Photo: Earth Science and Remote Sensing Unit , Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center · Public domainLincoln is about average among Canadian towns for recorded crime
Each year brought 10.8 violent incidents and 22.7 incidents of property crime for every 1,000 residents (12.9 and 31.2 in the typical town its size). All told, Lincoln grades B− for safety (#13 of 59 in New Brunswick): close to the middle of Canadian towns, on crime its police reported from 2023 to 2025. The index that weighs each crime by its seriousness comes to 63.2 here (2023–2025 mean), and to 68.5 for the typical Canadian town its size.
Statistics Canada, police-reported crime, 2023–2025 means. The index weighs each crime by its seriousness; rates are incidents per 1,000 residents a year. Area-wide: crime severity, crime rate and incident counts, counted over the Oromotco detachment area.
What stands out about safety in Lincoln
Less severe than in 2023
Between 2023 and 2025, Lincoln moved from 74 to 58.2, while the typical Canadian town its size went from 74.3 to 64.2. Year by year ↓
Higher than many towns its size
Counting up from the lowest index, Lincoln is 26th of the 40 Canadian towns closest in population. Towns its size ↓
Much like New Brunswick’s towns
Set among New Brunswick’s towns, whose median is 72.8, Lincoln scores 63.2. Towns its size ↓
Written from Statistics Canada’s police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025. Figures are what police recorded, not convictions.
What’s behind Lincoln’s grade
How sure: Not as firm as most grades. Its figures come from the nearest detachment, 7 km off, which covers its own area rather than Lincoln.
The grade weighs the Crime Severity Index and its violent half, averaged over 2023–2025, against every Canadian town and city neighbourhood of 1,000 people or more.
Its place: #13 of 59 in New Brunswick and #951 of 2,572 Canadian towns.
The Crime Severity Index and its two halves, beside the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
What police record in Lincoln, by type
Against the typical town its size, Lincoln runs highest on mischief (6.1 per 1,000 against 4.9). Assault and theft under $5,000 sit below it.
Every Statistics Canada violation line
| Violation | Incidents a year | Per 1,000 | Cleared |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homicide | 1 | 0.03 | — |
| Sexual violations against children | 7.3 | 0.2 | 68% |
| Assaults against a peace officer | 6.7 | 0.2 | 90% |
| Firearms: use, discharge, pointing | 4.3 | 0.1 | — |
| Robbery | 2 | 0.07 | — |
| Forcible confinement or kidnapping | 1.3 | 0.05 | — |
| Other violent violations | 4 | 0.1 | — |
| Breaking and entering | 63.3 | 2.2 | 13% |
| Possession of stolen property | 49 | 1.7 | 24% |
| Theft of a motor vehicle | 58 | 2 | 8% |
| Theft over $5,000 | 31 | 1 | 2% |
| Theft under $5,000 | 146 | 5 | 9% |
| Mischief | 177.3 | 6.1 | 5% |
| Weapons violations | 13.3 | 0.5 | 58% |
| Administration of justice violations | 80 | 2.7 | 63% |
| Other Criminal Code violations | 33.7 | 1.1 | 28% |
| Drug violations | 12.7 | 0.4 | 34% |
| Impaired driving | 55 | 1.9 | 48% |
| Failing to stop or remain | 1.7 | 0.06 | — |
Statistics Canada’s violation groups for the whole police service or detachment, incidents a year its own. Cleared: incidents solved by a charge or otherwise, as a share of those reported.
Incidents per 1,000 residents a year, 2023–2025 means, against the typical figure for Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
In Lincoln, down 21% between 2023 and 2025
Crime Severity Index
2023 opened the run as its heaviest year (74); 2024 was the lightest, at 57.3. In the same years the typical Canadian town its size read 74.3 (2023), then 64.2 (2025).
Every year as a table
| Year | Lincoln | Typical town its size |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58.2 | 64.2 |
| 2024 | 57.3 | 68.8 |
| 2023 | 74 | 74.3 |
Statistics Canada, Crime Severity Index by police service, each year as published. Typical: the median of Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people.
The Crime Severity Index of the police covering Lincoln, each year, against the typical Canadian town its size.
