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B−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Providence Village · FEMA

Providence Village’s building-damage rate from hail is in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Providence Village gets a B− for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 53% of U.S. towns, #294 of 642 in Texas. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (57%), then hail (20%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 53%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#294 of 642 in Texas
By hazard

What Providence Village faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

57%of expected building damage
Below average · lower than 61% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area

Hail

20%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 10 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

16%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 7% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Wildfire Ice storms Earthquakes Cold waves top 1% Strong wind Winter storms Lightning Hurricanes Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts tornadoes at 45% of Providence Village’s expected losses. Tornadoes do little damage to buildings (16.5%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Providence Village’s grade

River and rain flooding is 57% of the building damage FEMA expects in Providence Village, and Providence Village’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 61% of U.S. census tracts. Hail adds 20%, at a rate in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Providence Village sits
Providence Village
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B− #294 of 642 in Texas; lower expected damage per building than 53% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Providence Village’s residents live in 3 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding57%Hail20%Tornadoes16%Everything else6%

The typical Texas town has higher expected damage than 50% of U.S. towns; within the state, Providence Village has less expected damage per building than 54% of Texas towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $2.6M a year in losses across Providence Village: $1.3M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. Providence Village covers 3 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Providence Village flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Providence Village. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Providence Village isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Denton County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
3storm safe rooms built
Disasters

3 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Providence Village

Disasters that paid out in Providence Village itself (aid to households or repair grants to the Town of Providence Village), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2024Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding12 households applied for aid$6K aid approved
  2. 2021Severe Winter Storms33 households applied for aid$8K aid approved
  3. 2007Severe Storms and Tornadoes2 households applied for aid$6K aid approved
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Providence VillageDenton County only

Denton County has had 17 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then hurricanes and tropical storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 1 FEMA wildfire suppression grant (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Denton County, 2006–2006.

Were you here?

Old photos of Providence Village after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Providence Village archive →
Next door

Providence Village and its neighbors

Providence Village has the lowest expected damage per building of the 3 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Little Elm: hazard risk B−Cross Roads: hazard risk B−Little ElmCross RoadsProvidence Village
Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Providence VillageB−less damage than 53%river and rain flooding0
Little ElmB−less damage than 52%river and rain flooding6
Cross RoadsB−more damage than 51%river and rain flooding3

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Providence Village faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hail
  • Park in a garage or under cover when storms are forecast.
  • Stay away from windows while it falls.
  • Photograph roof and car damage for your insurer.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Providence Village

Is Providence Village at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Providence Village has lower expected damage per building than 53% of U.S. towns: B− for hazard risk, #294 of 642 in Texas. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (57%) and hail (20%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Providence Village in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Denton County, 28% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.7% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Providence Village?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Providence Village’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Providence Village?

By FEMA money that reached Providence Village, Severe Winter Storms (2021): 33 households applied for aid, $8K approved.

Is Providence Village at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (57%), and Providence Village’s rate for it is lower than 61% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Providence Village.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Providence Village’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.