Photo: Former Wikipedia user Wikilagata (C.C. Sabathia) · Public domainCarmel’s winters are colder and snowier than most of the U.S.
A typical July afternoon reaches 83°, a January night drops to 18°, and about 40 inches of snow falls in a normal winter.
A year in Carmel at a glance
Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.
What stands out about Carmel’s climate
Compared with towns across the U.S., with Carmel’s place in New York beside it.
What a year in Carmel feels like
Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.
About 172 frost-free days a year
In half of years the last 32° night comes by April 30 and the first by October 17. Day counts come from NOAA’s station at Carmel 4n, NY, 7 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height; frost dates and degree days from Shrub Oak, NY, 7 miles away.
The 2023 USDA map puts Carmel’s center in zone 6b: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about −2°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.
Freezing nights by month
Average nights at or below 32°
90° days by month
Average days at 90° or more
About 40 inches of snow a winter
Snow, measured at Yorktown Hts 1w, NY, falls mostly in February. Precipitation (rain plus melted snow) adds up to 48 inches a year; October is the wettest month and February the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 122 days a year.
Rain + melted snow by month
Inches of water
Snowfall by month
Inches of snow
Heating and cooling a home in Carmel
90% of the work is heating, so the furnace matters far more than the air conditioner. Months averaging under 55° run from October through April.
Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Shrub Oak, NY.
Living with Carmel’s climate
What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.
172 frost-free days in zone 6b. The last frost comes by Apr 30 in half of years, so many gardeners wait a week or two past that to set out tomatoes. The first fall frost comes by Oct 17.
Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: May, June, July, August, September and October. 16 miles of trails are waiting.
Parks & trails →Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Carmel from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (61%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 12%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.
Natural hazards →Carmel and its neighbors
Somers the hottest July afternoons (84°, 1° warmer). Differences under a degree are within what the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.
Climates most like Carmel’s, farther away
TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.
| Town | Jan. low | July high | Precip. | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmel, NY | 18° | 83° | 48" | 40" |
| Peabody, MA | 19° | 82° | 48" | 39" |
| Indiana, PA | 19° | 83° | 46" | 46" |
| Durham, NH | 15° | 82° | 47" | 39" |
| Buckhannon, WV | 23° | 83° | 50" | 39" |
Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.
Warmer than it used to be
The last 30 years in Carmel averaged 1.9° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+3.6°).
A bigger shift than in 86% of U.S. towns.
Change by month
The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.
How Carmel compares
Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Carmel’s place among New York’s.
Carmel weather by month
Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Carmel’s center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Yorktown Hts 1w, NY. 1991–2020 normals.
| Month | High | Low | Rain + melt | Snow | Wet days | Snow on ground | 30-yr range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 36° | 18° | 3.4" | 8.8" | 11 | 18 | 17° – 34° |
| February | 39° | 20° | 2.8" | 12.6" | 9 | 18 | 16° – 36° |
| March | 47° | 27° | 3.9" | 8.2" | 11 | 11 | 31° – 47° |
| April | 60° | 37° | 3.8" | 1.8" | 11 | 1 | 44° – 53° |
| May | 70° | 48° | 3.8" | 0.0" | 12 | 0 | 54° – 64° |
| June | 78° | 57° | 4.5" | 0.0" | 11 | 0 | 65° – 71° |
| July | 83° | 63° | 4.5" | 0.0" | 10 | 0 | 68° – 77° |
| August | 81° | 61° | 4.3" | 0.0" | 10 | 0 | 67° – 75° |
| September | 74° | 53° | 4.5" | 0.0" | 9 | 0 | 61° – 68° |
| October | 63° | 42° | 4.6" | 0.0" | 9 | 0 | 48° – 59° |
| November | 51° | 33° | 3.6" | 0.5" | 9 | 1 | 37° – 46° |
| December | 40° | 25° | 4.1" | 7.6" | 11 | 10 | 25° – 44° |
| Year | 60° | 40° | 47.8" | 39.5" | 122 | 58 |
How much a month can swing
A normal is an average. February swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 16° to 36°. June is the most reliable, staying within 6°.
Where Carmel’s numbers come from
Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →
- Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Carmel’s center.
- Snow: Yorktown Hts 1w, NY.
- Frost dates, heating and cooling: Shrub Oak, NY, 7 miles away.
- Freezing nights, 90° and 100° days: Carmel 4n, NY, 7 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
- Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
- Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
- Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).
Common questions about Carmel’s climate
What is the weather like in Carmel?
A typical July afternoon reaches 83°, a January night drops to 18°, and about 40 inches of snow falls in a normal winter. Colder January nights than 68% of U.S. towns; cooler July afternoons than 71% of U.S. towns.
How cold does it get in Carmel in winter?
January nights average 18°. About 137 nights a year reach 32° or below and 5 reach 0° or below. In the coldest January of the last 30 years the month averaged 17°.
How much snow does Carmel get?
About 40 inches in a normal winter at Yorktown Hts 1w, NY, most of it in February, with snow on the ground about 58 days a year.
How hot does it get in Carmel?
July, with a typical high of 83° and a low of 63°. About 2 days a year reach 90° (Shrub Oak, NY).
When is the first and last frost in Carmel?
In half of years the last spring frost (32°) comes by April 30 and the first fall frost by October 17, about 172 frost-free days, at Shrub Oak, NY.
What growing zone is Carmel in?
Zone 6b on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about −2°.
What is the best time of year to visit Carmel?
By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), May, June, July, August, September and October. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.
Is Carmel getting warmer?
Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 1.9° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 86% of U.S. towns.
Neighbors talk weather
Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Carmel.
Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.