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C−Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Avondale · FEMA

FEMA puts Avondale’s expected hazard damage per building above that of 85% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Avondale gets a C− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 85% of U.S. towns, #91 of 140 in Arizona. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (96%). Flood insurance has paid 4 claims here since 1978.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 85%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#91 of 140 in Arizona
By hazard

What Avondale faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

96%of expected building damage
Well above average · in the top 7% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 8 times a year in the area
Smaller shares here
 Hail Earthquakes Wildfire Strong wind Tornadoes Hurricanes Winter storms Heat waves Landslides Lightning
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingIce stormsCold wavesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts heat waves at 45% of Avondale’s expected losses. Heat waves do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Avondale’s grade

River and rain flooding is 96% of the building damage FEMA expects in Avondale, and Avondale’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is in the top 7% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Avondale sits
Avondale
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C− #91 of 140 in Arizona; higher expected damage per building than 85% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Avondale’s residents live in 22 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding96%Everything else4%

The typical Arizona town has higher expected damage than 78% of U.S. towns; within the state, Avondale has more expected damage per building than 65% of Arizona towns.

Among the 400 U.S. cities of 100,000 or more, Avondale has higher expected damage per building than 79% (#315 of 400). Because it is so big, its total expected yearly loss, $43.6M, is the 274th largest of those 400.

A firm figure. It combines 22 census tracts by where Avondale’s residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Avondale flood? Rarely: 4 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Avondale, from FEMA’s records: 0.1 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 99% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 1 claim1979: 0 claims1980: 3 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 0 claims1983: 0 claims1984: 0 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 0 claims1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 0 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 0 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 0 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims19781980
19782026
4
paid claims since 1978
$77K
paid to owners
1
homes flooded more than once
$19K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Avondale isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Maricopa County.
Disasters

The storms Avondale remembers

None of the 12 disasters declared for its 2 counties shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Avondale itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

  1. 19803 flood claims paidThe year of Severe Storms and Flooding, declared for its 2 counties
  2. 19781 flood claims paidThe year of Severe Storms and Flooding, declared for its 2 counties
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Avondaleits 2 counties only

Its 2 counties have had 12 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often floods, then severe storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 11 FEMA wildfire suppression grants (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in its 2 counties, 2005–2024.

Were you here?

Old photos of Avondale after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Avondale archive →
Next door

Avondale and its neighbors

Avondale is 5th of the 5 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
TollesonA−less damage than 80%river and rain flooding62
GoodyearB−less damage than 50%river and rain flooding6
PhoenixC+more damage than 61%river and rain flooding863
Litchfield ParkCmore damage than 69%river and rain flooding1
AvondaleC−more damage than 85%river and rain flooding4

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Avondale faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Avondale

Is Avondale at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Avondale has higher expected damage per building than 85% of U.S. towns: C− for hazard risk, #91 of 140 in Arizona. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (96%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Avondale flood?

Flood insurance has paid 4 claims in Avondale since 1978, $77K in all, or 0.1 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 99% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. 1 properties have flooded more than once.

Is Avondale in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Maricopa County, 29% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.6% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Avondale?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Avondale’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Avondale at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (96%), and Avondale’s rate for it is in the top 7% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Avondale.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Avondale’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.