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D−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Bear Valley Springs · FEMA

FEMA puts Bear Valley Springs’s expected hazard damage per building above that of 98% of U.S. towns, mostly from wildfire

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Bear Valley Springs gets a D− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 98% of U.S. towns, #733 of 847 in California. Most of that expected damage is wildfire (54%), then river and rain flooding (39%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 98%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#733 of 847 in California
By hazard

What Bear Valley Springs faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

Wildfire

54%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts

River and rain flooding

39%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 9% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Earthquakes

7%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 83% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Tornadoes Hail Strong wind Winter storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides Lightning Avalanches top 1%
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesIce stormsTsunamisVolcanic activity

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Bear Valley Springs’ grade

Wildfire is 54% of the building damage FEMA expects in Bear Valley Springs, and Bear Valley Springs’ rate of wildfire damage is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts. River and rain flooding adds 39%, at a rate in the top 9% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Bear Valley Springs sits
Bear Valley Springs
Least damageMiddleMost damage

D− #733 of 847 in California; higher expected damage per building than 98% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Bear Valley Springs’ residents live in 4 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
Wildfire54%River and rain flooding39%Earthquakes7%

The typical California town has higher expected damage than 92% of U.S. towns; within the state, Bear Valley Springs has more expected damage per building than 87% of California towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $6.4M a year in losses across Bear Valley Springs: $6.0M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. Bear Valley Springs covers 4 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Bear Valley Springs flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Bear Valley Springs. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Bear Valley Springs isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Kern County.
Disasters

The storms Bear Valley Springs remembers

None of the 22 disasters declared for Kern County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Bear Valley Springs itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Bear Valley SpringsKern County only

Kern County has had 22 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 15 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Kern County, 2002–2024.

Next door

Bear Valley Springs and its neighbors

Bear Valley Springs is 2nd of the 2 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Keene: not gradedTehachapi: hazard risk DKeeneTehachapiBear Valley Springs
Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
TehachapiDmore damage than 94%wildfire1
Bear Valley SpringsD−more damage than 98%wildfire0
Keene—469 residents; we grade 1,000+

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Bear Valley Springs faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

Wildfire
  • Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
  • Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
  • Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
More from Ready.gov ↗
When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Bear Valley Springs

Is Bear Valley Springs at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Bear Valley Springs has higher expected damage per building than 98% of U.S. towns: D− for hazard risk, #733 of 847 in California. Most of the expected damage is wildfire (54%) and river and rain flooding (39%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Bear Valley Springs in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Kern County, 20% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 1.1% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Bear Valley Springs?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Bear Valley Springs’ flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Bear Valley Springs at risk from wildfire?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (54%), and Bear Valley Springs’ rate for it is in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Bear Valley Springs.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Bear Valley Springs’ residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.