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Holly CottageHolly Cottage · Photo: Ebyabe · CC BY-SA 3.0
Climate in Fleming Island · NOAA 1991–2020 normals

Fleming Island’s winters are milder and less snowy than most of the U.S.

A typical July afternoon reaches 92°, a January night drops to 44°, and snow is almost unheard of.

Milder January nights than 93% of U.S. towns#481Mildest winters  of 555 in FL
Hotter July afternoons than 87% of U.S. towns#121Hottest summers  of 555 in FL
All FL rankings →

A year in Fleming Island at a glance

Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.

Jan66°44°
Feb70°47°
Mar75°52°
Apr81°57° 2 days 90°+
May87°64° 11 days 90°+
Jun90°70° 19 days 90°+Wettest
Jul92°73° 25 days 90°+
Aug91°73° 23 days 90°+
Sep88°71° 14 days 90°+
Oct82°63° 2 days 90°+
Nov now74°53°
Dec69°47°

What stands out about Fleming Island’s climate

Compared with towns across the U.S., with Fleming Island’s place in Florida beside it.

A normal year

What a year in Fleming Island feels like

Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.

Winter
68° / 46°
Snow is rare
Spring
81° / 58°
Frost is rare
Summer
91° / 72°
96 days reach 90°
Fall
81° / 62°
Frost is rare
Best months to be outsideJanFebMarAprOctNovDecHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Frost, heat & the growing season

A freeze most winters

Frost and day counts come from NOAA’s station at Jacksonville Nas, FL, 10 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height.

Most winters bring a freeze, but not every one. A night at 32° or below comes in about 80% of years at Jacksonville Nas, FL (about 8 winters in 10), and averages 3.7 a year.
4
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
400th fewest of 554 in Florida
Fewer freezing nights than 93% of U.S. towns
0
nights at or below 0°
None in a normal year
96
days that reach 90°
269th most of 554 in Florida
More 90° days than 91% of U.S. towns
3
days that reach 100°
18th most of 554 in Florida
More 100° days than 83% of U.S. towns
9bUSDA zone
Plant hardiness zone 9b

The 2023 USDA map puts Fleming Island’s center in zone 9b: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about 27°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

2
JFMAMJJASOND

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more

25
JFMAMJJASOND
Rain & snow

About 51 inches of rain a year

June is the wettest month and November the driest. Rain falls on about 120 days a year. Snow is rare: about 0.0" in a normal year at Jacksonville Nas, FL, so most winters see none.

51"
Rain + melted snow a year
511th wettest of 555 in Florida
Wetter than 87% of U.S. towns
0.0"
Snow in a normal winter
Less snow than 93% of U.S. towns

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water

7.3"
JFMAMJJASOND
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Fleming Island

22% of the work is heating, so air conditioning is the bigger bill. No month averages under 55°.

944 heating degree daysLess heating than 95% of U.S. towns
3,303 cooling degree daysMore cooling than 95% of U.S. towns

Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Jacksonville Nas, FL.

Living here

Living with Fleming Island’s climate

What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.

The garden window

Zone 9b. Frost comes about 8 winters in 10, so tender plants can often stay out through winter.

Get outside

Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: January, February, March, April, October, November and December. 14 miles of trails are waiting.

Parks & trails →
Storms and extremes

Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Fleming Island from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (65%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 3%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.

Natural hazards →
Next door

Fleming Island and its neighbors

Every town next door is within a degree of Fleming Island in January and July, closer than the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.

Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace: January low 44°, July high 92°Oakleaf Plantation: January low 43°, July high 92°Fruit Cove: January low 45°, July high 92°Atlantic Beach: January low 46°, July high 90°Nassau Village-Ratliff: January low 42°, July high 92°Jacksonville Beach: January low 47°, July high 90°Neptune Beach: January low 47°, July high 90°Nocatee: January low 46°, July high 91°Orange Park: January low 44°, July high 92°Lakeside: January low 44°, July high 92°Jacksonville: January low 44°, July high 92°Fleming Island: January low 44°, July high 92°Fleming IslandOrange ParkLakesideJacksonville
ColderMilder42° to 47°
Lakeside43.7° about the same
Jacksonville43.7° about the same
Fleming Island44.0°
Orange Park44.2° about the same

Climates most like Fleming Island’s, farther away

TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.

