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2016-11-29 13 12 47 Entrance to the Fair Oaks Mall in Fair Oaks, Fairfax County, VirginiaPhoto: Famartin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Climate in Fair Oaks · NOAA 1991–2020 normals

In Fair Oaks, July heat, January chill and rainfall all sit near the middle of U.S. towns

In January the night’s low is typically 26°. Winters are mild: January nights here are milder than in 65% of U.S. towns. Warming shows here too: 1.7° more than in 1901–2000, led by December. Radiators earn their keep from November to March, the months that average under 50°.

Milder January nights than 65% of U.S. towns#134Mildest winters  of 225 in VA
Less snow than 51% of U.S. towns#166Least snow  of 225 in VA
All VA rankings →

A year in Fair Oaks at a glance

Each month’s typical high and low, and what it brings.

Jan43°26° 7" snow
Feb46°28° 7" snow
Mar55°34° 4" snow
Apr66°44° Last frost ~Apr 15
May74°53° 1 day 90°+
Jun83°62° 6 days 90°+
Jul87°67° 13 days 90°+Wettest
Aug85°65° 9 days 90°+
Sep78°59° 3 days 90°+
Oct67°47° First frost ~Oct 24
Nov now56°37°
Dec47°30°

What stands out about Fair Oaks’ climate

Compared with towns across the U.S., with Fair Oaks’ place in Virginia beside it.

A normal year

What a year in Fair Oaks feels like

Typical highs and lows by season and by month, from NOAA’s 30-year normals.

Winter
45° / 28°
5 days with 1"+ of snow
Spring
65° / 44°
Last frost around Apr 15
Summer
85° / 65°
13 days reach 90°
Fall
67° / 47°
First frost around Oct 24
Best months to be outsideAprMayJunSepOctHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Frost, heat & the growing season

About 194 frost-free days a year

In half of years the last 32° night comes by April 15 and the first by October 24. Day counts come from NOAA’s station at Vienna, VA, 4 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height; frost dates and degree days from Washington Dc Dulles Airport, 8 miles away.

99
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
127th fewest of 225 in Virginia
Fewer freezing nights than 61% of U.S. towns
<1
nights at or below 0°
43rd fewest of 225 in Virginia
Fewer nights at or below 0° than 69% of U.S. towns
13
days that reach 90°
21st fewest of 225 in Virginia
Fewer 90° days than 65% of U.S. towns
0
days that reach 100°
None in a normal year
7aUSDA zone
Plant hardiness zone 7a

The 2023 USDA map puts Fair Oaks’ center in zone 7a: the coldest night of a typical winter, averaged over 1991–2020, reaches about 5°. Plant labels use the zone; frost dates tell you when to plant.

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

24
JFMAMJJASOND

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more

13
JFMAMJJASOND
Rain & snow

About 21 inches of snow a winter

Snow, measured at Washington Dc Dulles Airport, is heaviest from January through February, about 7 inches a month. Precipitation (rain plus melted snow) adds up to 43 inches a year; July is the wettest month and February the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 121 days a year.

43"
Rain + melted snow a year
138th wettest of 225 in Virginia
Wetter than 53% of U.S. towns
21"
Snow in a normal winter
166th least snowy of 225 in Virginia
Less snow than 51% of U.S. towns
14 days
With 1"+ of snow on the ground
123rd fewest of 205 in Virginia
Fewer days with snow on the ground than 58% of U.S. towns

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water

4.3"
JFMAMJJASOND

Snowfall by month

Inches of snow

7"
JFMAMJJASOND
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Fair Oaks

79% of the work is heating. Months averaging under 55° run from November through March.

4,604 heating degree daysLess heating than 64% of U.S. towns
1,233 cooling degree daysMore cooling than 65% of U.S. towns

Degree days add up how far each day’s average falls below (heating) or rises above (cooling) 65° over a year. NOAA normals at Washington Dc Dulles Airport.

