Clifton Springs Sanitarium Historic District · Photo: Doug Kerr from Albany, NY, United States · CC BY-SA 2.0Afternoon heat in Manchester trails that of 88% of U.S. towns
On a normal January night the air cools to about 17°. By precipitation alone, it ranks drier than 76% of U.S. towns. Decade by decade the climate has edged up, 1.4° above 1901–2000. Warm coats and heating bills mark the months from November to April, when means dip under 50°.
A year in Manchester at a glance
Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.
What stands out about Manchester’s climate
Compared with towns across the U.S., with Manchester’s place in New York beside it.
What a year in Manchester feels like
Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.
About 175 frost-free days a year
In half of years the last 32° night comes by April 29 and the first by October 22. Frost and day counts come from NOAA’s station at Canandaigua 3 S, NY, 11 miles from the town’s center, 140 ft higher.
The 2023 USDA map puts Manchester’s center in zone 6b: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about −4°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.
Freezing nights by month
Average nights at or below 32°
90° days by month
Average days at 90° or more
About 57 inches of snow a winter
Snow, measured at Geneva Rsch Farm, NY, is heaviest from January through March, about 13 inches a month. Precipitation (rain plus melted snow) adds up to 35 inches a year; July is the wettest month and February the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 153 days a year.
Rain + melted snow by month
Inches of water
Snowfall by month
Inches of snow
Heating and cooling a home in Manchester
91% of the work is heating, so the furnace matters far more than the air conditioner. Months averaging under 55° run from October through April.
Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Canandaigua 3 S, NY.
Living with Manchester’s climate
What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.
175 frost-free days in zone 6b. The last frost comes by Apr 29 in half of years, so many gardeners wait a week or two past that to set out tomatoes. The first fall frost comes by Oct 22.
Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: May, June, July, August and September. 2.5 miles of trails are waiting.
Parks & trails →Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Manchester from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (82%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 3%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.
Natural hazards →Manchester and its neighbors
Every town next door is within a degree of Manchester in January and July, closer than the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.
Climates most like Manchester’s, farther away
TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.
| Town | Jan. low | July high | Precip. | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester, NY | 17° | 81° | 35" | 57" |
| South Milwaukee, WI | 16° | 81° | 34" | 49" |
| Lansing, MI | 16° | 82° | 35" | 50" |
| Park City, IL | 16° | 82° | 37" | 43" |
| Michigan City, IN | 19° | 82° | 39" | 65" |
Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.
Warmer than it used to be
The last 30 years in Manchester averaged 1.4° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+2.9°).
A bigger shift than in 52% of U.S. towns.
Change by month
The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.
How Manchester compares
Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Manchester’s place among New York’s.
Manchester weather by month
Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Manchester’s center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Geneva Rsch Farm, NY. 1991–2020 normals.
| Month | High | Low | Rain + melt | Snow | Wet days | Snow on ground | 30-yr range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 32° | 17° | 2.2" | 13.5" | 14 | 21 | 14° – 34° |
| February | 34° | 18° | 1.9" | 13.3" | 11 | 21 | 11° – 34° |
| March | 42° | 25° | 2.4" | 12.8" | 12 | 15 | 26° – 46° |
| April | 56° | 35° | 2.9" | 1.8" | 13 | 1 | 39° – 52° |
| May | 68° | 46° | 3.1" | 0.0" | 13 | 0 | 51° – 63° |
| June | 77° | 56° | 3.6" | 0.0" | 13 | 0 | 63° – 71° |
| July | 81° | 61° | 3.7" | 0.0" | 12 | 0 | 66° – 75° |
| August | 80° | 59° | 3.4" | 0.0" | 12 | 0 | 66° – 74° |
| September | 73° | 52° | 3.3" | 0.0" | 12 | 0 | 59° – 67° |
| October | 60° | 42° | 3.6" | 0.1" | 16 | 0 | 47° – 57° |
| November | 48° | 32° | 2.6" | 4.7" | 12 | 4 | 35° – 47° |
| December | 37° | 24° | 2.6" | 10.4" | 13 | 15 | 22° – 41° |
| Year | 57° | 39° | 35.2" | 56.6" | 153 | 77 |
How much a month can swing
A normal is an average. February swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 11° to 34°. September is the most reliable, staying within 7°.
Where Manchester’s numbers come from
Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →
- Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Manchester’s center.
- Snow: Geneva Rsch Farm, NY.
- Frost, freezing nights, 90° and 100° days, heating and cooling: Canandaigua 3 S, NY, 11 miles from the town’s center, 140 ft higher; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
- Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
- Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
- Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).
Common questions about Manchester’s climate
What is the weather like in Manchester?
A typical July afternoon reaches 81°, a January night drops to 17°, and about 57 inches of snow falls in a normal winter. Colder January nights than 73% of U.S. towns; cooler July afternoons than 88% of U.S. towns.
How cold does it get in Manchester in winter?
January nights average 17°. About 127 nights a year reach 32° or below and 4 reach 0° or below. In the coldest January of the last 30 years the month averaged 14°.
How much snow does Manchester get?
About 57 inches in a normal winter at Geneva Rsch Farm, NY, heaviest from January through March, about 13 inches a month, with snow on the ground about 77 days a year.
How hot does it get in Manchester?
July, with a typical high of 81° and a low of 61°. About 8 days a year reach 90° (Canandaigua 3 S, NY).
When is the first and last frost in Manchester?
In half of years the last spring frost (32°) comes by April 29 and the first fall frost by October 22, about 175 frost-free days, at Canandaigua 3 S, NY.
What growing zone is Manchester in?
Zone 6b on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about −4°.
What is the best time of year to visit Manchester?
By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), May, June, July, August and September. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.
Is Manchester getting warmer?
Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 1.4° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 52% of U.S. towns.
Neighbors talk weather
Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Manchester.
Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.