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C−Hazard risk Grade
Flood & hazards in Ash and Ash Vale · Environment Agency

Heavy rain is Ash and Ash Vale’s main flood risk: 5.6% of homes, against 2.1% from rivers or the sea

On the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences, “high or medium” means at least a 1 in 100 chance of flooding from rivers or the sea in any year. Ash and Ash Vale grades C− for hazard risk: #44 of 65 in Surrey.

In brief

What stands out about Ash and Ash Vale’s hazards

From the Environment Agency’s maps and records and the BGS radon atlas, below.

By hazard

What Ash and Ash Vale faces

Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.

Not on this page: coastal erosion, subsidence and shrink-swell ground (the British Geological Survey licenses it), groundwater flooding and reservoir failure.
Hazard risk Grade

Ash and Ash Vale grades C− for hazard risk

Flood risk from rivers and the sea, against all UK towns.

Homes at high or medium flood risk (2.1%)Fewer than 21% of UK towns

The share of homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea, ranked against every UK town of 1,000 or more: fewer homes at risk is better. Towns with none at high or medium risk are ordered by their share at low risk, so they don’t all share one score. Surface water and radon aren’t graded: they are described below.

Flood map

Where the water goes in Ash and Ash Vale

Turn layers on and off. Blue is the risk from rivers and the sea; pink is where heavy rain collects. Both allow for flood defences.

Recorded flood: 1968© OpenStreetMap contributors · EA NaFRA2
HighMediumLowrivers & seaHighMediumLowsurface waterAsh and Ash Vale’s built-up area

The river and sea risk follows the River Blackwater and the Cove Brook. Surface-water risk is spread across the town, in dips, underpasses and along small streams, which is why more homes are exposed to it.

Rivers and the sea

2.1% of Ash and Ash Vale’s homes are at high or medium risk from rivers or the sea

The Environment Agency’s national map, allowing for defences. A further 8.2% are at low risk.

High risk1.8%of homes · 1 in 30 a year or more203 homes, EA count
Medium risk0.3%of homes · 1 in 30 to 1 in 10026 homes, EA count
Low risk8.2%of homes · 1 in 100 to 1 in 1,000875 homes, EA count
Where Ash and Ash Vale sits among 3,735 UK towns
35%None
23%Under 0.5%
9%0.5–1%
11%1–2%
11%2–5%Ash and Ash Vale
5%5–10%
3%10–20%
2%20% +

Share of each UK town’s homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. 35% of UK towns have none; Ash and Ash Vale has more than 79% of towns.

Towns its size: 206th of 270 from the fewest homes at risk
#TownPeopleHigh or med.
1Lichfield Staffordshire32,5860%
2Harpenden Hertfordshire30,9640%
3Northfleet Kent29,8920%
…
204Thornaby-on-Tees North Yorkshire23,3522%
205Rugeley Staffordshire26,1492.1%
206Ash and Ash Vale Surrey24,2842.1%
207Redhill Surrey32,5162.1%
208Seaford East Sussex23,8652.1%
…
269Spalding Lincolnshire30,55284%
270Goole East Riding of Yorkshire20,17394%

UK towns of 17,000 to 34,000 people.

The Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea (NaFRA2, June 2026) counts each postcode’s homes by band; the shares weight those postcodes by Census 2021 households. The EA counts include homes built since 2021.

Surface water

Heavy rain puts about 2.7 times as many Ash and Ash Vale homes at risk as rivers and the sea do

Surface water is rain that falls faster than drains and the ground can take it. It is mapped separately from rivers and the sea, and it is not in the Hazard risk Grade.

Surface water5.6%
Rivers and the sea2.1%
0%7%14% of homes

About 3.2% of homes are at high risk of surface-water flooding (a 1 in 30 chance or more each year) and 2.4% at medium risk: roughly 600 households. A further 6.6% face a low risk from surface water. That is more than 74% of UK towns.

~600
households at high or medium risk
6.6%
of homes at low risk
74%
of UK towns have a smaller share
12,840
addresses read on the map

Our estimate: every address in the town (ONS NSUL) read on the Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Surface Water map (NaFRA2, 2025), each postcode’s share weighted by its Census 2021 households. Neither agency publishes a count of homes for surface water, so treat it as a guide; one street can differ from the next.

Flood history

Ash and Ash Vale has flooded in 1 recorded year since 1968

Every flood the Environment Agency has mapped inside Ash and Ash Vale’s built-up area, newest first. The record is fullest for big river floods; small and surface-water floods are often missing.

  1. 1968January 1968: River flooding recorded11 hectares inside today’s built-up area
The worst: 196811 ha

Floodwater covered 11 hectares of what is now Ash and Ash Vale in 1968, the largest flood the record holds here (January).

255 of Ash and Ash Vale’s households today live inside the outline of a recorded flood.