Living here

Living with Fair Oaks’ climate

What the numbers mean for a garden, a free afternoon and a bad-weather day.

The garden window

194 frost-free days in zone 7a. The last frost comes by Apr 15 in half of years, so many gardeners wait a week or two past that to set out tomatoes. The first fall frost comes by Oct 24.

Get outside

Months with highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more: April, May, June, September and October. 3.1 miles of trails are waiting.

Parks & trails →
Storms and extremes

Of the yearly building losses FEMA expects in Fair Oaks from natural hazards, river flooding is the largest share (65%); heat waves, cold waves, winter storms and ice storms together are 12%. Normals are averages; the hazards page covers the extremes.

Natural hazards →
Next door

Fair Oaks and its neighbors

Every town next door is within a degree of Fair Oaks in January and July, closer than the 5 km grid can tell apart. Tap a town to see its climate.

Vienna: January low 26°, July high 87°Wolf Trap: January low 26°, July high 87°Merrifield: January low 26°, July high 87°Reston: January low 26°, July high 87°Franklin Farm: January low 26°, July high 87°Greenbriar: January low 26°, July high 87°Centreville: January low 26°, July high 88°Union Mill: January low 26°, July high 87°Mantua: January low 26°, July high 87°Long Branch: January low 26°, July high 87°Chantilly: January low 26°, July high 87°Braddock: January low 26°, July high 87°Kings Park West: January low 26°, July high 87°Oakton: January low 26°, July high 87°Difficult Run: January low 26°, July high 87°Fair Lakes: January low 26°, July high 87°Fairfax: January low 26°, July high 87°Navy: January low 26°, July high 87°George Mason: January low 26°, July high 87°Fair Oaks: January low 26°, July high 87°Fair OaksOaktonDifficult RunFair LakesFairfaxNavyGeorge Mason
ColderMilder26° to 26°
Navy25.6° about the same
Difficult Run25.7° about the same
Fair Oaks25.8°
Fair Lakes25.8° about the same
Oakton25.9° about the same
Fairfax25.9° about the same
George Mason26.1° about the same

Climates most like Fair Oaks’, farther away

TownRatings’ own comparison of NOAA 1991–2020 normals, not a NOAA product: places of 5,000+ at least 150 miles away, one per state, closest on January low, July high, precipitation and snow.

TownJan. lowJuly highPrecip.Snow
Fair Oaks, VA26°87°43"21"
Fort Thomas, KY24°87°45"23"
Forestville, OH23°86°45"23"
Fort Dix, NJ24°87°47"24"
Croydon, PA25°87°47"20"

Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value. Snow and frost-free days come from the nearest weather station, so neighbors often share them.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

The last 30 years in Fair Oaks averaged 1.7° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+2.9°).

+1.7°1991–2020 vs. 1901–2000

A bigger shift than in 75% of U.S. towns.

Winter+2.3°now 36°, was 34°
Spring+1.5°now 54°, was 53°
Summer+1.8°now 75°, was 73°
Fall+1.4°now 57°, was 56°

Change by month

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

The two periods overlap (1991–2000 is in both), which makes the gap a little smaller than it would be between separate periods.

Compared with other towns

How Fair Oaks compares

Against 12,954 U.S. towns of 2,500 or more (one per 5 km climate cell), with Fair Oaks’ place among Virginia’s.

