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Mexico Beach City HallPhoto: The Bushranger · CC BY-SA 4.0
D−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Mexico Beach · FEMA

FEMA puts Mexico Beach’s expected hazard damage per building above that of 97% of U.S. towns, mostly from hurricanes

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Mexico Beach gets a D− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 97% of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is hurricanes (76%), then river and rain flooding (21%). Flood insurance has paid 785 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 97%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade
Hazard risk
D−
in Florida · higher than 97% of U.S. towns
Main hazard
Hurricanes
76% of expected building damage
Flood claims
785
paid since 1978 · $105M
Flooded more than once
32
properties · 9 “severe repetitive loss”
Disasters paid out here
7
of 36 declared for Bay County

What stands out about Mexico Beach’s natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Mexico Beach faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

Hurricanes

76%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 4 years in the area

River and rain flooding

21%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 61% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Coastal flooding top 4% Tornadoes Wildfire Strong wind Earthquakes Lightning Hail Winter storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Ice stormsAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Mexico Beach’s grade

Hurricanes are 76% of the building damage FEMA expects in Mexico Beach, and Mexico Beach’s rate of hurricanes damage is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts. Coastal flooding adds 1%, at a rate in the top 4% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Mexico Beach sits
Mexico Beach
Least damageMiddleMost damage

D− higher expected damage per building than 97% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Mexico Beach’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
Hurricanes76%River and rain flooding21%Everything else3%

In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.4M a year in losses across Mexico Beach: $1.3M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Recent disaster.FEMA’s model looks at expected damage to the buildings standing today. After Hurricane Michael in 2018, FEMA took 1,016 aid registrations from Mexico Beach addresses (the town has 1,320 homes) and flood insurance paid 547 claims for $98.1M.
Shared tract.All of Mexico Beach’s 916 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract. FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Mexico Beach flood? Yes: 785 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Mexico Beach, from FEMA’s records: 594.7 per 1,000 homes, more than 100% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 1 claim1979: 0 claims1980: 0 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 1 claim1983: 0 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 20 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 1 claim1988: 1 claim1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 0 claims1994: 1 claim1995: 152 claims1996: 0 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 16 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 8 claims2005: 24 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 1 claim2010: 0 claims2011: 0 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 1 claim2014: 0 claims2015: 1 claim2016: 1 claim2017: 0 claims2018: 549 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 2 claims2021: 2 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 3 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims199520052018
19782026
Biggest named events
  • Hurricane Michael547 claims · $98.1M
  • Hurricane Opal151 claims · $5.5M
  • Hurricane Kate19 claims · $122K
785
paid claims since 1978
$105M
paid to owners
32
homes flooded more than once
$133K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (9)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Mexico Beach isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Bay County.
Disasters

7 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Mexico Beach

Disasters that paid out in Mexico Beach itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Mexico Beach), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2020Hurricane Sally2 households applied for aid$162K to the City of Mexico Beach for repairs2 flood claims paid that year
  2. 2018Hurricane Michael1,016 households applied for aid$3.4M aid approved$106M to the City of Mexico Beach for repairs547 flood claims paid for it, $98.1M
  3. 2012Hurricane Isaac$16K to the City of Mexico Beach for repairs
  4. 2005Hurricane Katrina$167K to the City of Mexico Beach for repairs
  5. 2005Hurricane Dennis8 households applied for aid$6K aid approved$672K to the City of Mexico Beach for repairs18 flood claims paid for it, $270K
  6. 2004Hurricane Ivan8 households applied for aid$20K aid approved$533K to the City of Mexico Beach for repairs6 flood claims paid for it, $79K
Show all 7
  1. 2001Tropical Storm Allison$16K to the City of Mexico Beach for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Mexico BeachBay County only

Bay County has had 36 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often hurricanes and tropical storms, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 3 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Bay County, 1999–2022.

Were you here?

Old photos of Mexico Beach after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Mexico Beach archive →
Be ready

Get ready for what Mexico Beach faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

Hurricane season
  • The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
  • Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
  • Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
More from Ready.gov ↗
When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Mexico Beach

Is Mexico Beach at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Mexico Beach has higher expected damage per building than 97% of U.S. towns: D− for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is hurricanes (76%) and river and rain flooding (21%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Mexico Beach flood?

Flood insurance has paid 785 claims in Mexico Beach since 1978, $105M in all, or 594.7 per 1,000 homes, more than 100% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 32 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from Hurricane Michael (547).

Is Mexico Beach in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Bay County, 67% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 17.9% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Mexico Beach?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Mexico Beach’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Mexico Beach?

By FEMA money that reached Mexico Beach, Hurricane Michael (2018): 1,016 households applied for aid, $3.4M approved, and $106M to the City of Mexico Beach for repairs. By flood claims, Hurricane Michael: 547 paid, $98.1M.

Is Mexico Beach at risk from hurricanes?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (76%), and Mexico Beach’s rate for it is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Mexico Beach.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Mexico Beach’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.