On FEMA’s figures, Esperance faces more hazard damage per building than 78% of U.S. towns, mostly from earthquakes
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Esperance gets a C− for hazard risk: higher expected damage per building than 78% of U.S. towns, #152 of 285 in Washington. Most of that expected damage is earthquakes (72%), then river and rain flooding (28%). Flood insurance has paid 2 claims here since 1980.
Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded
What Esperance faces
Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.
Earthquakes
River and rain flooding
Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.
What’s behind Esperance’s grade
Earthquakes are 72% of the building damage FEMA expects in Esperance, and Esperance’s rate of earthquakes damage is in the top 7% of U.S. census tracts. Next is river and rain flooding at 28% (lower than 80% of U.S. census tracts).
C− #152 of 285 in Washington; higher expected damage per building than 78% of U.S. towns (21,298).
All of Esperance’s residents live in one census tract; the figures are that tract’s.
The typical Washington town has higher expected damage than 76% of U.S. towns; within the state, Esperance has more expected damage per building than 53% of Washington towns.
In dollars, FEMA expects about $2.1M a year in losses across Esperance: $1.3M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.
Does Esperance flood? Rarely: 2 flood claims since 1980
Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Esperance, from FEMA’s records: 1.3 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 73% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.
- The Mt. St. Helens Eruption1 claim · $4K
Esperance isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Snohomish County.The storms Esperance remembers
None of the 31 disasters declared for Snohomish County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Esperance itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.
- 19801 flood claims paidThe year of Volcanic Eruption, Mt. St. Helens, declared for Snohomish County
- 20221 flood claims paidThe year of Severe Winter Storm, Straight-line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides, declared for Snohomish County
Snohomish County has had 31 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often severe storms, then floods. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.
Also 1 FEMA wildfire suppression grant (Fire Management Assistance, not a disaster declaration) for fires in Snohomish County, 2022–2022.
Old photos of Esperance after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.
Add to the Esperance archive →Get ready for what Esperance faces
A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.
- Drop, cover and hold on.
- Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
- Know how to shut off the gas.
- Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
- Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
- Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
- Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
- Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
- Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.
Questions about natural hazards in Esperance
Is Esperance at risk for natural disasters?
On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Esperance has higher expected damage per building than 78% of U.S. towns: C− for hazard risk, #152 of 285 in Washington. Most of the expected damage is earthquakes (72%) and river and rain flooding (28%). The figures are for the one census tract the town shares with its neighbors. This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.
Does Esperance flood?
Flood insurance has paid 2 claims in Esperance since 1980, $23K in all, or 1.3 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 73% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record. The most claims came from Mt. St. Helens Eruption (1).
Is Esperance in a flood zone?
Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Snohomish County, 27% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 0.7% of all homes do.
How much is flood insurance in Esperance?
FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Esperance’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.
What was the biggest storm in Esperance?
By flood claims, Mt. St. Helens Eruption: 1 paid, $4K.
Is Esperance at risk from earthquakes?
It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (72%), and Esperance’s rate for it is in the top 7% of U.S. census tracts.
Storm stories
Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Esperance.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Esperance’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.