Summer heat87° July high
Hotter July afternoons than 61% of U.S. towns163rd hottest of 225 in Virginia
Winter cold26° January low
Milder January nights than 65% of U.S. towns134th mildest of 225 in Virginia
Precipitation43" a year
Wetter than 53% of U.S. towns138th wettest of 225 in Virginia
Snow21" a winter
Less snow than 51% of U.S. towns166th least snowy of 225 in Virginia
Hot days13 days at 90°+
Fewer 90° days than 65% of U.S. towns21st fewest of 225 in Virginia
Freezing nights99 a year
Fewer freezing nights than 61% of U.S. towns127th fewest of 225 in Virginia
Growing season194 frost-free days
A longer frost-free season than 62% of U.S. towns151st longest of 225 in Virginia
Month by month

Fair Oaks weather by month

Highs, lows and precipitation from NOAA’s grid at Fair Oaks’ center; snow, wet days and snow on the ground from Washington Dc Dulles Airport. 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet daysSnow on ground30-yr range
January43°26°3.0"6.9"10426° – 41°
February46°28°2.6"7.0"9526° – 44°
March55°34°3.6"3.9"11238° – 54°
April66°44°3.4"0.1"11051° – 60°
May74°53°4.2"0.0"13059° – 70°
June83°62°4.2"0.0"11068° – 77°
July87°67°4.3"0.0"11072° – 80°
August85°65°3.6"0.0"9070° – 79°
September78°59°4.2"0.0"9065° – 73°
October67°47°3.7"0.0"8053° – 63°
November56°37°3.1"0.3"9040° – 52°
December47°30°3.5"2.8"10229° – 49°
Year66°46°43.3"21.0"12114
Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average. December swings the most: from 1991 to 2020 its average ranged from 29° to 49°. September is the most reliable, staying within 7°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Sources

Where Fair Oaks’ numbers come from

Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. How TownRatings reads climate data →

  • Temperatures and precipitation: NOAA’s gridded 1991–2020 normals for the 5 km cell at Fair Oaks’ center.
  • Snow: Washington Dc Dulles Airport.
  • Frost dates, heating and cooling: Washington Dc Dulles Airport, 8 miles away.
  • Freezing nights, 90° and 100° days: Vienna, VA, 4 miles from the town’s center, at about the same height; the nearest station that passes our checks for distance, height and agreement with the grid.
  • Growing zone: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map, 2023. USDA Agricultural Research Service and PRISM Group, Oregon State University, prism.oregonstate.edu/phzm, accessed 8 Oct 2026.
  • Then and now: NOAA’s gridded normals for 1901–2000 at the same cell.
  • Storms and extremes: FEMA National Risk Index (expected annual losses to buildings).

Common questions about Fair Oaks’ climate

What is the weather like in Fair Oaks?

A typical July afternoon reaches 87°, a January night drops to 26°, and about 21 inches of snow falls in a normal winter. Milder January nights than 65% of U.S. towns; hotter July afternoons than 61% of U.S. towns.

How cold does it get in Fair Oaks in winter?

January nights average 26°. About 99 nights a year reach 32° or below. In the coldest January of the last 30 years the month averaged 26°.

How much snow does Fair Oaks get?

About 21 inches in a normal winter at Washington Dc Dulles Airport, heaviest from January through February, about 7 inches a month, with snow on the ground about 14 days a year.

How hot does it get in Fair Oaks?

July, with a typical high of 87° and a low of 67°. About 13 days a year reach 90° (Washington Dc Dulles Airport).

When is the first and last frost in Fair Oaks?

In half of years the last spring frost (32°) comes by April 15 and the first fall frost by October 24, about 194 frost-free days, at Washington Dc Dulles Airport.

What growing zone is Fair Oaks in?

Zone 7a on the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map: the coldest night of a typical winter reaches about 5°.

What is the best time of year to visit Fair Oaks?

By one simple rule (highs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more), April, May, June, September and October. The rule is ours, not NOAA’s; the month table has the numbers to judge by.

Is Fair Oaks getting warmer?

Yes: 1991–2020 averaged 1.7° warmer than 1901–2000 on NOAA’s grid. A bigger shift than 75% of U.S. towns.

Neighbors talk weather

Gardens, snow, and the best days of the year in Fair Oaks.

Town Square →
Ask your neighbors

Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000; USDA/PRISM 2023 hardiness zones; FEMA National Risk Index. Today’s forecast: National Weather Service.