River levels

The River Blackwater in October 2020 rose to its 2nd-highest level since 1994

The highest level each winter (October to September) at the Environment Agency’s Farnborough gauge (Mytchett), since 1994. The river normally runs between 0.36 m and 1.60 m here.

Highest level each winter, metres
Winter 1994–95: highest 1.21 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 1995–96: highest 1.34 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 1996–97: highest 1.27 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 1997–98: highest 1.22 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 1998–99: highest 1.26 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 1999–00: highest 1.32 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2000–01: highest 1.64 m on 30 October 2000 · 1 days above the normal rangeWinter 2001–02: highest 1.44 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2002–03: highest 1.32 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2003–04: highest 1.35 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2004–05: highest 1.31 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2005–06: highest 1.94 m on 14 August 2006 · 3 days above the normal rangeWinter 2006–07: highest 1.68 m on 20 July 2007 · 2 days above the normal rangeWinter 2007–08: highest 1.37 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2008–09: highest 1.48 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2009–10: highest 1.40 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2010–11: highest 1.31 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2011–12: highest 1.37 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2012–13: highest 1.24 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2013–14: highest 1.52 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2014–15: highest 1.34 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2015–16: highest 1.42 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2017–18: highest 1.38 m · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2018–19: highest 1.56 m on 11 June 2019 · 0 days above the normal rangeWinter 2019–20: highest 1.64 m on 16 February 2020 · 1 days above the normal rangeWinter 2020–21: highest 1.72 m on 4 October 2020 · 4 days above the normal range’05–06’20–21’06–07Record 1.94 m, 2006Top of normal range
1994–952020–21
The highest days on record
  • 14 August 20061.94 m
  • 4 October 20201.72 m
  • 20 July 20071.68 m
  • 30 October 20001.64 m
  • 16 February 20201.64 m
  • 18 June 20211.63 m

The River Blackwater has topped its normal range on 11 days since 1994, most in the winters of 2020–21 and 2005–06. By its highest day, the winter of 2020–21 was the 2nd-highest of the 26.

Environment Agency Hydrology API, Farnborough (station 2427TH), daily maximum level; the record and normal range from the EA’s stage scale. Live river levels are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding.

Flood warnings

No flood warning or alert is in force for Ash and Ash Vale · 0 warnings in 20 years

The Environment Agency has 1 flood warning area and 1 alert area reaching into the town; warnings since the service began in 2006.

Now: no flood warnings or alerts for Ash and Ash Vale (checked 9 November 2026, 15:43). Check for flooding on GOV.UK →
Warnings and alerts each year for areas in Ash and Ash Vale
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
Flood warning (flooding expected)Flood alert (flooding possible)

None of Ash and Ash Vale’s 1 flood warning area has had a flood warning since the service began in 2006.

Show the 2 warning and alert areas
AreaKindSince 2006Now
River Blackwater at Aldershot and FarnboroughWarning area0None
River Blackwater and The Cove BrookAlert area101None

Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (first issues only, not updates; “flood watch” counted as an alert before 2011) and the real-time flood-monitoring API. Sign up for free warnings on GOV.UK or call Floodline, 0345 988 1188.

Radon

Parts of Ash and Ash Vale are in radon Affected Areas, up to the 5–10% band

Radon is a natural radioactive gas from the ground; long exposure raises the risk of lung cancer. The atlas gives the chance that a home in each 1 km square is above the UK action level (200 Bq/m³).

SU8847: 5–10% of homes above the action levelSU8848: 1–3% of homes above the action levelSU8849: 1–3% of homes above the action levelSU8850: 1–3% of homes above the action levelSU8851: 1–3% of homes above the action levelSU8852: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU8853: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU8854: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU8855: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU8856: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU8948: 1–3% of homes above the action levelSU8949: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU8950: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU8951: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU8952: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU8953: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU8954: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU8955: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU9050: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSU9051: Under 1% of homes above the action level© OpenStreetMap contributors · BGS/UKHSA
Under 1%1–3%5–10%
Share of the town’s area in each band
Under 1% of homes77%
1–3% of homes23%
5–10% of homes0%

23% of Ash and Ash Vale’s built-up area is in a radon Affected Area (1% of homes or more above the action level), and 0% in squares of 5% or more, mostly on the south side of the town.

The squares are indicative: each takes the highest band found anywhere inside it, so most homes in a coloured square are below it. Only a three-month test in the home gives a real answer.

BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3. Check an address at UKradon.org.

Neighbours

Flood risk in the places around Ash and Ash Vale

Share of homes at high or medium and at low risk from rivers and the sea. Tap a town for its page.

