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Wilkin County CourthouseWilkin County Courthouse · Photo: McGhiever · CC BY-SA 3.0
B+Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Breckenridge · FEMA

FEMA puts Breckenridge’s expected hazard damage per building below that of 70% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Breckenridge gets a B+ for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns, #88 of 274 in Minnesota. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (72%), then tornadoes (15%). Flood insurance has paid 408 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 70%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#88 of 274 in Minnesota
Hazard risk
B+#88 of 274
in Minnesota · lower than 70% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
River and rain flooding
72% of expected building damage
Flood claims
408
paid since 1978 · $7.2M
Flooded more than once
13
properties · 2 “severe repetitive loss”
Disasters paid out here
6
of 20 declared for Wilkin County

What stands out about Breckenridge’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Breckenridge faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

72%of expected building damage
About average · lower than 59% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

15%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 85% of U.S. census tracts

Strong wind

7%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 6% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Winter storms top 0% Hail Ice storms Earthquakes Lightning Cold waves Wildfire Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts cold waves at 38% of Breckenridge’s expected losses. Cold waves do little damage to buildings (0.1%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Breckenridge’s grade

River and rain flooding is 72% of the building damage FEMA expects in Breckenridge, and Breckenridge’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 59% of U.S. census tracts. Strong wind adds 7%, at a rate in the top 6% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Breckenridge sits
Breckenridge
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B+ #88 of 274 in Minnesota; lower expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Breckenridge’s residents live in 2 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding72%Tornadoes15%Strong wind7%Everything else6%

The typical Minnesota town has lower expected damage than 57% of U.S. towns; within the state, Breckenridge has less expected damage per building than 68% of Minnesota towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.4M a year in losses across Breckenridge: $746K to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. Breckenridge covers 2 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Breckenridge flood? Yes: 408 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Breckenridge, from FEMA’s records: 247.6 per 1,000 homes, more than 98% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 4 claims1979: 4 claims1980: 0 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 0 claims1983: 0 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 21 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 1 claim1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 0 claims1997: 353 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 19 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 0 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 1 claim2008: 1 claim2009: 4 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 0 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims198919972001
19782026
Biggest named events
  • The Severe flooding11 claims · $7K
  • The Winter storm4 claims · $10K
408
paid claims since 1978
$7.2M
paid to owners
13
homes flooded more than once
$18K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (2)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Breckenridge isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Wilkin County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
42flood-prone properties bought out and cleared
1building floodproofed
1flood-prone home bought out and moved
Disasters

6 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Breckenridge

Disasters that paid out in Breckenridge itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Breckenridge), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2022Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding$10K to the City of Breckenridge for repairs
  2. 2011Severe Storms and Flooding$7K to the City of Breckenridge for repairs
  3. 2009Severe Storms and Flooding17 households applied for aid$35K aid approved$456K to the City of Breckenridge for repairs4 flood claims paid that year
  4. 2006Flooding$23K to the City of Breckenridge for repairs
  5. 2005Severe Winter Storm$26K to the City of Breckenridge for repairs
  6. 2001Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes$411K to the City of Breckenridge for repairs19 flood claims paid that year
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in BreckenridgeWilkin County only

Wilkin County has had 20 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Were you here?

Old photos of Breckenridge after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Breckenridge archive →
Next door

Breckenridge and its neighbors

Breckenridge is 2nd of the 2 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
WahpetonB+less damage than 75%river and rain flooding95
BreckenridgeB+less damage than 70%river and rain flooding408
Breckenridge Township—273 residents; we grade 1,000+
Connelly Township—105 residents; we grade 1,000+
Center Township—324 residents; we grade 1,000+

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Breckenridge faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
High winds
  • Trim dead limbs over the house and driveway.
  • Tie down trash cans and outdoor furniture.
  • Stay clear of downed lines and call the utility.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Breckenridge

Is Breckenridge at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Breckenridge has lower expected damage per building than 70% of U.S. towns: B+ for hazard risk, #88 of 274 in Minnesota. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (72%) and tornadoes (15%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Breckenridge flood?

Flood insurance has paid 408 claims in Breckenridge since 1978, $7.2M in all, or 247.6 per 1,000 homes, more than 98% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 13 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Severe flooding (11).

Is Breckenridge in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Wilkin County, 6% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 1.0% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Breckenridge?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Breckenridge’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Breckenridge?

By FEMA money that reached Breckenridge, Severe Storms and Flooding (2009): 17 households applied for aid, $35K approved, and $456K to the City of Breckenridge for repairs. By flood claims, Severe flooding: 11 paid, $7K.

Is Breckenridge at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (72%), and Breckenridge’s rate for it is lower than 59% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Breckenridge.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Breckenridge’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.