Photo: Whitehea · CC BY-SA 4.0For recorded crime, East St. Paul sits in the middle of Canadian towns
Each of the 6 towns on its borders with figures records more crime per resident. The index that weighs each crime by its seriousness comes to 58.8 here (2023–2025 mean), and to 66 for the typical Canadian town its size. Overall, it grades B for safety (#17 of 182 in Manitoba). The local count comes to 7.7 violent incidents and 27.8 incidents of property crime per 1,000 people each year, with 12.0 and 30.5 in the typical town its size.
Statistics Canada, police-reported crime, 2023–2025 means. The index weighs each crime by its seriousness; rates are incidents per 1,000 residents a year. Measured across the Oakbank Area detachment area: crime severity, crime rate and incident counts.
What stands out about safety in East St. Paul
Property and other crime weigh more
Violent crime scores 39.1 on East St. Paul’s index against 89.4 for the typical Canadian town its size; non-violent crime, 67.2 against 56. By type ↓
Lighter than Manitoba’s middle
East St. Paul’s index of 58.8 compares with 129.3 for the typical town in Manitoba. Towns its size ↓
Break and enter: high for a town its size
East St. Paul records 4.4 incidents of break and enter per 1,000 residents a year, against 2.2 in the typical town among Canadian towns of 10,000 to 50,000 people. By type ↓
In the middle of towns its size
Of the 40 Canadian towns nearest it in size, East St. Paul places 23rd from the lowest index. Towns its size ↓
Written from Statistics Canada’s police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025. Figures are what police recorded, not convictions.
The B for East St. Paul, and how it is built
How sure: Less sure than most: the grade leans on the closest detachment, 18 km from East St. Paul, since none reports under the town’s name.
The grade weighs the Crime Severity Index and its violent half, averaged over 2023–2025, against every Canadian town and city neighbourhood of 1,000 people or more.
Its place: #17 of 182 in Manitoba and #888 of 2,572 Canadian towns.
The Crime Severity Index and its two halves, beside the typical figure for Canadian towns of 10,000 to 50,000 people.
Which crimes make up East St. Paul’s figures
Against the typical town its size, East St. Paul runs highest on break and enter (4.4 per 1,000 against 2.2), mischief (7 per 1,000 against 3.7) and motor vehicle theft (3.7 per 1,000 against 2.4). Assault and theft under $5,000 sit below it.
Every Statistics Canada violation line
| Violation | Incidents a year | Per 1,000 | Cleared |
|---|---|---|---|
| Homicide | 0 | 0 | — |
| Sexual violations against children | 6.3 | 0.3 | 68% |
| Assaults against a peace officer | 7.7 | 0.3 | 95% |
| Firearms: use, discharge, pointing | 1.3 | 0.05 | — |
| Robbery | 3 | 0.1 | — |
| Forcible confinement or kidnapping | 0.3 | 0.02 | — |
| Other violent violations | 2 | 0.09 | — |
| Breaking and entering | 109.3 | 4.4 | 12% |
| Possession of stolen property | 19.3 | 0.8 | 66% |
| Theft of a motor vehicle | 89.3 | 3.7 | 8% |
| Theft over $5,000 | 28 | 1.1 | 5% |
| Theft under $5,000 | 146.3 | 6 | 12% |
| Mischief | 172.3 | 7 | 18% |
| Weapons violations | 6 | 0.2 | 95% |
| Administration of justice violations | 68.7 | 2.8 | 78% |
| Other Criminal Code violations | 15.3 | 0.6 | 44% |
| Drug violations | 11 | 0.5 | 55% |
| Impaired driving | 104 | 4.3 | 68% |
| Failing to stop or remain | 0.7 | 0.03 | — |
Statistics Canada’s violation groups for the whole police service or detachment, incidents a year its own. Cleared: incidents solved by a charge or otherwise, as a share of those reported.
Incidents per 1,000 residents a year, 2023–2025 means, against the typical figure for Canadian towns of 10,000 to 50,000 people.
East St. Paul’s index rose 12% from 2023 to 2025
Crime Severity Index
Its index peaked most recently, in 2025 (65.6); 2024 was the low point, at 52.4. The typical Canadian town its size went from 69.5 in 2023 to 60 in 2025.
Every year as a table
| Year | East St. Paul | Typical town its size |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 65.6 | 60 |
| 2024 | 52.4 | 67.9 |
| 2023 | 58.5 | 69.5 |
Statistics Canada, Crime Severity Index by police service, each year as published. Typical: the median of Canadian towns of 10,000 to 50,000 people.
The Crime Severity Index of the police covering East St. Paul, each year, against the typical Canadian town its size.