By its index, Lincoln stands 26th of 40 towns its size
| # | Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alnwick/Haldimand Ontario | 8,197 | 21.6 | 26.9 | A+ |
| … | |||||
| 23 | St. Marys Ontario | 8,203 | 52.5 | 75.2 | B+ |
| 24 | Acton Vale Quebec | 7,945 | 54.1 | 86 | B |
| 25 | La Malbaie Quebec | 8,293 | 57.2 | 83.8 | B |
| 26 | Lincoln New Brunswick | 8,093 | 63.2 | 81.9 | B− |
| 27 | Cypress County Alberta | 7,855 | 66.6 | 46.6 | B− |
| 28 | Clinton Ontario | 8,318 | 72.5 | 106.8 | C+ |
| 29 | Beaubassin East / Beaubassin-est New Brunswick | 8,138 | 72.8 | 74.8 | C+ |
| … | |||||
| 40 | Happy Valley-Goose Bay Newfoundland and Labrador | 8,197 | 360 | 345 | D− |
The 40 Canadian towns of 2,500+ people closest in population; city neighbourhoods, city totals and reserves are left out. Towns on one police service or detachment share its index.
The Canadian towns closest to Lincoln in population, the lowest Crime Severity Index first (2023–2025 means).
Around 320 violent incidents a year at the detachment nearest Lincoln (30,400 residents), 2023–2025
Violent incidents per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Property crimes per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Statistics Canada counts actual incidents; those police record as unfounded are listed apart and kept out of its crime rates and severity index. Each incident is filed under its most serious violation, which the survey sets partly by the maximum penalty.
Property crime adds about 670 a year and other violations 300 (2023–2025 average). Of 1,000 dots, one per resident, the coloured ones are a year’s incidents at these rates.
Crime in the places around Lincoln
| Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 8,093 | 63.2 | 81.9 | B− |
| New Maryland | 4,455 | 63.2 | 81.9 | B− |
| Oromocto | 9,451 | 138.7 | 183.5 | D |
| New Maryland | 3,198 | 63.2 | 81.9 | B− |
| Burton | 5,424 | 63.2 | 81.9 | B− |
| Starlight Village | 5,108 | 63.2 | 81.9 | B− |
| Maugerville | 1,808 | 63.2 | 81.9 | B− |
Same police, same number: 5 neighbours drop out of the comparison for that reason.
Each place’s police figures, 2023–2025 means.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- The clearance rate. Police clear an incident by charging someone, recommending a charge, or closing it another way. The rate weighs serious crimes more, as the index does.
- Severity, weighed. Police-reported incidents, each multiplied by a weight drawn from court sentences, summed and divided by the population: that is the index, and its makers attach a caution, “The CSI is not an indicator of overall safety and should be interpreted in the broader community context.”
- What 100 means. Its scale starts from Canada in 2006, set at 100, so a figure above 100 means more serious crime per resident than the country had then.
Questions about safety in Lincoln
Is Lincoln safe?
On Statistics Canada’s figures, Lincoln scores 63.2 on the Crime Severity Index for 2023–2025, with 10.8 violent and 22.7 property incidents per 1,000 residents a year. The middle of Canadian towns of 2,500 to 10,000 people is 68.5.
What is the most common crime in Lincoln?
Police record other Criminal Code offences most, 6.5 per 1,000 residents a year, ahead of mischief (6.1) and theft under $5,000 (5).
Is crime going up in Lincoln?
The reverse: 74 in 2023 came down to 58.2 by 2025, 21% lower.
How much of Lincoln’s crime do police solve?
Police solve 54% of violent crime and 15% of everything else, 29% overall once each crime is weighted by seriousness, against 34% for the typical Canadian town its size.
Whose figures are these?
A police service or detachment that covers Lincoln and other places, so the figures are shared.
Source: Statistics Canada, police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025 (Statistics Canada Open Licence); TownRatings calculation.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Crime severity index and weighted clearance rates, police services (tables 35-10-0186 to 0190, 0061, 0063, 0064), 2023–2025 · Statistics Canada, Incident-based crime statistics by detailed violations, police services (35-10-0178 to 0185) · Safety Grade: TownRatings calculation. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).