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C+Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Lake Goodwin · FEMA

FEMA expects about as much hazard damage per building in Lake Goodwin as in the typical U.S. town, mostly from earthquakes

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lake Goodwin gets a C+ for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 56% of U.S. towns, #57 of 285 in Washington. Most of that expected damage is earthquakes (60%), then river and rain flooding (38%). FEMA’s files show no paid flood insurance claims here.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

more than 56%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#57 of 285 in Washington
By hazard

What Lake Goodwin faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

Earthquakes

60%of expected building damage
Well above average · higher than 88% of U.S. census tracts

River and rain flooding

38%of expected building damage
Below average · lower than 78% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 3 years in the area
Smaller shares here
 Coastal flooding Landslides top 4% Tornadoes Wildfire Ice storms Hail Strong wind Winter storms Heat waves Lightning Avalanches top 1% Tsunamis top 1% Volcanic activity top 3%
FEMA models no building damage here
HurricanesCold waves
People, not buildings.Counting harm to people as well as buildings, FEMA’s model puts avalanches at 13% of Lake Goodwin’s expected losses. Avalanches do little damage to buildings (0.0%), so they aren’t part of the grade.

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Lake Goodwin’s grade

Earthquakes are 60% of the building damage FEMA expects in Lake Goodwin, and Lake Goodwin’s rate of earthquakes damage is higher than 88% of U.S. census tracts. Coastal flooding adds 1%, at a rate in the top 5% of U.S. census tracts.

Where Lake Goodwin sits
Lake Goodwin
Least damageMiddleMost damage

C+ #57 of 285 in Washington; higher expected damage per building than 56% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Lake Goodwin’s residents live in 3 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
Earthquakes60%River and rain flooding38%Everything else2%

The typical Washington town has higher expected damage than 76% of U.S. towns; within the state, Lake Goodwin has less expected damage per building than 80% of Washington towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $1.8M a year in losses across Lake Goodwin: $1.2M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. Lake Goodwin covers 3 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Lake Goodwin flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Lake Goodwin. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Lake Goodwin isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Snohomish County.
Disasters

The storms Lake Goodwin remembers

None of the 31 disasters declared for Snohomish County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Lake Goodwin itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Lake GoodwinSnohomish County only

Snohomish County has had 31 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Also 1 FEMA wildfire suppression grant (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Snohomish County, 2022–2022.

Next door

Lake Goodwin and its neighbors

Lake Goodwin has the lowest expected damage per building of the 3 graded towns here. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
Lake GoodwinC+more damage than 56%earthquakes0
Kayak PointC+more damage than 58%river and rain flooding13
MarysvilleC−more damage than 76%earthquakes8

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Lake Goodwin faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Lake Goodwin

Is Lake Goodwin at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Lake Goodwin has higher expected damage per building than 56% of U.S. towns: C+ for hazard risk, #57 of 285 in Washington. Most of the expected damage is earthquakes (60%) and river and rain flooding (38%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Is Lake Goodwin in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Snohomish County, 27% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.7% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Lake Goodwin?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Lake Goodwin’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Lake Goodwin at risk from earthquakes?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (60%), and Lake Goodwin’s rate for it is higher than 88% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Lake Goodwin.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Lake Goodwin’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.