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The Jay Estate in Rye, NYPhoto: JayHeritageCenter · CC BY-SA 4.0
C+Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Rye · FEMA

Rye’s building-damage rate from coastal flooding is in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Rye gets a C+ for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 57% of U.S. towns, #572 of 758 in New York. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (84%). Flood insurance has paid 1,566 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 57%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#572 of 758 in New York
Hazard risk
C+#572 of 758
in New York · higher than 57% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
River and rain flooding
84% of expected building damage
Flood claims
1,566
paid since 1978 · $59.9M
Flooded more than once
237
properties · 103 “severe repetitive loss”
Disasters paid out here
9
of 23 declared for Westchester County

What stands out about Rye’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Rye faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

84%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 72% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 4 times a year in the area

Coastal flooding

6%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts

Hurricanes

5%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 72% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 7 years in the area
Smaller shares here
 Earthquakes Tornadoes Strong wind Ice storms Lightning Hail Wildfire Winter storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
AvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Rye’s grade

River and rain flooding is 84% of the building damage FEMA expects in Rye, and Rye’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 72% of U.S. census tracts. Coastal flooding adds 6%, at a rate in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Rye sits
Rye
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C+ #572 of 758 in New York; higher expected damage per building than 57% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Rye’s residents live in 3 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding84%Coastal flooding6%Hurricanes5%Everything else5%

The typical New York town has lower expected damage than 69% of U.S. towns; within the state, Rye has more expected damage per building than 75% of New York towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $7.0M a year in losses across Rye: $5.4M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Recent disaster.FEMA’s model looks at expected damage to the buildings standing today. After Remnants of Hurricane Ida in 2021, FEMA took 626 aid registrations from Rye addresses (the town has 6,108 homes).
A small-area figure. Rye covers 3 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Rye flood? Yes: 1,566 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Rye, from FEMA’s records: 256.4 per 1,000 homes, more than 99% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 20 claims1979: 121 claims1980: 137 claims1981: 2 claims1982: 19 claims1983: 9 claims1984: 73 claims1985: 1 claim1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 4 claims1990: 2 claims1991: 22 claims1992: 78 claims1993: 1 claim1994: 2 claims1995: 1 claim1996: 88 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 3 claims1999: 8 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 2 claims2002: 4 claims2003: 1 claim2004: 49 claims2005: 2 claims2006: 3 claims2007: 278 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 29 claims2011: 217 claims2012: 108 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 1 claim2015: 1 claim2016: 0 claims2017: 1 claim2018: 10 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 235 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 31 claims2024: 3 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims200720112021
19782026
Biggest named events
  • Hurricane Ida229 claims · $21.9M
  • Hurricane Irene197 claims · $8.0M
1,566
paid claims since 1978
$59.9M
paid to owners
237
homes flooded more than once
$38K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
Each house = 4 homesFEMA “severe repetitive loss” (103)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Rye isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Westchester County.
Disasters

9 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Rye

Disasters that paid out in Rye itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Rye), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2023Severe Storm and Flooding$243K to the City of Rye for repairs31 flood claims paid that year
  2. 2021Remnants of Hurricane Ida626 households applied for aid$2.7M aid approved$2.2M to the City of Rye for repairs229 flood claims paid for it, $21.9M
  3. 2020Tropical Storm Isaias$523K to the City of Rye for repairs
  4. 2012Hurricane Sandy197 households applied for aid$204K aid approved$1.7M to the City of Rye for repairs107 flood claims paid for it, $8.3M
  5. 2011Hurricane Irene204 households applied for aid$365K aid approved$279K to the City of Rye for repairs197 flood claims paid for it, $8.0M
  6. 2010Severe Storms and Flooding$176K to the City of Rye for repairs29 flood claims paid that year
Show all 9
  1. 2007Severe Storms and Inland and Coastal Flooding208 households applied for aid$462K aid approved$1.5M to the City of Rye for repairs278 flood claims paid that year
  2. 2003Snow$39K to the City of Rye for repairs1 flood claim paid that year
  3. 1999Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster Declarations$29K to the City of Rye for repairs8 flood claims paid that year
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in RyeWestchester County only

Westchester County has had 23 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often hurricanes and tropical storms, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees; the 2001 World Trade Center declarations.

Were you here?

Old photos of Rye after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Rye archive →
Next door

Rye and its neighbors

Rye is 5th of the 9 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
HarrisonAless damage than 89%river and rain flooding777
Oyster BayAless damage than 87%river and rain flooding4,654
Rye BrookBless damage than 63%river and rain flooding250
MamaroneckBless damage than 56%river and rain flooding524
RyeC+more damage than 57%river and rain flooding1,566
MamaroneckC+more damage than 60%river and rain flooding1,767
RyeC+more damage than 62%river and rain flooding786
GreenwichCmore damage than 70%river and rain flooding1,198
Port ChesterCmore damage than 71%river and rain flooding145
Harrison—not graded yet

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Rye faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
When the tide surges
  • Know your evacuation zone and the way off the coast.
  • Storm surge comes fast: leave when you’re told, not when the water arrives.
  • Move cars to high ground before king tides and nor’easters.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hurricane season
  • The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
  • Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
  • Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Rye

Is Rye at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Rye has higher expected damage per building than 57% of U.S. towns: C+ for hazard risk, #572 of 758 in New York. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (84%) and coastal flooding (6%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Rye flood?

Flood insurance has paid 1,566 claims in Rye since 1978, $59.9M in all, or 256.4 per 1,000 homes, more than 99% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 237 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Hurricane Ida (229).

Is Rye in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Westchester County, 64% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 3.0% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Rye?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Rye’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Rye?

By FEMA money that reached Rye, Remnants of Hurricane Ida (2021): 626 households applied for aid, $2.7M approved, and $2.2M to the City of Rye for repairs. By flood claims, Hurricane Ida: 229 paid, $21.9M.

Is Rye at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (84%), and Rye’s rate for it is higher than 72% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Rye.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Rye’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.