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B−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Orchard Mesa · FEMA

On FEMA’s figures, Orchard Mesa faces about as much hazard damage per building as the typical U.S. town, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Orchard Mesa gets a B− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 54% of U.S. towns, #76 of 159 in Colorado. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (94%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 54%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#76 of 159 in Colorado
By hazard

What Orchard Mesa faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

94%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 77% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Earthquakes Wildfire Tornadoes Hail Strong wind Winter storms Ice storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts lightning at 9% of Orchard Mesa’s expected losses. Lightning does little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Orchard Mesa’s grade

River and rain flooding is 94% of the building damage FEMA expects in Orchard Mesa, and Orchard Mesa’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 77% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Orchard Mesa sits
Orchard Mesa
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B− #76 of 159 in Colorado; higher expected damage per building than 54% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Orchard Mesa’s residents live in 4 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding94%Earthquakes4%Everything else2%

The typical Colorado town has higher expected damage than 56% of U.S. towns; within the state, Orchard Mesa has less expected damage per building than 53% of Colorado towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.3M a year in losses across Orchard Mesa: $1.1M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. Orchard Mesa covers 4 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Orchard Mesa flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Orchard Mesa. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Orchard Mesa isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Mesa County.
Disasters

The storms Orchard Mesa remembers

None of the 3 disasters declared for Mesa County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Orchard Mesa itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Orchard MesaMesa County only

Mesa County has had 3 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 2 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Mesa County, 2002–2020.

Next door

Orchard Mesa and its neighbors

Orchard Mesa is 2nd of the 2 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Grand Junction: hazard risk AGrand JunctionOrchard Mesa
Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Grand JunctionAless damage than 87%river and rain flooding7
Orchard MesaB−more damage than 54%river and rain flooding0

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Orchard Mesa faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Orchard Mesa

Is Orchard Mesa at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Orchard Mesa has higher expected damage per building than 54% of U.S. towns: B− for hazard risk, #76 of 159 in Colorado. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (94%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Orchard Mesa in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Mesa County, 22% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.3% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Orchard Mesa?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Orchard Mesa’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Orchard Mesa at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (94%), and Orchard Mesa’s rate for it is higher than 77% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Orchard Mesa.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Orchard Mesa’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.