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Weather in Tay · ECCC forecast and 1991–2020 normals

Weather in Tay: chance of rain showers or flurries tomorrow, up to 5 degrees

Judged by the averages, Tay sees November days reach 5°C and nights fall to −3°C. Expect a chance of rain or snow of 40% tomorrow, wind of 30 km/h, and a low of 2°C. Rain barely features in the rest of the week, with 3 of 4 days dry.

Winter −3°/−13°CSpring 10°/−2°CSummer 24°/12°CAutumn 13°/2°C
Right now
2°C
Chance of rain showers or flurries
High 5°C · Low 2°C · Wind 12 km/h
Tomorrow is about normal for 14 November
Sunrise 07:14 · sunset 16:54
Observed at Lake Simcoe Regional Airport, 18:00
Tomorrow
5°C / 2°C
A normal 14 November: 5°C / −3°C
Chance of rain or snow
60%
Likely in the next 24 hours
Wind
12 km/h
From the NNW · gusts 27 km/h · up to 30 km/h tomorrow
Wind chill
−5
what it feels like now
Daylight
9 h 39 min
07:13 to 16:53
Hour by hour · °C

The next 24 hours in Tay

Expect 5°C at the warmest, around 15:00, and 0°C at the coolest, around 03:00. Rain or snow most likely around 19:00 (60%).

19:00 · 3°C · Chance of rain showers or flurries · 60% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h60%3°Now20:00 · 3°C · Chance of rain showers or flurries · 60% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h21:00 · 2°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 30 km/h2°22:00 · 2°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 30 km/h22:0023:00 · 2°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 30 km/h2°00:00 · 1°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 30 km/h01:00 · 1°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 30 km/h1°01:0002:00 · 1°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 30 km/h03:00 · 0°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 30 km/h0°04:00 · 0°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 20 km/h04:0005:00 · 0°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 20 km/h0°06:00 · 0°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 20 km/h07:00 · 0°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 30 km/h0°07:0008:00 · 1°C · Chance of flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 30 km/h09:00 · 2°C · Chance of rain showers or flurries · 40% chance of rain or snow · wind 30 km/h2°10:00 · 3°C · Chance of rain showers or flurries · 40% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h10:0011:00 · 3°C · Chance of rain showers or flurries · 40% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h3°12:00 · 4°C · Chance of rain showers or flurries · 40% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h13:00 · 4°C · Chance of rain showers or flurries · 40% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h4°13:0014:00 · 4°C · Chance of rain showers or flurries · 40% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h15:00 · 5°C · Chance of rain showers or flurries · 40% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h5°16:00 · 5°C · Chance of rain showers or flurries · 40% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h16:0017:00 · 5°C · Chance of rain showers or flurries · 40% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h5°18:00 · 4°C · Chance of flurries or rain showers · 30% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h
TemperatureChance of rain or snowNight
7 days · °C

The week ahead, against a normal week

Some days sit above normal and some below. Tap a day for more.

Sat14 NovChance of rain showers or flurries40% chance2°5°normal

Saturday: Cloudy. 40 percent chance of flurries changing to 40 percent chance of rain showers or flurries in the morning. Wind north 30 km/h gusting to 50. High plus 5. UV index 1 or low.

Saturday night: Cloudy. 30 percent chance of flurries or rain showers in the evening. Wind north 30 km/h gusting to 50. Low plus 2.

Sun15 NovChance of showers30% chance−2°3°−2°

Sunday: A mix of sun and cloud with 30 percent chance of showers. High plus 3.

Sunday night: Clear. Low minus 2.

Mon16 NovSunny0°6°normal

Monday: Sunny. High 6.

Monday night: Clear. Low zero.

Tue17 NovSunny0°9°+4°

Tuesday: Sunny. High 9.

Tuesday night: Clear. Low zero.

Wed18 NovSunny0°10°+6°

Wednesday: Sunny. High 10.

Wednesday night: Clear. Low zero.

Thu19 NovA mix of sun and cloud9°+5°

Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. High 9.

Normal range for the date (ECCC 1991–2020 normals, Muskoka)Forecast low to high
A normal year

Where today sits in Tay’s year

Typical highs and lows month by month, from the ECCC averages.

Full climate →
Winter
−3° / −13°
235 mm of rain and snow
Spring
10° / −2°
244 mm of rain and snow
Summer
24° / 12°
267 mm of rain and snow
Autumn now
13° / 2°
316 mm of rain and snow, the wettest season
Best months to be outside
JunJulAug
Highs of 17–27°C and nights of 8°C or more
When is it wettest?October, with 111 mm.When does the most snow fall?December, with 42 cm.What is each month like?Highs, lows, rain and snow for all 12.

Warnings and more

In bad weather, ECCC’s warnings page has the alerts in force.

Weather alertsNothing in force for the area right now: ECCC’s warnings page shows new alerts first.ECCC forecast: MidlandEnvironment and Climate Change Canada’s own page for the forecast site, 8.6 km from the town.Tay’s climateA normal year month by month, with frost, snow and the comparisons.Flood & hazardsWildfire, flood studies, earthquakes and radon for Tay.

Forecast, current conditions and alerts: Environment and Climate Change Canada’s city page for Midland, fetched 13 November, 18:56. Normals: ECCC 1991–2020, Muskoka. Data Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada · ECCC Data Services End-use Licence

Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).