan3,7910.7%3.7%C+
Abergele8,5310.5%6.7%C+
St Asaph3,4830.5%41%C+
Dyserth2,0385.5%0.7%D

Dyserth, 4.5 miles east, has the most homes at risk around Kinmel Bay (5.5% at high or medium). Bodelwyddan has none.

Be ready

Get ready for what Kinmel Bay faces

Free warnings, what to do in a cloudburst, and what to check before you move.

Get the warnings
  • Sign up free for Natural Resources Wales flood warnings by text, call or email.
  • Floodline: 0345 988 1188, 24 hours.
  • Kinmel Bay’s warning areas include Clwyd Left Bank and Kinmel Bay.
Sign up ↗
In a cloudburst
  • Surface water rises in minutes, often with no warning issued: stay out of underpasses and dips.
  • Keep the gullies and drains outside your home clear of leaves.
  • Report a blocked road drain to the council.
Radon
  • Test over three months, in a living room and a bedroom.
  • Above 200 Bq/m³, a small sump and fan usually fixes it.
  • New homes in radon areas are built with protection: basic from 3%, full from 10%.
UKradon ↗
Before you buy or rent in Kinmel Bay
  • Check the address on Natural Resources Wales’s flood map: it shows rivers, the sea and surface water.
  • Ask whether the home has flooded or had a flood insurance claim; the TA6 property form asks the seller.
  • Homes built before 2009 can get flood cover through Flood Re, the government-backed scheme; newer homes can’t.
  • Check radon for the address on UKradon.org (a small fee) or ask the seller for a test result.
How to read these numbers

What this data can and can’t tell you

  • Defences are counted. Both agencies’ maps allow for flood defences and the chance they are overtopped or fail, so a town behind a defence scheme can show few homes at high risk and many at low risk.
  • Surface water is our estimate. Neither agency publishes a count of homes at risk from surface water, so we read each address on the map. A flat on a hill and a basement in a dip can share a postcode.
  • Past floods are what was recorded. The flood outlines come from surveys, aerial photographs and reports; many small floods, and most surface-water floods, were never mapped.
  • One town, many streets. Risk is street by street. Check a specific address on Natural Resources Wales’s flood risk map before you buy or rent.
  • Wales is measured slightly differently. NRW publishes no count of homes at risk, so each address in the town is tested against its map. Addresses include garages, chapels and shops, and NRW’s medium band for the sea runs to 1 in 200 (England’s stops at 1 in 100), so Welsh figures lean a little higher than English ones.

Natural Resources Wales flood risk map →

Questions about flooding and hazards in Kinmel Bay

Does Kinmel Bay flood?

The last flood Natural Resources Wales recorded inside the town was in December 2013. 0.3% of homes are at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea on Natural Resources Wales’s maps, which allow for flood defences. About under 0.1% of homes are at high or medium risk from surface water, when heavy rain overwhelms the drains. Kinmel Bay grades B− for hazard risk against UK towns.

Which parts of Kinmel Bay are at risk of flooding?

From rivers and the sea, the places Natural Resources Wales warns directly: Clwyd Left Bank, Kinmel Bay, Towyn, Belgrano and Pensarn and Kinmel Bay Promenade and Sandy Cove. Surface water can collect in low spots anywhere in the town. Check a specific address on NRW’s flood risk map.

When did Kinmel Bay last flood?

The recorded flood outlines inside the town run from 1964 to 2013 (5 years); the largest was in 1990.

Is Kinmel Bay at risk of surface water flooding?

About under 0.1% of homes are at high risk and under 0.1% at medium risk from surface water, against 0.3% at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. Surface water floods come with little warning, and the agencies don’t issue warnings for them.

Is radon a problem in Kinmel Bay?

22% of the town’s built-up area is in a radon Affected Area on the BGS/UKHSA atlas. Most homes are below it; a three-month test is the only way to know.

Where can I find flood warnings for Kinmel Bay?

Natural Resources Wales issues flood warnings and alerts for Wales on its flood warnings service, and runs Floodline (0345 988 1188) with the Environment Agency.

Contains Natural Resources Wales information © Natural Resources Body for Wales and database right. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026.

Sources: Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea, postcodes in areas at risk (June 2026); Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales (May 2026); ONS Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Surface Water (NaFRA2, 2025) and Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales surface water and small watercourses, read at every address (ONS National Statistics UPRN Lookup, September 2026) and weighted by Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Recorded Flood Outlines and Natural Resources Wales historic flood map, inside the ONS 2022 built-up-area boundary · BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3, by 1 km square · TownRatings grades: our own summary of the data, ranked against UK towns only. All under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026 (ONS boundaries). Northern Ireland: Source: NISRA; contains Land & Property Services data and Ordnance Survey of Northern Ireland information, © Crown copyright, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Scotland: contains National Records of Scotland data, Registers of Scotland data and SEPA data, © Crown copyright / © SEPA 2025, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.