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ClarenceHollowPhoto: Andre Carrotflower · CC BY-SA 3.0
B+Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Clarence · FEMA

FEMA expects less hazard damage per building in Clarence than in 70% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Clarence gets a B+ for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns, #369 of 758 in New York. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (96%). Flood insurance has paid 22 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 70%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#369 of 758 in New York

What stands out about Clarence’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Clarence faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

96%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 62% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 4 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Tornadoes Earthquakes Hurricanes Ice storms Strong wind Wildfire Hail Winter storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 17% of Clarence’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Clarence’s grade

River and rain flooding is 96% of the building damage FEMA expects in Clarence, and Clarence’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 62% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Clarence sits
Clarence
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B+ #369 of 758 in New York; lower expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Clarence’s residents live in 7 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding96%Everything else4%

The typical New York town has lower expected damage than 69% of U.S. towns; within the state, Clarence has less expected damage per building than 51% of New York towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $11.6M a year in losses across Clarence: $8.9M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A firm figure. It combines 7 census tracts by where Clarence’s residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Clarence flood? Sometimes: 22 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Clarence, from FEMA’s records: 1.6 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 68% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 1 claim1979: 5 claims1980: 0 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 0 claims1983: 0 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 2 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 0 claims1994: 1 claim1995: 0 claims1996: 0 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 5 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 1 claim2003: 0 claims2004: 0 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 3 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 1 claim2011: 0 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 2 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 1 claim2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims197919982006
19782026
22
paid claims since 1978
$72K
paid to owners
1
homes flooded more than once
$3K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Clarence isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Erie County.
Disasters

6 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Clarence

Disasters that paid out in Clarence itself (aid to households or repair grants to the Town of Clarence), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2022Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm$297K to the Town of Clarence for repairs
  2. 2006Severe Storms and Flooding298 households applied for aid$124K aid approved$864K to the Town of Clarence for repairs3 flood claims paid that year
  3. 2001Severe Winter Storm$42K to the Town of Clarence for repairs
  4. 2001Snow$91K to the Town of Clarence for repairs
  5. 2000Snow$51K to the Town of Clarence for repairs
  6. 1999Snow$26K to the Town of Clarence for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in ClarenceErie County only

Erie County has had 20 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often winter storms, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees; the 2001 World Trade Center declarations.

Were you here?

Old photos of Clarence after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Clarence archive →
Next door

Clarence and its neighbors

Clarence is 3rd of the 5 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
LancasterA−less damage than 84%river and rain flooding31
RoyaltonA−less damage than 83%river and rain flooding10
ClarenceB+less damage than 70%river and rain flooding22
NewsteadBless damage than 61%river and rain flooding5
AmherstBless damage than 60%river and rain flooding263
Lockport—not graded yet
Rapids—a Census area inside a town; graded with the town
Harris Hill—a Census area inside a town; graded with the town

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Clarence faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Clarence

Is Clarence at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Clarence has lower expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns: B+ for hazard risk, #369 of 758 in New York. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (96%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Clarence flood?

Flood insurance has paid 22 claims in Clarence since 1978, $72K in all, or 1.6 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 68% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 1 properties have flooded more than once.

Is Clarence in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Erie County, 28% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.4% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Clarence?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Clarence’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Clarence?

By FEMA money that reached Clarence, Severe Storms and Flooding (2006): 298 households applied for aid, $124K approved, and $864K to the Town of Clarence for repairs.

Is Clarence at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (96%), and Clarence’s rate for it is higher than 62% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Clarence.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Clarence’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.