TownJan. lowJuly highPrecip.Snow
Fleming Island, FL44°92°51"0.0"
Angleton, TX45°92°50"0.0"
Port Royal, SC41°91°49"0.0"
Bainbridge, GA39°92°52"0.0"
Headland, AL39°91°56"0.1"

Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

The last 30 years in Fleming Island averaged 1.5° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+2.3°).

+1.5°1991–2020 vs. 1901–2000

A bigger shift than in 56% of U.S. towns.

Winter+1.6°now 57°, was 56°
Spring+1.5°now 69°, was 68°
Summer+1.3°now 82°, was 80°
Fall+1.4°now 72°, was 70°

Change by month

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.

Compared with other towns

How Fleming Island compares

Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Fleming Island’s place among Florida’s.

Summer heat92° July high
Hotter July afternoons than 87% of U.S. towns121st hottest of 555 in Florida
Winter cold44° January low
Milder January nights than 93% of U.S. towns481st mildest of 555 in Florida
Precipitation51" a year
Wetter than 87% of U.S. towns511th wettest of 555 in Florida
Snow0.0" a winter
Less snow than 93% of U.S. townsNot ranked: under an inch a year
Hot days96 days at 90°+
More 90° days than 91% of U.S. towns269th most of 554 in Florida
Freezing nights4 a year
Fewer freezing nights than 93% of U.S. towns400th fewest of 554 in Florida
Month by month

Fleming Island weather by month

Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Fleming Island’s center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Jacksonville Nas, FL. 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet daysSnow on ground30-yr range
January66°44°3.1"0.0"8049° – 61°
February70°47°2.8"0.0"8050° – 67°
March75°52°3.3"0.0"8057° – 71°
April81°57°2.8"0.0"7064° – 73°
May87°64°3.2"0.0"7072° – 79°
June90°70°7.3"0.0"16078° – 85°
July92°73°6.1"0.0"15080° – 85°
August91°73°6.8"0.0"15079° – 84°
September88°71°6.7"0.0"12076° – 83°
October82°63°4.2"0.0"8068° – 76°
November74°53°2.2"0.0"7059° – 71°
December69°47°2.7"0.0"8048° – 68°
Year80°59°51.1"0.0"1200
Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average. December swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 48° to 68°. July is the most reliable, staying within 4°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Sources

Where Fleming Island’s numbers come from

Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →

  • Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Fleming Island’s center.
  • Snow: Jacksonville Nas, FL.
  • Frost, freezing nights, 90° and 100° days, heating and cooling: Jacksonville Nas, FL, 10 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
  • Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
  • Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
  • Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).

Common questions about Fleming Island’s climate

What is the weather like in Fleming Island?

A typical July afternoon reaches 92°, a January night drops to 44°, and snow is almost unheard of. Milder January nights than 93% of U.S. towns; hotter July afternoons than 87% of U.S. towns.

How cold does it get in Fleming Island in winter?

January nights average 44°. About 4 nights a year reach 32° or below. In the coldest January of the last 30 years the month averaged 49°.

How much snow does Fleming Island get?

About 0.0 inches in a normal winter at Jacksonville Nas, FL, so most winters see none.

How hot does it get in Fleming Island?

July, with a typical high of 92° and a low of 73°. About 96 days a year reach 90° and 3 reach 100° (Jacksonville Nas, FL).

When is the first and last frost in Fleming Island?

There is no reliable frost date: a 32° night comes in about 80% of winters at Jacksonville Nas, FL, so most years bring a freeze but some pass without one.

What growing zone is Fleming Island in?

Zone 9b on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about 27°.

What is the best time of year to visit Fleming Island?

By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), January, February, March, April, October, November and December. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.

Is Fleming Island getting warmer?

Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 1.5° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 56% of U.S. towns.

Neighbors talk weather

Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Fleming Island.

Town Square →
Ask your neighbors

Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.