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WilliamsDepot WilliamsAZPhoto: Public domain · Public domain
DHazard risk
Natural hazards in Williams · FEMA

On FEMA’s figures, Williams faces more hazard damage per building than 91% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Williams gets a D for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 91% of U.S. towns, #113 of 140 in Arizona. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (57%), then wildfire (38%). Flood insurance has paid 3 claims here since 2004.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 91%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#113 of 140 in Arizona

What stands out about Williams’ natural hazards

From FEMA’s model and FEMA’s records, below.

By hazard

What Williams faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

57%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 87% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 8 times a year in the area

Wildfire

38%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts
Smaller shares here
 Earthquakes Hail Tornadoes Strong wind Winter storms Ice storms Cold waves Heat waves Landslides Lightning Volcanic activity
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamis
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts avalanches at 10% of Williams’ expected losses. Avalanches do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Williams’ grade

River and rain flooding is 57% of the building damage FEMA expects in Williams, and Williams’ rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 87% of U.S. census tracts. Wildfire adds 38%, at a rate in the top 1% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Williams sits
Williams
Least damageMiddleMost damage

D #113 of 140 in Arizona; higher expected damage per building than 91% of U.S. towns (21,298).

All of Williams’ residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding57%Wildfire38%Earthquakes5%Everything else1%

The typical Arizona town has higher expected damage than 78% of U.S. towns; within the state, Williams has more expected damage per building than 81% of Arizona towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $4.2M a year in losses across Williams: $2.5M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

Shared tract.All of Williams’ 3,202 residents (2020 census) live in one census tract. FEMA publishes its model by tract, so the rate and the hazard mix are the tract’s. The flood claims below are the town’s own.
A shared figure. The grade describes the whole tract, not each street in it, and FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Williams flood? Rarely: 3 flood claims since 2004

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Williams, from FEMA’s records: 1.7 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 65% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
2004: 1 claim2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 1 claim2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 0 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 1 claim2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims200420072022
20042026
3
paid claims since 2004
$41K
paid to owners
0
homes flooded more than once
$14K
average claim
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Williams isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Coconino County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
1building floodproofed
Disasters

2 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Williams

Disasters that paid out in Williams itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Williams), newest first, with that year’s flood claims.

  1. 2010Severe Winter Storms and Flooding$4K to the City of Williams for repairs
  2. 2004Severe Storms and Flooding$107K to the City of Williams for repairs1 flood claim paid that year
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in WilliamsCoconino County only

Coconino County has had 10 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 10 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Coconino County, 2006–2022.

Were you here?

Old photos of Williams after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Williams archive →
Next door

Williams and its neighbors

Williams has the lowest expected damage per building of the 2 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
WilliamsDmore damage than 91%river and rain flooding3
Red LakeD−among the highest damagewildfire—

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Williams faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Wildfire
  • Clear dead leaves and brush within 5 feet of the house.
  • Sign up for local alerts and know two ways out.
  • Keep N95 masks for smoky days.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Williams

Is Williams at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Williams has higher expected damage per building than 91% of U.S. towns: D for hazard risk, #113 of 140 in Arizona. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (57%) and wildfire (38%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Williams flood?

Flood insurance has paid 3 claims in Williams since 2004, $41K in all, or 1.7 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 65% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Is Williams in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Coconino County, 30% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 1.4% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Williams?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Williams’ flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

What was the biggest storm in Williams?

By FEMA money that reached Williams, Severe Storms and Flooding (2004): $107K to the City of Williams for repairs.

Is Williams at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (57%), and Williams’ rate for it is higher than 87% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Williams.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Williams’ residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.