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Historic downtown Germantown TN 16Photo: Thomas R Machnitzki · CC BY 3.0
CHazard risk
Natural hazards in Germantown · FEMA

More hazard damage per building is expected in Germantown than in 70% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Germantown gets a C for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns, #125 of 177 in Tennessee. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (59%), then earthquakes (27%). Flood insurance has paid 52 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 70%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#125 of 177 in Tennessee
Hazard risk
C#125 of 177
in Tennessee · higher than 70% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
River and rain flooding
59% of expected building damage
Flood claims
52
paid since 1978 · $2.9M
Flooded more than once
8
properties · 2 “severe repetitive loss”
Disasters paid out here
12
of 21 declared for Shelby County
By hazard

What Germantown faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

59%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 64% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 5 times a year in the area

Earthquakes

27%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 84% of U.S. census tracts

Tornadoes

13%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 7% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Strong wind Ice storms Hurricanes Hail Wildfire Winter storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 10% of Germantown’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Germantown’s grade

River and rain flooding is 59% of the building damage FEMA expects in Germantown, and Germantown’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 64% of U.S. census tracts. Tornadoes add 13%, at a rate in the top 7% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Germantown sits
Germantown
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C #125 of 177 in Tennessee; higher expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Germantown’s residents live in 13 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding59%Earthquakes27%Tornadoes13%Everything else1%

The typical Tennessee town has higher expected damage than 53% of U.S. towns; within the state, Germantown has more expected damage per building than 70% of Tennessee towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $28.0M a year in losses across Germantown: $18.3M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A firm figure. It combines 13 census tracts by where Germantown’s residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Germantown flood? Sometimes: 52 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Germantown, from FEMA’s records: 3.2 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 50% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 1 claim1979: 0 claims1980: 0 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 2 claims1983: 0 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 1 claim1992: 0 claims1993: 1 claim1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 13 claims1997: 1 claim1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 1 claim2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 3 claims2011: 0 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 3 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 2 claims2017: 1 claim2018: 0 claims2019: 16 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 1 claim2022: 0 claims2023: 6 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims199620192023
19782026
Biggest named events
  • The Late spring storms2 claims · $26K
52
paid claims since 1978
$2.9M
paid to owners
8
homes flooded more than once
$56K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (2)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Germantown isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Shelby County.
Disasters

12 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Germantown

Disasters that paid out in Germantown itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Germantown), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2026Severe Winter Storm55 households applied for aid$23K aid approved$5K to the City of Germantown for repairs
  2. 2025Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding$209K to the City of Germantown for repairs
  3. 2023Severe Storms and Straight-line Winds$186K to the City of Germantown for repairs6 flood claims paid that year
  4. 2022Severe Winter Storm$60K to the City of Germantown for repairs
  5. 2022Severe Winter Storm$686K to the City of Germantown for repairs
  6. 2017Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding$43K to the City of Germantown for repairs1 flood claim paid that year
Show all 12
  1. 2011Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding2 households applied for aid$4K to the City of Germantown for repairs
  2. 2011Severe Storms, Flooding, Tornadoes, and Straight-line Winds$76K to the City of Germantown for repairs
  3. 2010Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-line Winds, and Tornadoes9 households applied for aid$424 aid approved$18K to the City of Germantown for repairs3 flood claims paid that year
  4. 2009Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding$33K to the City of Germantown for repairs
  5. 2008Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, and Flooding5 households applied for aid$26K to the City of Germantown for repairs
  6. 2003Severe Storms, High Winds, and Heavy Rain110 households applied for aid$5K aid approved$482K to the City of Germantown for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in GermantownShelby County only

Shelby County has had 21 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then winter storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Were you here?

Old photos of Germantown after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Germantown archive →
Next door

Germantown and its neighbors

Germantown has the lowest expected damage per building of the 3 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
GermantownCmore damage than 70%river and rain flooding52
ColliervilleCmore damage than 70%river and rain flooding22
MemphisCmore damage than 75%earthquakes345

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Germantown faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Germantown

Is Germantown at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Germantown has higher expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns: C for hazard risk, #125 of 177 in Tennessee. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (59%) and earthquakes (27%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Germantown flood?

Flood insurance has paid 52 claims in Germantown since 1978, $2.9M in all, or 3.2 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 50% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 8 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Late spring storms (2).

Is Germantown in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Shelby County, 18% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.6% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Germantown?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Germantown’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Germantown?

By FEMA money that reached Germantown, Severe Winter Storm (2022): $686K to the City of Germantown for repairs. By flood claims, Late spring storms: 2 paid, $26K.

Is Germantown at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (59%), and Germantown’s rate for it is higher than 64% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Germantown.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Germantown’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.