Hazards in Kildonan Drive: wildfire low, radon over the guideline in 12% of tested homes
Wildfire isn’t Kildonan Drive’s worry: 0% of the land within 25 km burned since 1986 (0.001% a year). Earthquakes matter little: NRCan’s model puts building losses at $0.006 a year per $1,000 of value, against $0.030 for the typical town. Hazard risk gives Kildonan Drive a grade of B+; its wildfire band pulls it down.
What stands out about Kildonan Drive’s hazards
Four national sources, each read for Kildonan Drive: earthquakes, radon, past fires and flood studies.
What Kildonan Drive faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Kildonan Drive grades B+ for hazard risk
Earthquake risk and radon make Kildonan Drive’s grade; wildfire can only lower it, never raise it, and flood studies are listed but not scored.
Its place: #10 of 185 in Manitoba and #940 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: The seismic figure is a long-run average from NRCan’s model, not a prediction. The radon share rests on 66 home tests in the survey area, so a few homes move it. Small fires and grass fires are largely missing from the national burned-area record.
Little of the land around Kildonan Drive has burned: 0% within 5 km, 0% within 25 km since 1986
Fires mapped since 1986 around where Kildonan Drive’s residents live, and the fuel next to their homes.
At 0.001% of the land a year, Kildonan Drive’s burn rate is in the low band; the typical Canadian town sees 0.000%.
The closest burn since 1986 lies 15 km from Kildonan Drive’s homes, none within 5 km.
Forest fuel is scarce around Kildonan Drive: 0% of the land within 5 km, 0.1% within 25 km.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Manitoba · highest of 189
In the top quarter in Manitoba: Kildonan Drive ranks 31st of 189 at 0.001% a year, with Flin Flon (Part) first at 1.68%.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
7.5% of Canada’s 2,610 towns burn fast enough to rank moderate or above; Kildonan Drive stays low, with 92%.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
The flood map inventory lists nothing for Kildonan Drive
Flood studies whose area touches Kildonan Drive, from NRCan’s inventory, each linked to its owner.
There is no study for Kildonan Drive on the national flood inventory, which is far from complete.
Towns with a flood study on file
Mapping in Manitoba reaches 18% of towns, below the 58% across Canada, and not Kildonan Drive.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Nothing here counts toward Risk; the studies are pointers to the maps their owners keep for Kildonan Drive.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Low seismic risk in Kildonan Drive: $0.006 per $1,000 of buildings a year
NRCan’s seismic risk model: the damage shaking is expected to do to buildings each year, on average over many years.
Shaking costs the typical town $0.030 a year; in Kildonan Drive it is only $0.006, 0.2 times as much.
Figures for earthquake risk are published for the city of Winnipeg as a whole, not for Kildonan Drive alone.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
Earthquake risk around Kildonan Drive ($0.006) matches the middle in Manitoba ($0.006), far from Virden’s $0.007.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Toward the quiet end of Canada’s range: 88% of its 2,611 towns sit above Kildonan Drive.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
The model counts damage to Kildonan Drive’s buildings and their occupants from shaking only: not liquefaction, landslides, tsunami or fires after a quake.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
Test for radon in Kildonan Drive: 12% of area homes were over the guideline
Health Canada’s survey of long-term home tests: the share above the 200 Bq/m³ guideline. · Measured across the Winnipeg health region: radon tests
At 12% over the guideline, the area around Kildonan Drive beats the typical Canadian town’s 6.6%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Kildonan Drive’s area, at 12%, is close to the median in Manitoba (12%).
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Kildonan Drive is in the 10–20% band, with 22% of Canada’s 2,611 towns; only 4.6% are higher.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
Basements, soil and how a house is sealed decide its radon, so in Kildonan Drive only a test can say.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011).
Weather and fire alerts for Kildonan Drive
Environment and Climate Change Canada issues the weather alerts for Kildonan Drive; Alert Ready carries the urgent ones to phones, radio and TV.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
Smoke and fire warnings for Kildonan Drive come through Environment Canada and Alert Ready; the fire map is CWFIS’s.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
How Kildonan Drive’s neighbours compare on hazards
The same four hazards for the places next door.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kildonan Drive | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Rossmere-B 4,732 · 1.0 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Seven Oaks 3,244 · 1.4 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Rossmere-A 13,613 · 1.4 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Munroe West 2,532 · 1.6 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Valhalla 3,153 · 2.1 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Luxton 3,047 · 2.2 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
Nowhere around Kildonan Drive burns more: Rossmere-B, the closest rival, is low to its low.
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Kildonan Drive faces
Practical steps for Kildonan Drive’s hazards, most pressing first.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Radon is a survey. Radon figures pool the survey’s home tests by area: postal areas once their boundaries arrive, the 2007 health region around Kildonan Drive until then.
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. Flood studies cover areas of every size, which is why the page lists them for Kildonan Drive without grading them.
- Wildfire counts one way. The wildfire figure is the share of land within 25 km of Kildonan Drive’s homes burned each year from 1986 to 2025, past fire rather than a forecast, and it can only lower Risk.
- Earthquakes are modelled. Shaking damage is modelled from the ground, the buildings and the odds of each quake, and published for whole subdivisions such as Kildonan Drive’s.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Kildonan Drive
How is Kildonan Drive’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Kildonan Drive’s Hazard risk grade is B+, built on earthquakes and radon with a one-sided wildfire input.
Is radon a problem in Kildonan Drive?
The area’s survey found 12% of 66 tested homes above Health Canada’s guideline, so a three-month test is worth doing in Kildonan Drive.
Does Kildonan Drive flood?
The inventory has 0 studies for Kildonan Drive, and an empty list isn’t a clean bill: the municipality holds any flood maps.
Is Kildonan Drive at risk of wildfire?
Some, but Kildonan Drive’s low band (0% of nearby land burned since 1986, latest 2012) is short of the level that counts.
How big is the earthquake risk in Kildonan Drive?
About $0.006 a year per $1,000 of building value, NRCan’s long-run expectation for Kildonan Drive.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).