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D−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Leilani Estates · FEMA

On FEMA’s figures, few U.S. towns expect more hazard damage per building than Leilani Estates, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Leilani Estates gets a D− for hazard risk: among the highest expected damage per building of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (54%), then earthquakes (31%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

among the highestof U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade
By hazard

What Leilani Estates faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

54%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Earthquakes

31%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts

Volcanic activity

10%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Wildfire top 3% Tsunamis top 0% Coastal flooding top 4% Hurricanes Tornadoes Hail Strong wind Landslides Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
Winter stormsIce stormsCold wavesHeat wavesAvalanches

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Leilani Estates’ grade

River and rain flooding is 54% of the building damage FEMA expects in Leilani Estates, and Leilani Estates’ rate of river and rain flooding damage is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts. Earthquakes add 31%, at a rate in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Leilani Estates sits
Leilani Estates
Least damageMiddleMost damage

D− among the highest expected damage per building of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Leilani Estates’ residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding54%Earthquakes31%Volcanic activity10%Everything else5%

In dollars, FEMA expects about $3.1M a year in losses across Leilani Estates: $2.7M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Leilani Estates’ 1,139 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract, which it shares with Seaview CDP (512 residents) and Kamaili CDP (157 residents). FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s, the same for all of them. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Leilani Estates flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Leilani Estates. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of all homes are insured
No community discount

Leilani Estates isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Hawaii County.
Disasters

1 federal disaster brought FEMA money to Leilani Estates

Disasters that paid out in Leilani Estates itself (aid to households or repair grants to Leilani Estates), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2018Kilauea Volcanic Eruption and Earthquakes1 households applied for aid$3K aid approved
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Leilani EstatesHawaii County only

Hawaii County has had 20 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then hurricanes and tropical storms.

Also 11 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Hawaii County, 2000–2026.

Were you here?

Old photos of Leilani Estates after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Leilani Estates archive →
Next door

Leilani Estates and its neighbors

Leilani Estates has the lowest expected damage per building of the 1 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Kamaili: not gradedKamailiLeilani Estates
Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Leilani EstatesD−among the highest damageriver and rain flooding0
Kamaili—221 residents; we grade 1,000+

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Leilani Estates faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Volcanic activity
  • Keep N95 masks and goggles for ash.
  • Know the evacuation routes.
  • Keep ash out of the house and car vents.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Leilani Estates

Is Leilani Estates at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Leilani Estates has among the highest expected damage per building of U.S. towns: D− for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (54%) and earthquakes (31%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Leilani Estates in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Hawaii County, 1.8% of all homes carry federal flood insurance.

How much is flood insurance in Leilani Estates?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Leilani Estates’ flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Leilani Estates?

By FEMA money that reached Leilani Estates, Kilauea Volcanic Eruption and Earthquakes (2018): 1 households applied for aid, $3K approved.

Is Leilani Estates at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (54%), and Leilani Estates’ rate for it is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Leilani Estates.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Leilani Estates’ residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.