Photo: Marcbela (Marc N. Belanger) · Public domainFEMA puts Natick’s expected hazard damage per building below that of 92% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Natick gets an A for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 92% of U.S. towns, #33 of 283 in Massachusetts. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (72%), then hurricanes (12%). Flood insurance has paid 36 claims here since 1979.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What stands out about Natick’s natural hazards
From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.
What Natick faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
River and rain flooding
Hurricanes
Earthquakes
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Natick’s grade
River and rain flooding is 72% of the building damage FEMA expects in Natick, and Natick’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is lower than 81% of U.S. census tracts. Ice storms add 4%, at a rate in the top 8% of U.S. census tracts.
A #33 of 283 in Massachusetts; lower expected damage per building than 92% of U.S. towns (21,298).
Natick’s residents live in 7 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.
The typical Massachusetts town has lower expected damage than 76% of U.S. towns; within the state, Natick has less expected damage per building than 89% of Massachusetts towns.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $6.8M a year in losses across Natick: $6.0M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Natick flood? Sometimes: 36 flood claims since 1979
Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Natick, from FEMA’s records: 2.3 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 58% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.
- The March 2010 nor’easter11 claims · $164K
- Hurricane Irene1 claim · $24K
Natick isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Middlesex County.11 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Natick
Disasters that paid out in Natick itself (aid to households or repair grants to the Town of Natick), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.
- 2018Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm$167K to the Town of Natick for repairs
- 2015Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and Flooding$176K to the Town of Natick for repairs1 flood claim paid that year
- 2013Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and Flooding$173K to the Town of Natick for repairs2 flood claims paid that year
- 2011Severe Storm and Snowstorm$72K to the Town of Natick for repairs
- 2011Hurricane Irene$98K to the Town of Natick for repairs1 flood claim paid for it, $24K
- 2011Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm$117K to the Town of Natick for repairs
Show all 11
- 2010Severe Storms and Flooding217 households applied for aid$291K aid approved$102K to the Town of Natick for repairs11 flood claims paid that year
- 2005Record And/or Near Record Snow$132K to the Town of Natick for repairs1 flood claim paid that year
- 2003Snow$111K to the Town of Natick for repairs
- 2003Snow$73K to the Town of Natick for repairs
- 2001Snow$56K to the Town of Natick for repairs3 flood claims paid that year
Middlesex County has had 27 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often winter storms, then hurricanes and tropical storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Old photos of Natick after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.
Add to the Natick archive →Natick and its neighbors
Natick is 3rd of the 7 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.
| Town | Hazard risk | Mostly (buildings) | Flood claims |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wayland | A+less damage than 96% | river and rain flooding | 26 |
| Framingham | Aless damage than 93% | river and rain flooding | 165 |
| Natick | Aless damage than 92% | river and rain flooding | 36 |
| Sherborn | Aless damage than 90% | river and rain flooding | 5 |
| Weston | A−less damage than 84% | river and rain flooding | 24 |
| Dover | A−less damage than 84% | river and rain flooding | 11 |
| Wellesley | A−less damage than 81% | river and rain flooding | 36 |
| Cochituate | — | a Census area inside a town; graded with the town | |
Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.
Get ready for what Natick faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
- Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
- Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
- Drop, cover and hold on.
- Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
- Know how to shut off the gas.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Natick
Is Natick at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Natick has lower expected damage per building than 92% of U.S. towns: A for hazard risk, #33 of 283 in Massachusetts. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (72%) and hurricanes (12%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Does Natick flood?
Flood insurance has paid 36 claims in Natick since 1979, $311K in all, or 2.3 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 58% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 5 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from March 2010 Nor'easter (11).
Is Natick in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Middlesex County, 54% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 1.0% of all homes do.
How much is flood insurance in Natick?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Natick’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
What was the biggest storm in Natick?
By FEMA money that reached Natick, Severe Storms and Flooding (2010): 217 households applied for aid, $291K approved, and $102K to the Town of Natick for repairs. By flood claims, March 2010 Nor'easter: 11 paid, $164K.
Is Natick at risk from river and rain flooding?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (72%), and Natick’s rate for it is lower than 81% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Natick.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Natick’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.