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Dranesville Auto ServicePhoto: Ser Amantio di Nicolao · CC BY-SA 3.0
B+Hazard risk
Natural hazards in Dranesville · FEMA

Less hazard damage per building is expected in Dranesville than in 73% of U.S. towns, mostly from river and rain flooding

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Dranesville gets a B+ for hazard risk: lower expected damage per building than 73% of U.S. towns, #164 of 253 in Virginia. Most of that expected damage is river and rain flooding (86%). Flood insurance has paid 2 claims here since 2011.

Graded on FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value (NRI v1.20, December 2025), weighted by where residents live; flood claims are shown, not graded. How hazard risk is graded

less than 73%of U.S. townsLess damageMoreExpected yearly damage per dollar of building, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade#164 of 253 in Virginia
By hazard

What Dranesville faces

Each hazard’s share of the building damage FEMA expects here, and how its rate compares with the rest of the country.

River and rain flooding

86%of expected building damage
About average · higher than 52% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

8%of expected building damage
Above average · higher than 74% of U.S. census tracts
Recorded about once every 10 years in the area
Smaller shares here
 Hail Earthquakes Strong wind Tornadoes Ice storms Winter storms Cold waves Lightning Wildfire Heat waves Landslides
FEMA models no building damage here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Shares are of FEMA’s expected building damage, the measure the grade uses; ranks compare each hazard’s building-damage rate with all 85,154 U.S. census tracts. In FEMA’s terms, river and rain flooding is FEMA’s “Inland Flooding” (rivers and streams overflowing their banks, or rain overwhelming drainage). FEMA defines coastal flooding as high or rising tides and storm surge, so surge damage is counted there. Drought isn’t listed: FEMA counts its losses in crops only.

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Hazard risk grade

What’s behind Dranesville’s grade

River and rain flooding is 86% of the building damage FEMA expects in Dranesville, and Dranesville’s rate of river and rain flooding damage is higher than 52% of U.S. census tracts. Next is hurricanes at 8% (higher than 74% of U.S. census tracts).

Where Dranesville sits
Dranesville
Least damageMiddleMost damage

B+ #164 of 253 in Virginia; lower expected damage per building than 73% of U.S. towns (21,298).

Dranesville’s residents live in 5 census tracts; FEMA’s figures are combined by where they live.

What drives the damage to buildings
River and rain flooding86%Hurricanes8%Everything else5%

The typical Virginia town has lower expected damage than 81% of U.S. towns; within the state, Dranesville has more expected damage per building than 65% of Virginia towns.

In dollars, FEMA expects about $2.9M a year in losses across Dranesville: $2.6M to buildings, the rest to people and crops.

A small-area figure. Dranesville covers 5 census tracts, combined by where residents live. FEMA’s model is an average year for today’s buildings, not a record: the claims and disasters below are the record.

How TownRatings grades hazard risk →

Flood insurance claims

Does Dranesville flood? Rarely: 2 flood claims since 2011

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Dranesville, from FEMA’s records: 0.5 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 89% of the 13,809 U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Paid flood claims, by year
2011: 2 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims2011
20112026
2
paid claims since 2011
$6K
paid to owners
0
homes flooded more than once
$3K
average claim
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Dranesville isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Fairfax County.
Disasters

The storms Dranesville remembers

None of the 16 disasters declared for Fairfax County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Dranesville itself in FEMA’s records, so these are its biggest flood-claim years.

  1. 20112 flood claims paidThe year of The Remnants of Tropical Storm Lee, declared for Fairfax County
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in DranesvilleFairfax County only

Fairfax County has had 16 natural disasters declared by the President since 1953, most often winter storms, then hurricanes and tropical storms. Not counted: the 2005 Hurricane Katrina evacuee emergency, which covered counties that took in evacuees.

Were you here?

Old photos of Dranesville after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Dranesville archive →
Next door

Dranesville and its neighbors

Dranesville is 4th of the 4 graded towns here, from least expected damage per building to most. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Lowest fifthSecondMiddleFourthHighest fifth
TownHazard riskMostly (buildings)Flood claims
HerndonA+less damage than 95%river and rain flooding8
RestonAless damage than 93%river and rain flooding14
Great FallsA−less damage than 82%river and rain flooding15
DranesvilleB+less damage than 73%river and rain flooding2

Hazard risk = FEMA’s expected yearly building damage per dollar of building value, vs. the 21,298 U.S. towns we grade; the map is shaded by fifths of the same scale. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Be ready

Get ready for what Dranesville faces

A short kit for the hazards that drive the building damage here, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hurricane season
  • The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
  • Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
  • Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Questions about natural hazards in Dranesville

Is Dranesville at risk for natural disasters?

On FEMA’s National Risk Index, Dranesville has lower expected damage per building than 73% of U.S. towns: B+ for hazard risk, #164 of 253 in Virginia. Most of the expected damage is river and rain flooding (86%) and hurricanes (8%). This is FEMA’s model of an average year for today’s buildings, not a forecast.

Does Dranesville flood?

Flood insurance has paid 2 claims in Dranesville since 2011, $6K in all, or 0.5 per 1,000 homes, fewer than 89% of U.S. towns with a flood insurance record.

Is Dranesville in a flood zone?

Flood zones are drawn street by street, so the answer depends on the address: look it up on FEMA’s flood map. In Fairfax County, 22% of homes in mapped flood zones carry federal flood insurance, and 1.1% of all homes do.

How much is flood insurance in Dranesville?

FEMA’s Community Rating System list shows no discount for Dranesville’s flood program. Premiums depend on the building; policies usually start 30 days after you buy, so get a quote early.

Is Dranesville at risk from river and rain flooding?

It is the largest share of the building damage FEMA expects here (86%), and Dranesville’s rate for it is higher than 52% of U.S. census tracts.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Dranesville.

Town Square →
Start the conversation

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 (December 2025), census-tract table, combined by where Dranesville’s residents lived in the 2020 census; OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Homes: Census ACS 2020–24. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. FEMA’s model is an average of expected damage, not a forecast. How hazard risk is graded.