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The Arden Helena Modjeska HousePhoto: MaraLight18 · CC BY-SA 3.0
–Not graded
Natural hazards in Modjeska · FEMA

Storms, floods and disasters in Modjeska

Modjeska isn’t graded for hazard risk: Modjeska has 714 residents; we grade towns of 1,000 or more.

Flood claims
0
paid since 1978 · $0
Disasters paid out here
1
of 27 declared for Orange County
By hazard

What Modjeska faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

Wildfire

53%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts

River and rain flooding

40%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area

Earthquakes

6%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 89% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Landslides top 0% Tornadoes Hail Strong wind Winter storms Heat waves Lightning Avalanches top 0%
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesIce stormsCold wavesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Modjeska flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Modjeska. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Modjeska isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Orange County.
Disasters

1 federal disaster brought FEMA money to Modjeska

Disasters that paid out in Modjeska itself (aid to households or repair grants to Modjeska), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2007Wildfires, Flooding, Mud Flows, and Debris Flows2 households applied for aid$2K aid approved
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in ModjeskaOrange County only

Orange County has had 27 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 11 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Orange County, 2002–2022.

Were you here?

Old photos of Modjeska after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Modjeska archive →
Next door

Modjeska and its neighbors

How expected damage per building compares across the town line. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Lake ForestDmore damage than 88%river and rain flooding7
Trabuco CanyonD−among the highest damagewildfire—

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Modjeska faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

Wildfire
  • Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
  • Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
  • Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
More from Ready.gov ↗
When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Modjeska

Is Modjeska in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Orange County, 19% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 1.0% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Modjeska?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Modjeska’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Modjeska?

By FEMA money that reached Modjeska, Wildfires, Flooding, Mud Flows, and Debris Flows (2007): 2 households applied for aid, $2K approved.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Modjeska.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Modjeska’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.