Hazards in Leila-McPhillips Triangle: wildfire low, radon over the guideline in 12% of tested homes
The burned-area map is nearly blank around Leila-McPhillips Triangle, 0% within 25 km since 1986, 0.001% a year. Seismic risk runs low: $0.006 of expected damage per $1,000 of buildings a year, the typical town $0.030. Hazard risk gives Leila-McPhillips Triangle a grade of B+; its wildfire band pulls it down.
What stands out about Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s hazards
Four national sources, each read for Leila-McPhillips Triangle: earthquakes, radon, past fires and flood studies.
What Leila-McPhillips Triangle faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Hazard risk in Leila-McPhillips Triangle: B+
Seismic risk and radon set Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s grade, wildfire can drag it down, and flood mapping stays out of it.
Its place: #10 of 185 in Manitoba and #940 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. Only 66 homes were tested in the survey area, so the radon share is rough. Small fires and grass fires are largely missing from the national burned-area record.
Few fires near Leila-McPhillips Triangle: 0% within 5 km, 0% within 25 km
Past fire around Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s homes, from the national burned-area record, with the fuel within 5 km.
A burn rate of 0.001% a year keeps Leila-McPhillips Triangle in the low band (the typical Canadian town: 0.000%).
The closest burn since 1986 lies 18 km from Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s homes, none within 5 km.
Only 0.1% of the land within 25 km of Leila-McPhillips Triangle is forest fuel, and 0% close in.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Manitoba · highest of 189
In the top quarter in Manitoba: Leila-McPhillips Triangle ranks 31st of 189 at 0.001% a year, with Flin Flon (Part) first at 1.68%.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
Some fire is mapped around Leila-McPhillips Triangle, but not enough to leave the low band, where 92% of Canada’s 2,610 towns are; 7.5% rank higher.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
The flood map inventory lists nothing for Leila-McPhillips Triangle
What Canada’s Flood Map Inventory lists for Leila-McPhillips Triangle: who studied flooding and where to see their maps.
NRCan’s inventory is silent on Leila-McPhillips Triangle, so any flood map would be the municipality’s own.
Towns with a flood study on file
Only 18% of towns in Manitoba have a flood study, short of Canada’s 58%, and Leila-McPhillips Triangle is not among them.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Flood studies don’t enter the grade; they are listed so you can open the official map for Leila-McPhillips Triangle.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Earthquakes cost buildings in Leila-McPhillips Triangle just $0.006 per $1,000 a year
Expected yearly building losses from earthquakes, from Natural Resources Canada’s model.
Shaking costs the typical town $0.030 a year; in Leila-McPhillips Triangle it is only $0.006, 0.2 times as much.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
The median in Manitoba is $0.006; Leila-McPhillips Triangle, at $0.006, is right beside it, and Virden tops the list at $0.007.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Leila-McPhillips Triangle is in the lower part of Canada’s range for earthquake risk; 88% of the 2,611 towns are higher.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
Roads, pipes and bridges aren’t in Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s figure, nor landslides or tsunami: it is buildings and shaking.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean). · Earthquake risk: one figure for all of the city of Winnipeg
Test for radon in Leila-McPhillips Triangle: 12% of area homes were over the guideline
Long-term radon tests in homes across the survey area, against Health Canada’s guideline.
A higher share than most: 12% of tested homes around Leila-McPhillips Triangle, the typical Canadian town 6.6%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Around Leila-McPhillips Triangle, 12% of tests topped the guideline, about the same as the typical town in Manitoba (12%).
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
4.6% of Canada’s 2,611 towns have a higher share of homes over 200 Bq/m³ than Leila-McPhillips Triangle, in the 10–20% band with 22%.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
The survey sampled homes around Leila-McPhillips Triangle; it can’t tell you your basement’s level.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011). · Area behind the radon tests figures: the Winnipeg health region
Weather and fire alerts for Leila-McPhillips Triangle
Alerts for Leila-McPhillips Triangle come from Environment and Climate Change Canada and, for emergencies, Alert Ready.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Fire danger and active fires near Leila-McPhillips Triangle are mapped daily by the Canadian Wildland Fire Information System; evacuation orders come from the municipality or province.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
How Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s neighbours compare on hazards
Wildfire band, earthquake risk, radon and flood studies for each place nearby.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila-McPhillips Triangle | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Garden City 6,794 · 1.1 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| The Maples 13,766 · 1.1 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Robertson 5,090 · 1.6 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Leila North 3,966 · 1.6 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Templeton-Sinclair 3,987 · 1.8 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Shaughnessy Park 5,169 · 2.1 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
Nowhere around Leila-McPhillips Triangle burns more: Garden City, the closest rival, is low to its low.
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Leila-McPhillips Triangle faces
Practical steps for Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s hazards, most pressing first.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Earthquakes are modelled. NRCan models what earthquakes would cost buildings each year on average, subdivision by subdivision; Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s figure is its subdivision’s.
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. A study’s area can be a whole watershed or province, so being on the inventory says a map exists, not that a home in Leila-McPhillips Triangle floods.
- Radon is a survey. The radon share comes from about 14,000 long-term home tests in 2009–2011, pooled for now by the 2007 health region Leila-McPhillips Triangle sits in.
- Wildfire counts one way. Wildfire is read from the national burned-area record around Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s homes since 1986, a history of fire that may lower Risk but never raises it.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Leila-McPhillips Triangle
Is Leila-McPhillips Triangle at risk of wildfire?
Some, but Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s low band (0% of nearby land burned since 1986, latest 2012) is short of the level that counts.
How is Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Leila-McPhillips Triangle’s Hazard risk grade is B+, built on earthquakes and radon with a one-sided wildfire input.
Does Leila-McPhillips Triangle flood?
The inventory has 0 studies for Leila-McPhillips Triangle, and an empty list isn’t a clean bill: the municipality holds any flood maps.
Is radon a problem in Leila-McPhillips Triangle?
The area’s survey found 12% of 66 tested homes above Health Canada’s guideline, so a three-month test is worth doing in Leila-McPhillips Triangle.
How big is the earthquake risk in Leila-McPhillips Triangle?
NRCan’s model expects shaking to cost buildings in Leila-McPhillips Triangle $0.006 a year for every $1,000 of their value, on average over many years.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).