Photo: Nick3501 · CC BY-SA 3.0Precipitation in Tay tops that of 79% of Canadian towns: 1,062 mm a year
In January the night’s low is typically −15.3°C. Winter nights are cold: in January they are colder than in 72% of Canadian towns. The seasons are far apart: from a winter night to a summer afternoon the average spans 41°C. Windshields need scraping on about 175 mornings a year, the days the air reaches 0°C or below.
These are not Tay’s own readings: ECCC keeps no normals there, so the page uses Muskoka, 45 km north-east.
A year in Tay at a glance
Each month’s typical high and low, in °C.
What stands out about Tay’s climate
Compared with Canadian towns, with its place among towns of 2,500+ in Ontario beside it.
What a year in Tay feels like
Seasons and months as ECCC’s 1991–2020 normals give them: a typical day’s high and low.
175 frost days and 109 days above 20°C a year
From September to May frost is routine, and in January it comes on almost every night. On about 27 nights a year the air falls below −20°C.
Frost days by month
Average days at 0°C or below
Days above 20°C by month
Average days
About 1,062 mm of rain and snow a year
October brings the most rain and snow; February, the least. About 141 days a year bring 1 mm or more.
Rain and snow by month
Millimetres
Snowfall: about 174 cm in a normal year
Snow falls from October to April, most of all in December (about 42 cm).
Snowfall by month
Centimetres
Muskoka publishes no full year of snowfall, so these figures come from Egbert, 57 km away.
Heating a home in Tay
90% of a year’s heating need falls between October and April. Months averaging under 10°C: October to April.
Behind the figure: the degrees each day’s mean falls under 18°C, summed for the year.
Living with Tay’s climate
What the normals mean for a garden, a day outside and the depth of winter.
For long days outdoors, Jun, Jul and Aug bring highs of 17–27°C and lows of 8°C or more.
Parks & trails →For blizzards, floods and wildfire, turn to Tay’s hazards page.
Flood & hazards →ECCC’s normals location: Muskoka
Behind the 1991–2020 normals for Muskoka are 3 stations, which ECCC combines into one record.
| Distance from the town | 45 km north-east |
| Station altitude | 282 m |
| Completeness | meets the WMO “3 and 5” rule |
| WMO standard normals | No |
| Snowfall from | Egbert, 57 km |
| Coldest reading, 1991–2020 | −40.0°C |
| Hottest reading, 1991–2020 | 35.2°C |
| Average wind | 10.7 km/h |
| Next-nearest location | Collingwood, 45 km |
How Tay compares
Against the 2,611 Canadian towns and neighbourhoods of 2,500 or more, each read from its own normals location; the dots are the other locations those towns use in Ontario.
Nearby towns’ climate
Places around Tay whose figures come from another normals location.
| Town | July high | January low | Rain & snow |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tay Muskoka | 25.3°C | −15.3°C | 1,062 mm |
| Midland 8.9 km · Collingwood | 25.3°C about the same | −8.7°C 6.6°C milder | 1,062 mm |
Tay weather by month
Each month’s normals, 1991–2020: high, low, mean, precipitation and snowfall.
| Month | High | Low | Mean | Rain & snow | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | −4.6°C | −15.3°C | −10.0°C | 92 mm | 40 cm |
| February | −3.1°C | −15.1°C | −9.1°C | 56 mm | 33 cm |
| March | 2.5°C | −9.0°C | −3.3°C | 72 mm | 26 cm |
| April | 10.4°C | −1.6°C | 4.4°C | 79 mm | 9 cm |
| May | 18.4°C | 4.7°C | 11.5°C | 93 mm | under 1 cm |
| June | 23.1°C | 10.1°C | 16.7°C | 86 mm | 0 cm |
| July | 25.3°C | 12.8°C | 19.1°C | 100 mm | 0 cm |
| August | 24.4°C | 11.8°C | 18.1°C | 82 mm | 0 cm |
| September | 20.1°C | 7.5°C | 13.8°C | 102 mm | 0 cm |
| October | 12.5°C | 2.2°C | 7.4°C | 111 mm | 3 cm |
| November | 5.1°C | −3.4°C | 0.9°C | 103 mm | 22 cm |
| December | −1.0°C | −9.7°C | −5.4°C | 87 mm | 42 cm |
| Year | 11.1°C | −0.4°C | 5.3°C | 1,062 mm | 174 cm |
From year to year, January moves by 3.3°C, more than any month, and June least
March has the widest record range, −31.9°C in 2003 to 26.7°C in 2012; the tick on each bar is the month’s normal.
Where Tay’s numbers come from
Averages over 30 years, not a forecast.
- Normals: Environment and Climate Change Canada’s 1991–2020 normals, Muskoka: the nearest of its locations with every month’s temperatures.
- Other locations: where a location publishes no full year of precipitation or snowfall, the nearest one that does supplies it, named beside those figures.
- Comparisons: all Canadian places of 2,500 or more except city totals and reserves, each read the same way.
- Not on this page: a sunshine figure (ECCC published none for 1991–2020) and any lapse-rate correction for height, as the town has no elevation here.
Canadian Climate Normals 1991–2020 · ECCC Data Services End-use Licence. Data Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada
Questions about Tay’s climate
How warm does Tay get in summer?
At its warmest, in July, the normal high is 25.3°C.
How cold does Tay get in winter?
The year’s coldest nights belong to January, at about −15.3°C.
How much rain and snow does Tay get?
Measured as water, a year brings 1,062 mm: 111 mm in October, the wettest month, and 56 mm in February, the driest.
Are these figures for Tay itself?
Not exactly. Tay lacks a normals station, so Muskoka supplies the figures.
Data Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada · ECCC Data Services End-use Licence Today’s forecast for Tay →
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).