Photo: User:Serouj · Public domainOn FEMA’s figures, Millbrae faces more hazard damage per building than 95% of U.S. towns, mostly from earthquakes
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Millbrae gets a D for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 95% of U.S. towns, #553 of 847 in California. Most of that expected damage is earthquakes (67%), then river and rain flooding (30%). Flood insurance has paid 31 claims here since 1980.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What stands out about Millbrae’s natural hazards
From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.
What Millbrae faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
Earthquakes
River and rain flooding
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Millbrae’s grade
Earthquakes are 67% of the building damage FEMA expects in Millbrae, and Millbrae’s rate of earthquakes damage is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts. Coastal flooding adds 2%, at a rate in the top 3% of U.S. census tracts.
D #553 of 847 in California; higher expected damage per building than 95% of U.S. towns (21,298).
Millbrae’s residents live in 6 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.
The typical California town has higher expected damage than 92% of U.S. towns; within the state, Millbrae has more expected damage per building than 65% of California towns.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $21.7M a year in losses across Millbrae: $16.8M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Millbrae flood? Sometimes: 31 flood claims since 1980
Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Millbrae, from FEMA’s records: 3.6 per 1,000 homes, more than 52% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.
- The California Atmospheric River1 claim · $16K
- The Pineapple Express - Southern1 claim · $1K
Millbrae isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: San Mateo County.3 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Millbrae
Disasters that paid out in Millbrae itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Millbrae), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.
- 2023Severe Winter Storms, Straight-line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides$47K to the City of Millbrae for repairs
- 2022Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides24 households applied for aid$121K aid approved$259K to the City of Millbrae for repairs1 flood claim paid that year
- 2005Severe Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, and Landslides$11K to the City of Millbrae for repairs1 flood claim paid that year
San Mateo County has had 19 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Also 2 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in San Mateo County, 2010–2020.
Old photos of Millbrae after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.
Add to the Millbrae archive →Millbrae and its neighbors
Millbrae is 3rd of the 3 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.
| Town | Hazard risk | Mostly (buildings) | Flood claims |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Bruno | Dmore damage than 94% | earthquakes | 22 |
| Burlingame | Dmore damage than 94% | earthquakes | 65 |
| Millbrae | Dmore damage than 95% | earthquakes | 31 |
Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.
Get ready for what Millbrae faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- Drop, cover and hold on.
- Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
- Know how to shut off the gas.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Millbrae
Is Millbrae at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Millbrae has higher expected damage per building than 95% of U.S. towns: D for hazard risk, #553 of 847 in California. Most of the expected damage is earthquakes (67%) and river and rain flooding (30%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Does Millbrae flood?
Flood insurance has paid 31 claims in Millbrae since 1980, $392K in all, or 3.6 per 1,000 homes, more than 52% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 4 properties have flooded more than once. The most claims came from California Atmospheric River (1).
Is Millbrae in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In San Mateo County, 31% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 1.8% of all homes do.
How much is flood insurance in Millbrae?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Millbrae’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
What was the biggest storm in Millbrae?
By FEMA money that reached Millbrae, Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides (2022): 24 households applied for aid, $121K approved, and $259K to the City of Millbrae for repairs. By flood claims, California Atmospheric River: 1 paid, $16K.
Is Millbrae at risk from earthquakes?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (67%), and Millbrae’s rate for it is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Millbrae.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Millbrae’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.