Photo: Rsduhamel at en.wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0FEMA expects more hazard damage per building in Pine Valley than almost anywhere in the U.S., mostly from wildfire
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Pine Valley gets a D− for hazard risk: among the highest expected damage per building of U.S. towns. Most of that expected damage is wildfire (84%), then river and rain flooding (12%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What Pine Valley faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
Wildfire
River and rain flooding
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Pine Valley’s grade
Wildfire is 84% of the building damage FEMA expects in Pine Valley, and Pine Valley’s rate of wildfire damage is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts. Next is river and rain flooding at 12% (higher than 88% of U.S. census tracts).
D− among the highest expected damage per building of U.S. towns (21,298).
All of Pine Valley’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $6.7M a year in losses across Pine Valley: $6.4M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Pine Valley flood? No paid flood claims on record
FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Pine Valley. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.
Pine Valley isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: San Diego County.1 federal disaster brought FEMA money to Pine Valley
Disasters that paid out in Pine Valley itself (aid to households or repair grants to Pine Valley), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.
- 2003Wildfires, Flooding, Mudflow and Debris Flow Directly Related T67 households applied for aid$6K aid approved
San Diego County has had 30 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Also 18 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in San Diego County, 2002–2018.
Old photos of Pine Valley after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.
Add to the Pine Valley archive →Get ready for what Pine Valley faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
- Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
- Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Pine Valley
Is Pine Valley at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Pine Valley has among the highest expected damage per building of U.S. towns: D− for hazard risk. Most of the expected damage is wildfire (84%) and river and rain flooding (12%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Is Pine Valley in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In San Diego County, 24% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.7% of all homes do.
How much is flood insurance in Pine Valley?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Pine Valley’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
What was the biggest storm in Pine Valley?
By FEMA money that reached Pine Valley, Wildfires, Flooding, Mudflow and Debris Flow Directly Related T (2003): 67 households applied for aid, $6K approved.
Is Pine Valley at risk from wildfire?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (84%), and Pine Valley’s rate for it is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Pine Valley.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Pine Valley’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.