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John T. Chyphers HouseJohn T. Chyphers House · Photo: Elkman · CC BY-SA 3.0
C−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Lakeland · FEMA

On FEMA’s figures, Lakeland faces more hazard damage per building than 77% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lakeland gets a C− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 77% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (79%). Flood insurance has paid 72 claims here since 1979.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 77%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade
Hazard risk
C−
in Minnesota · higher than 77% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
River and rain flooding
79% of expected building damage
Flood claims
72
paid since 1979 · $692K
Flooded more than once
9
properties · 2 “severe repetitive loss”
Disasters paid out here
2
of 13 declared for Washington County

What stands out about Lakeland’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Lakeland faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

79%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 83% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 2 years in the area

Tornadoes

10%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 10% of U.S. census tracts

Strong wind

6%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 5 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Hail Ice storms Wildfire Lightning Earthquakes Winter storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 8% of Lakeland’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Lakeland’s grade

River and rain flooding is 79% of the building damage FEMA expects in Lakeland, and Lakeland’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 83% of U.S. census tracts. Tornadoes add 10%, at a rate in the top 10% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Lakeland sits
Lakeland
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C− higher expected damage per building than 77% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Lakeland’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding79%Tornadoes10%Strong wind6%Everything else5%

In dollars, FEMA expects about $827K a year in losses across Lakeland: $612K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Lakeland’s 1,710 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract, which it shares with Lake St. Croix Beach city (1,043 residents) and St. Marys Point city (353 residents) and Lakeland Shores city (339 residents). FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s, the same for all of them. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Lakeland flood? Sometimes: 72 flood claims since 1979

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Lakeland, from FEMA’s records: 94.7 per 1,000 homes, more than 96% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1979: 5 claims1980: 0 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 4 claims1983: 3 claims1984: 3 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 4 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 6 claims1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 2 claims1997: 11 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 13 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 0 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 4 claims2011: 8 claims2012: 2 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 3 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 1 claim2020: 1 claim2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 2 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims199720012011
19792026
Biggest named events
  • The Severe flooding13 claims · $191K
  • The Midwest Flooding3 claims · $11K
72
paid claims since 1979
$692K
paid to owners
9
homes flooded more than once
$10K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (2)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Lakeland isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Washington County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
3homes raised above flood level
Disasters

2 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Lakeland

Disasters that paid out in Lakeland itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Lakeland), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2011Severe Storms and Flooding$21K to the City of Lakeland for repairs8 flood claims paid that year
  2. 2001Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes$6K to the City of Lakeland for repairs13 flood claims paid that year
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in LakelandWashington County only

Washington County has had 13 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 1 FEMA wildfire suppression grant (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Washington County, 2000–2000.

Were you here?

Old photos of Lakeland after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Lakeland archive →
Next door

Lakeland and its neighbors

Lakeland is 6th of the 6 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
HudsonB+less damage than 71%river and rain flooding5
TroyBless damage than 63%river and rain flooding1
West Lakeland TownshipB−less damage than 54%river and rain flooding—
AftonB−more damage than 52%river and rain flooding27
Lake St. Croix BeachC−more damage than 77%river and rain flooding36
LakelandC−more damage than 77%river and rain flooding72
Lakeland Shores—344 residents; we grade 1,000+

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Lakeland faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
High winds
  • Trim dead limbs over the house and driveway.
  • Tie down trash cans and outdoor furniture.
  • Stay clear of downed lines and call the utility.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Lakeland

Is Lakeland at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lakeland has higher expected damage per building than 77% of U.S. towns: C− for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (79%) and tornadoes (10%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Lakeland flood?

Flood insurance has paid 72 claims in Lakeland since 1979, $692K in all, or 94.7 per 1,000 homes, more than 96% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 9 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Severe flooding (13).

Is Lakeland in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Washington County, 22% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.3% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Lakeland?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Lakeland’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Lakeland?

By FEMA money that reached Lakeland, Severe Storms and Flooding (2011): $21K to the City of Lakeland for repairs. By flood claims, Severe flooding: 13 paid, $191K.

Is Lakeland at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (79%), and Lakeland’s rate for it is higher than 83% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Lakeland.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Lakeland’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.