ABCD
TownPeopleHigh or mediumLowHazard
Ash and Ash Vale24,2842.1%8.2%C−
Aldershot39,8270.5%1.1%C+
Badshot Lea1,8832.2%2.9%C−
Normandy1,6650.1%0.3%B−
Farnborough60,665under 0.1%2.3%B
Weybourne11,2410.4%0.2%C+
Deepcut2,1630%0%A
Frimley15,1011.1%3.1%C

Badshot Lea, 2.5 miles south-west, has the most homes at risk around Ash and Ash Vale (2.2% at high or medium). Deepcut has none.

Be ready

Get ready for what Ash and Ash Vale faces

Free warnings, what to do in a cloudburst, and what to check before you move.

Get the warnings
  • Sign up free for Environment Agency flood warnings by text, call or email.
  • Floodline: 0345 988 1188, 24 hours.
  • Ash and Ash Vale’s warning areas include River Blackwater at Aldershot and Farnborough.
Sign up ↗
In a cloudburst
  • Surface water rises in minutes, often with no warning issued: stay out of underpasses and dips.
  • Keep the gullies and drains outside your home clear of leaves.
  • Report a blocked road drain to the council.
Radon
  • Test over three months, in a living room and a bedroom.
  • Above 200 Bq/m³, a small sump and fan usually fixes it.
  • New homes in radon areas are built with protection: basic from 3%, full from 10%.
UKradon ↗
Before you buy or rent in Ash and Ash Vale
  • Check the address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service: it gives rivers and sea and surface water separately.
  • Ask whether the home has flooded or had a flood insurance claim; the TA6 property form asks the seller.
  • Homes built before 2009 can get flood cover through Flood Re, the government-backed scheme; newer homes can’t.
  • Check radon for the address on UKradon.org (a small fee) or ask the seller for a test result.
How to read these numbers

What this data can and can’t tell you

  • Defences are counted. Both agencies’ maps allow for flood defences and the chance they are overtopped or fail, so a town behind a defence scheme can show few homes at high risk and many at low risk.
  • Surface water is our estimate. Neither agency publishes a count of homes at risk from surface water, so we read each address on the map. A flat on a hill and a basement in a dip can share a postcode.
  • Past floods are what was recorded. The flood outlines come from surveys, aerial photographs and reports; many small floods, and most surface-water floods, were never mapped.
  • One town, many streets. Risk is street by street. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service before you buy or rent.

Check the long-term flood risk for an address on GOV.UK →

Questions about flooding and hazards in Ash and Ash Vale

Does Ash and Ash Vale flood?

The last flood the Environment Agency recorded inside the town was in January 1968. 2.1% of homes are at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea on the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences. About 5.6% of homes are at high or medium risk from surface water, when heavy rain overwhelms the drains. Ash and Ash Vale grades C− for hazard risk against UK towns.

Which parts of Ash and Ash Vale are at risk of flooding?

From rivers and the sea, the places the Environment Agency warns directly: River Blackwater at Aldershot and Farnborough. Surface water can collect in low spots anywhere in the town. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service.

When did Ash and Ash Vale last flood?

The recorded flood outlines inside the town run from 1968 to 1968 (1 years); the largest was in 1968.

Is Ash and Ash Vale at risk of surface water flooding?

About 3.2% of homes are at high risk and 2.4% at medium risk from surface water, against 2.1% at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. Surface water floods come with little warning, and the agencies don’t issue warnings for them.

Is radon a problem in Ash and Ash Vale?

23% of the town’s built-up area is in a radon Affected Area on the BGS/UKHSA atlas, and 0% is in 1 km squares where 5% or more of homes may be above the action level. Most homes are below it; a three-month test is the only way to know.

Are there flood warnings in Ash and Ash Vale now?

No flood warning or alert was in force near Ash and Ash Vale at 9 November 2026, 15:43. Live warnings are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding service and Floodline, 0345 988 1188.

Contains Environment Agency information © Environment Agency and/or database right 2026. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026.

Sources: Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea, postcodes in areas at risk (June 2026); Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales (May 2026); ONS Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Surface Water (NaFRA2, 2025) and Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales surface water and small watercourses, read at every address (ONS National Statistics UPRN Lookup, September 2026) and weighted by Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Recorded Flood Outlines and Natural Resources Wales historic flood map, inside the ONS 2022 built-up-area boundary · Environment Agency Hydrology API (daily maximum river level) and flood-monitoring stage scales · Environment Agency real-time flood-monitoring API · Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (January 2006 to June 2026) and flood warning and alert areas · BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3, by 1 km square · TownRatings grades: our own summary of the data, ranked against UK towns only. All under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026 (ONS boundaries). Northern Ireland: Source: NISRA; contains Land & Property Services data and Ordnance Survey of Northern Ireland information, © Crown copyright, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Scotland: contains National Records of Scotland data, Registers of Scotland data and SEPA data, © Crown copyright / © SEPA 2025, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.