Photo: La Citta Vita · CC BY-SA 2.0Weather without surprises: Middleburg keeps close to the norm for U.S. towns
Midwinter brings lows of about 24°. By July afternoons alone, it runs hotter than 62% of U.S. towns. Since 1901–2000, the year has warmed by 1.6°, most of all in December. Picnics, hikes and garden evenings come into their own from April to June and September to October, with highs of 66–83°.
A year in Middleburg at a glance
Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.
What stands out about Middleburg’s climate
Compared with towns across the U.S., with Middleburg’s place in Virginia beside it.
What a year in Middleburg feels like
Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.
About 189 frost-free days a year
In half of years the last 32° night comes by April 16 and the first by October 25. Frost and day counts come from NOAA’s station at Purcellville, VA, 12 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height.
The 2023 USDA map puts Middleburg’s center in zone 7a: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about 5°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.
Freezing nights by month
Average nights at or below 32°
90° days by month
Average days at 90° or more
About 20 inches of snow a winter
Snow, measured at The Plains 2 Nne, VA, falls mostly in January. Precipitation (rain plus melted snow) adds up to 43 inches a year; June is the wettest month and February the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 108 days a year.
Rain + melted snow by month
Inches of water
Snowfall by month
Inches of snow
Heating and cooling a home in Middleburg
82% of the work is heating. Months averaging under 55° run from November through April.
Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Purcellville, VA.
Living with Middleburg’s climate
What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.
189 frost-free days in zone 7a. The last frost comes by Apr 16 in half of years, so many gardeners wait a week or two past that to set out tomatoes. The first fall frost comes by Oct 25.
Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: April, May, June, September and October. 2.3 miles of trails are waiting.
Parks & trails →Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Middleburg from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (60%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 5%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.
Natural hazards →Middleburg and similar climates
TownRatings has no climate map of the towns around Middleburg yet.
Climates most like Middleburg’s, farther away
TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.
| Town | Jan. low | July high | Precip. | Snow |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middleburg, VA | 24° | 87° | 43" | 20" |
| Fort Thomas, KY | 24° | 87° | 45" | 23" |
| Reading, OH | 23° | 87° | 44" | 16" |
| Overland, MO | 23° | 88° | 42" | 17" |
| Vineland, NJ | 25° | 87° | 47" | 22" |
Temperatures and precipitation come from NOAA’s 5 km grid; snow and day counts from the stations named on this page.
Warmer than it used to be
The last 30 years in Middleburg averaged 1.6° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+3.0°).
A bigger shift than in 65% of U.S. towns.
Change by month
The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.
How Middleburg compares
Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Middleburg’s place among Virginia’s.
Middleburg weather by month
Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Middleburg’s center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from The Plains 2 Nne, VA. 1991–2020 normals.
| Month | High | Low | Rain + melt | Snow | Wet days | Snow on ground | 30-yr range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 42° | 24° | 3.0" | 8.4" | 9 | 7 | 25° – 41° |
| February | 46° | 26° | 2.4" | 4.4" | 7 | 6 | 25° – 44° |
| March | 54° | 33° | 3.5" | 3.3" | 10 | 2 | 37° – 53° |
| April | 66° | 42° | 3.3" | 0.0" | 11 | 0 | 50° – 59° |
| May | 74° | 51° | 4.3" | 0.0" | 10 | 0 | 58° – 69° |
| June | 83° | 61° | 4.4" | 0.0" | 11 | 0 | 67° – 75° |
| July | 87° | 65° | 4.2" | 0.0" | 11 | 0 | 72° – 80° |
| August | 85° | 63° | 3.5" | 0.0" | 8 | 0 | 70° – 78° |
| September | 78° | 56° | 4.3" | 0.0" | 9 | 0 | 64° – 72° |
| October | 67° | 44° | 3.6" | 0.0" | 7 | 0 | 52° – 62° |
| November | 56° | 35° | 3.1" | 0.6" | 8 | 0 | 39° – 51° |
| December | 46° | 28° | 3.3" | 3.1" | 9 | 3 | 28° – 47° |
| Year | 65° | 44° | 42.7" | 19.8" | 108 | 19 |
How much a month can swing
A normal is an average. December swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 28° to 47°. September is the most reliable, staying within 8°.
Where Middleburg’s numbers come from
Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →
- Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Middleburg’s center.
- Snow: The Plains 2 Nne, VA.
- Frost, freezing nights, 90° and 100° days, heating and cooling: Purcellville, VA, 12 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
- Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
- Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
- Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).
Common questions about Middleburg’s climate
What is the weather like in Middleburg?
A typical July afternoon reaches 87°, a January night drops to 24°, and about 20 inches of snow falls in a normal winter. Milder January nights than 61% of U.S. towns; hotter July afternoons than 62% of U.S. towns.
How cold does it get in Middleburg in winter?
January nights average 24°. About 115 nights a year reach 32° or below. In the coldest January of the last 30 years the month averaged 25°.
How much snow does Middleburg get?
About 20 inches in a normal winter at The Plains 2 Nne, VA, most of it in January, with snow on the ground about 19 days a year.
How hot does it get in Middleburg?
July, with a typical high of 87° and a low of 65°. About 30 days a year reach 90° (Purcellville, VA).
When is the first and last frost in Middleburg?
In half of years the last spring frost (32°) comes by April 16 and the first fall frost by October 25, about 189 frost-free days, at Purcellville, VA.
What growing zone is Middleburg in?
Zone 7a on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about 5°.
What is the best time of year to visit Middleburg?
By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), April, May, June, September and October. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.
Is Middleburg getting warmer?
Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 1.6° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 65% of U.S. towns.
Neighbors talk weather
Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Middleburg.
Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.