East St. Paul is 23rd of 40 towns its size, lowest index first
| # | Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beckwith Ontario | 10,073 | 20.5 | 25.5 | A+ |
| 2 | Stanley Manitoba | 9,929 | 27.2 | 39.3 | A+ |
| … | |||||
| 20 | Yarmouth Nova Scotia | 10,637 | 52.1 | 68.3 | B+ |
| 21 | Corman Park No. 344 Saskatchewan | 10,463 | 54.2 | 56.3 | B |
| 22 | Exeter Ontario | 10,781 | 55.2 | 73.8 | B |
| 23 | East St. Paul Manitoba | 10,321 | 58.8 | 39.1 | B |
| 24 | West St. Paul Manitoba | 10,796 | 64.4 | 49.4 | B− |
| 25 | Morinville Alberta | 10,763 | 66.4 | 81.6 | B− |
| 26 | Ponoka County Alberta | 10,670 | 67.6 | 54.5 | B− |
| … | |||||
| 40 | Wheatland County Alberta | 10,150 | 298.8 | 486.4 | D− |
The 40 Canadian towns of 2,500+ people closest in population; city neighbourhoods, city totals and reserves are left out. Towns on one police service or detachment share its index.
The Canadian towns closest to East St. Paul in population, the lowest Crime Severity Index first (2023–2025 means).
Around 190 violent incidents a year at the detachment nearest East St. Paul (21,100 residents), 2023–2025
Violent incidents per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Property crimes per 1,000 a year, 2023–2025
Statistics Canada counts actual incidents; those police record as unfounded are listed apart and kept out of its crime rates and severity index. Each incident is filed under its most serious violation, which the survey sets partly by the maximum penalty.
And about 680 property crimes, plus 280 other violations, a year (2023–2025 average). Each dot is one resident; each coloured dot, one incident a year at the area’s rates.
Crime in the places around East St. Paul
| Town | People | Severity index | Violent index | Safety |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East St. Paul | 10,321 | 58.8 | 39.1 | B |
| River East | 7,774 | 129.3 | 197.6 | D |
| Springfield North | 8,327 | 129.3 | 197.6 | D |
| West St. Paul | 10,796 | 64.4 | 49.4 | B− |
| Valhalla | 3,153 | 129.3 | 197.6 | D |
| Rivergrove | 2,742 | 129.3 | 197.6 | D |
| Riverbend | 5,453 | 129.3 | 197.6 | D |
East St. Paul has the lowest index of the places around it.
Each place’s police figures, 2023–2025 means.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Reading the number. A reading of 100 is the whole country in 2006. Half of that, 50, means half the severity per resident.
- Solved cases. Weighted like the index, so solving one assault counts for more than solving a mischief; a charge laid, recommended or otherwise resolved all count.
- How serious, not how safe. Police-reported incidents, each multiplied by a weight drawn from court sentences, summed and divided by the population: that is the index, and its makers attach a caution, “The CSI is not an indicator of overall safety and should be interpreted in the broader community context.”
Questions about safety in East St. Paul
Is East St. Paul safe?
Averaged over 2023–2025, the Crime Severity Index for East St. Paul comes to 58.8. Per 1,000 residents a year, police logged 7.7 violent incidents and 27.8 property crimes. Set that beside 66, the median for Canadian towns of 10,000 to 50,000 people.
What is the most common crime in East St. Paul?
The three biggest groups are mischief at 7, other Criminal Code offences at 6 and theft under $5,000 at 6, each per 1,000 residents a year.
Is crime going up in East St. Paul?
It has: 58.5 in 2023 became 65.6 by 2025, a rise of 12%.
How much of East St. Paul’s crime do police solve?
Police cleared 29% of crime once each incident is weighted by seriousness: 63% of violent crime and 22% of the rest, against 33% for the typical Canadian town its size.
Whose figures are these?
Those of the police serving East St. Paul together with its neighbours or the countryside around it.
Source: Statistics Canada, police-reported crime by police service and detachment, 2023–2025 (Statistics Canada Open Licence); TownRatings calculation.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Crime severity index and weighted clearance rates, police services (tables 35-10-0186 to 0190, 0061, 0063, 0064), 2023–2025 · Statistics Canada, Incident-based crime statistics by detailed violations, police services (35-10-0178 to 0185) · Safety Grade: TownRatings calculation. Under the Statistics Canada Open Licence.
Adapted from Statistics Canada (Census of Population 2021, population estimates 2025, 2021 census boundaries) under the Statistics Canada Open Licence; this does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada. Neighbourhood names in some cities © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL).