Hazards in Luxton: wildfire low, radon over the guideline in 12% of tested homes
Since 1986 almost nothing has burned near Luxton: 0% of the land within 25 km, or 0.001% a year. Shaking is less of a worry than in most places, at $0.006 a year per $1,000 of building value ($0.030 typical). Luxton grades B+ for hazard risk, with wildfire counted against it.
What stands out about Luxton’s hazards
Four national sources, each read for Luxton: earthquakes, radon, past fires and flood studies.
What Luxton faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Wildfire
Earthquakes
Radon
Flood study
Hazard risk in Luxton: B+
Earthquake risk and radon make Luxton’s grade; wildfire can only lower it, never raise it, and flood studies are listed but not scored.
Its place: #10 of 185 in Manitoba and #940 of 2,589 Canadian towns.
How sure: Earthquake losses are a model’s expectation over many years, not a forecast for any one. Only 66 homes were tested in the survey area, so the radon share is rough. Small fires and grass fires are largely missing from the national burned-area record.
Few fires near Luxton: 0% within 5 km, 0% within 25 km
Fires mapped since 1986 around where Luxton’s residents live, and the fuel next to their homes.
Forty years of fire maps put Luxton at 0.001% a year, low next to the typical Canadian town’s 0.000%.
Nothing inside 5 km of Luxton’s homes has burned since 1986, and the nearest scar is 17 km off.
With 0% forest fuel within 5 km and 0.1% within 25 km, the land around Luxton gives a fire little to burn.
Shares of land within 5 and 25 km of populated blocks: burned at least once in 1986–2025 (CWFIS burned-area composite), forest fuel and grass (fire behaviour fuel types, 2026, 250 m grid).
Burn rate a year, towns in Manitoba · highest of 189
Flin Flon (Part) burns fastest in Manitoba at 1.68% a year; Luxton, at 0.001%, ranks 31st of 189.
Each bar: the yearly average share of land within 25 km of a town’s homes that burned, 1986–2025 (CWFIS); the seven highest towns of 2,500 people or more.
Some fire is mapped around Luxton, but not enough to leave the low band, where 92% of Canada’s 2,610 towns are; 7.5% rank higher.
Bands of the yearly burn rate: low under 0.05%, moderate under 0.25%, high under 1%, very high 1% or more; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
Canadian Wildland Fire Information System: National Burned Area Composite 1986–2025 and fire behaviour fuel types (2026), Natural Resources Canada. Measured within 25 km and 5 km of each populated dissemination area; past fire, not a forecast.
No flood study is listed for Luxton
Flood studies whose area touches Luxton, from NRCan’s inventory, each linked to its owner.
An empty entry for Luxton on the inventory isn’t proof of safety; ask locally for flood maps.
Towns with a flood study on file
No study touches Luxton; in Manitoba, 18% of towns have one, below Canada’s 58%.
NRCan Canada Flood Map Inventory: a study footprint touching the town’s boundary; towns of 2,500 people or more.
Nothing here counts toward Risk; the studies are pointers to the maps their owners keep for Luxton.
The inventory’s own caution (NRCan): “The Canada Flood Map (CFM) does not include every flood hazard map in Canada and may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. It should not be relied upon as the official source of flood mapping information. Furthermore, if a map appears to be missing, this does not necessarily mean that the area has never been mapped. For the official version of a map, updated information, or confirmation of applicable regulations, please contact the local authority responsible for flood mapping.”
Low seismic risk in Luxton: $0.006 per $1,000 of buildings a year
NRCan’s seismic risk model: the damage shaking is expected to do to buildings each year, on average over many years.
Shaking costs the typical town $0.030 a year; in Luxton it is only $0.006, 0.2 times as much.
Luxton doesn’t get its own earthquake risk figures; the ones here come from the city of Winnipeg.
Shaking damage a year per $1,000 of building value
About level with the typical town in Manitoba: Luxton’s $0.006 against $0.006; Virden reaches $0.007.
NRCan seismic risk model (2022): mean yearly building loss per $1,000 of value; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
Most of Canada’s 2,611 towns (88%) face more earthquake damage than Luxton.
Each column: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more in that range of yearly loss per $1,000 (NRCan, 2022).
The model counts damage to Luxton’s buildings and their occupants from shaking only: not liquefaction, landslides, tsunami or fires after a quake.
Natural Resources Canada, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model (2022), by census subdivision (2016 boundaries; a few 2021 subdivisions take their residents’ mean).
