Wildfire low, radon 12%: how Templeton-Sinclair stands on hazards
Around Templeton-Sinclair, wildfire is practically absent from the record: 0% within 25 km since 1986, 0.001% a year. Shaking is less of a worry than in most places, at $0.006 a year per $1,000 of building value ($0.030 typical). Hazard risk gives Templeton-Sinclair a grade of B+; its wildfire band pulls it down.
What stands out about Templeton-Sinclair’s hazards
For Templeton-Sinclair, from NRCan’s seismic model, Health Canada’s radon survey, the national burned-area record and the flood map inventory.
What Templeton-Sinclair faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Templeton-Sinclair grades B+ for hazard risk
The grade weighs Templeton-Sinclair’s seismic risk and radon equally, and wildfire is one-sided: a high band counts against a town, a low one earns nothing.
Its place: #10 of 185 in Manitoba and #940 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. The radon share rests on 66 home tests in the survey area, so a few homes move it. The burned-area record misses fires under about 10 ha and most grass and farm fires.
Little of the land around Templeton-Sinclair has burned: 0% within 5 km, 0% within 25 km since 1986
Past fire around Templeton-Sinclair’s homes, from the national burned-area record, with the fuel within 5 km.
A burn rate of 0.001% a year keeps Templeton-Sinclair in the low band (the typical Canadian town: 0.000%).
Fire has stayed at least 17 km from Templeton-Sinclair’s homes since 1986.
Little near Templeton-Sinclair’s homes can carry a forest fire; only 0% of the land within 5 km is forest fuel, and 0.1% within 25 km.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Manitoba · highest of 189
Templeton-Sinclair ranks 31st of the 189 towns in Manitoba for burn rate, at 0.001% a year; Flin Flon (Part) leads with 1.68%.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
The low band takes in 92% of Canada’s 2,610 towns, Templeton-Sinclair among them, though its rate is above zero; 7.5% rank higher.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
The flood map inventory lists nothing for Templeton-Sinclair
What Canada’s Flood Map Inventory lists for Templeton-Sinclair: who studied flooding and where to see their maps.
The inventory has nothing for Templeton-Sinclair, but a local or conservation-authority map may still exist.
Towns with a flood study on file
Mapping in Manitoba reaches 18% of towns, below the 58% across Canada, and not Templeton-Sinclair.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Listed, not scored: a flood study proves a map exists, not that Templeton-Sinclair floods.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Earthquakes cost buildings in Templeton-Sinclair just $0.006 per $1,000 a year
Expected yearly building losses from earthquakes, from Natural Resources Canada’s model.
Templeton-Sinclair’s $0.006 is a fraction of the typical town’s $0.030 (0.2 times as much): quiet ground by Canadian standards.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Earthquake risk around Templeton-Sinclair ($0.006) matches the middle in Manitoba ($0.006), far from Virden’s $0.007.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Toward the quiet end of Canada’s range: 88% of its 2,611 towns sit above Templeton-Sinclair.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
What a quake does after the shaking, fire, landslides, tsunami, falls outside NRCan’s figure for Templeton-Sinclair.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean). · Area behind the earthquake risk figures: the city of Winnipeg
Radon runs high around Templeton-Sinclair: 12% of tested homes over the guideline
Long-term radon tests in homes across the survey area, against Health Canada’s guideline. · Measured across the Winnipeg health region: radon tests
More homes than usual test high around Templeton-Sinclair: 12% against 6.6% for the typical Canadian town.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Templeton-Sinclair’s area, at 12%, is close to the median in Manitoba (12%).
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
4.6% of Canada’s 2,611 towns have a higher share of homes over 200 Bq/m³ than Templeton-Sinclair, in the 10–20% band with 22%.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
Radon varies from house to house in Templeton-Sinclair, so the survey is a reason to test, not a result for yours.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Where to get warnings in Templeton-Sinclair
Alerts for Templeton-Sinclair come from Environment and Climate Change Canada and, for emergencies, Alert Ready.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Evacuation orders for Templeton-Sinclair come from the municipality or the province, while CWFIS maps fire danger every day.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Hazards in the places around Templeton-Sinclair
Wildfire band, earthquake risk, radon and flood studies for each place nearby.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Templeton-Sinclair | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Garden City 6,794 · 0.9 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| West Kildonan Industrial 3,678 · 1.2 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Jefferson 11,524 · 1.2 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Leila North 3,966 · 1.7 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Leila-McPhillips Triangle 3,824 · 1.8 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Seven Oaks 3,244 · 2.0 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
Nowhere around Templeton-Sinclair burns more: Garden City, the closest rival, is low to its low.
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Templeton-Sinclair faces
What to do about the hazards Templeton-Sinclair faces, and what to ask before you buy.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Radon is a survey. The radon share comes from about 14,000 long-term home tests in 2009–2011, pooled for now by the 2007 health region Templeton-Sinclair sits in.
- Wildfire counts one way. For Templeton-Sinclair, wildfire means how much nearby land burned in the past forty years, a one-way input that can pull Risk down and nothing more.
- Earthquakes are modelled. Seismic risk is NRCan’s model of yearly building losses from shaking, averaged over many years and given for Templeton-Sinclair’s census subdivision (a neighbourhood shows its city’s).
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. A study’s area can be a whole watershed or province, so being on the inventory says a map exists, not that a home in Templeton-Sinclair floods.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Templeton-Sinclair
Does Templeton-Sinclair flood?
Nothing is listed for Templeton-Sinclair on the national inventory (0); local maps may still exist with the municipality.
Is Templeton-Sinclair at risk of wildfire?
Less than most of Canada: 0% of the land within 25 km of Templeton-Sinclair has burned since 1986, the last in 2012, a low band that leaves Risk alone.
How is Templeton-Sinclair’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Hazard risk gives Templeton-Sinclair B+, weighing earthquakes and radon and counting wildfire only against it.
Is radon a problem in Templeton-Sinclair?
In Health Canada’s survey, 12% of 66 homes tested in Templeton-Sinclair’s area were above 200 Bq/m³, though only a test tells you about one house.
How big is the earthquake risk in Templeton-Sinclair?
NRCan’s model expects shaking to cost buildings in Templeton-Sinclair $0.006 a year for every $1,000 of their value, on average over many years.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).