12% of homes tested around Luxton are over the radon guideline
Health Canada’s survey of long-term home tests: the share above the 200 Bq/m³ guideline.
A higher share than most: 12% of tested homes around Luxton, the typical Canadian town 6.6%.
Tested homes over 200 Bq/m³
Over 600 Bq/m³
Around Luxton, 12% of tests topped the guideline, about the same as the typical town in Manitoba (12%).
Health Canada radon survey (2009–2011), by 2007 health region; medians of towns of 2,500 people or more.
More high tests than most: Luxton sits in a band that only 22% of Canada’s 2,611 towns share, with 4.6% above.
Each bar: the share of Canada’s towns of 2,500 people or more whose survey area had that share of tests over 200 Bq/m³.
The survey sampled homes around Luxton; it can’t tell you your basement’s level.
Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes (2009–2011). · Radon tests: one figure for all of the Winnipeg health region
Weather and fire alerts for Luxton
Environment and Climate Change Canada issues the weather alerts for Luxton; Alert Ready carries the urgent ones to phones, radio and TV.
| Alert | What it means |
|---|---|
| Warning | Severe weather is happening or about to: act now. |
| Watch | Conditions favour severe weather: be ready. |
| Advisory | Weather that is less severe but could disrupt the day. |
| Special weather statement | Unusual weather worth knowing about. |
| Special air quality statement | Poor air, often wildfire smoke. |
In fire season, check CWFIS for danger and active fires around Luxton, and listen to local authorities for orders.
Weather alerts (ECCC) · Alert Ready · Fire danger and active fires (CWFIS)
How Luxton’s neighbours compare on hazards
The same four hazards for the places next door.
| Town | Wildfire | Quake $/1,000 | Radon | Flood study |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luxton | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| St. John's 8,492 · 0.7 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Seven Oaks 3,244 · 1.3 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Munroe West 2,532 · 1.6 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Chalmers 12,384 · 1.6 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| North Point Douglas 2,670 · 1.7 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
| Jefferson 11,524 · 1.8 km | Low | $0.006 | 12% | None listed |
St. John's (low) has the heaviest fire record of Luxton’s neighbours, and Luxton (low) matches or beats it.
Radon is the survey area’s figure, so neighbours in one area share it.
Get ready for what Luxton faces
Practical steps for Luxton’s hazards, most pressing first.
- Test for three months in winter.
- Over 200 Bq/m³: fix it.
- Kits are cheap; pros test too.
- Never drive through floodwater.
- Move papers and medicines upstairs.
- Ask whether your street is mapped.
- Clear needles and wood nearby.
- Keep a grab-and-go bag ready.
- In smoke, stay in; filter air.
- Has it had a radon test?
- Ask the municipality for flood maps.
- Are flood and wildfire insured?
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Flood studies aren’t flood zones. NRCan’s inventory says where flood mapping exists, not where water goes; the map’s owner is the authority for Luxton.
- Wildfire counts one way. Wildfire is read from the national burned-area record around Luxton’s homes since 1986, a history of fire that may lower Risk but never raises it.
- Earthquakes are modelled. NRCan models what earthquakes would cost buildings each year on average, subdivision by subdivision; Luxton’s figure is its subdivision’s.
- Radon is a survey. About 14,000 homes were tested across Canada in 2009–2011, and the share over the guideline for Luxton is its health region’s, the survey’s design unit.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Luxton
How is Luxton’s Hazard risk Grade worked out?
Hazard risk gives Luxton B+, weighing earthquakes and radon and counting wildfire only against it.
Is radon a problem in Luxton?
The area’s survey found 12% of 66 tested homes above Health Canada’s guideline, so a three-month test is worth doing in Luxton.
Does Luxton flood?
The inventory has 0 studies for Luxton, and an empty list isn’t a clean bill: the municipality holds any flood maps.
Is Luxton at risk of wildfire?
Some, but Luxton’s low band (0% of nearby land burned since 1986, latest 2012) is short of the level that counts.
How big is the earthquake risk in Luxton?
About $0.006 a year per $1,000 of building value, NRCan’s long-run expectation for Luxton.
Seismic risk: Natural Resources Canada. Radon: Health Canada. Wildfire: Canadian Wildland Fire Information System. Flood studies: Natural Resources Canada, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Canada.
Sources: NRCan, Canada’s Seismic Risk Model 2022 · Health Canada, Cross-Canada Survey of Radon Concentrations in Homes · CWFIS, National Burned Area Composite and FBP fuel types · NRCan, Canada Flood Map Inventory. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).