Photo: David Lally · CC BY-SA 2.04.1% of Carlton’s homes are at high or medium flood risk from rivers or the sea, 6.1% from surface water
On the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences, “high or medium” means at least a 1 in 100 chance of flooding from rivers or the sea in any year. Carlton’s Hazard risk Grade is D: #47 of 49 in Nottinghamshire.
What stands out about Carlton’s hazards
From the Environment Agency’s maps and records and the BGS radon atlas, below.
What Carlton faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Rivers and the sea
Surface water
Past floods
The River Trent
Flood warnings
Radon
Carlton grades D for hazard risk
Flood risk from rivers and the sea, against all UK towns.
The share of homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea, ranked against every UK town of 1,000 or more: fewer homes at risk is better. Towns with none at high or medium risk are ordered by their share at low risk, so they don’t all share one score. Surface water and radon aren’t graded: they are described below.
Where the water goes in Carlton
Turn layers on and off. Blue is the risk from rivers and the sea; pink is where heavy rain collects. Both allow for flood defences.
The river and sea risk follows the River Trent, the River Greet and the Potwell Dyke. Surface-water risk is spread across the town, in dips, underpasses and along small streams, which is why more homes are exposed to it.
4.1% of Carlton’s homes are at high or medium risk from rivers or the sea
The Environment Agency’s national map, allowing for defences. A further 7% are at low risk.
Share of each UK town’s homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. 35% of UK towns have none; Carlton has more than 88% of towns.
| # | Town | People | High or med. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dudley West Midlands | 64,277 | 0% | |
| 2 | Smethwick West Midlands | 56,343 | 0% | |
| 3 | Bootle Merseyside | 53,722 | 0% | |
| … | ||||
| 122 | Bridgwater Somerset | 47,846 | 4% | |
| 123 | Havant Hampshire | 46,964 | 4% | |
| 124 | Carlton Nottinghamshire | 53,555 | 4.1% | |
| 125 | Salisbury Wiltshire | 47,690 | 4.5% | |
| 126 | Loughborough Leicestershire | 64,850 | 4.6% | |
| … | ||||
| 130 | Neath West Glamorgan | 40,738 | 7.2% | |
| 131 | West Molesey Surrey | 47,144 | 7.2% | |
UK towns of 37,000 to 75,000 people.
The Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea (NaFRA2, June 2026) counts each postcode’s homes by band; the shares weight those postcodes by Census 2021 households. The EA counts include homes built since 2021.
Heavy rain puts about 1.5 times as many Carlton homes at risk as rivers and the sea do
Surface water is rain that falls faster than drains and the ground can take it. It is mapped separately from rivers and the sea, and it is not in the Hazard risk Grade.
About 2.4% of homes are at high risk of surface-water flooding (a 1 in 30 chance or more each year) and 3.7% at medium risk: roughly 1,470 households. A further 12% face a low risk from surface water. That is more than 78% of UK towns.
Our estimate: every address in the town (ONS NSUL) read on the Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Surface Water map (NaFRA2, 2025), each postcode’s share weighted by its Census 2021 households. Neither agency publishes a count of homes for surface water, so treat it as a guide; one street can differ from the next.
Carlton has flooded in 6 recorded years since 1932, most of all in 1947
Every flood the Environment Agency has mapped inside Carlton’s built-up area, newest first. The record is fullest for big river floods; small and surface-water floods are often missing.
- 2007June 2007: River flooding recorded3 hectares inside today’s built-up area · Crock Dumble Burton Joyce
- 2000October and November 2000: River flooding recorded1 hectare inside today’s built-up area · Fluvial Trent
- 1977February 1977: River flooding recorded10 hectares inside today’s built-up area · Fluvial Trent
- 1947March 1947: River flooding recorded190 hectares inside today’s built-up area · Fluvial Trent
- 1946February 1946: River flooding recorded120 hectares inside today’s built-up area
- 1932January and May 1932: River flooding recorded88 hectares inside today’s built-up area · Trent Gunthorpe - Newark, Trent Nottingham & West Bridgford
Floodwater covered 190 hectares of what is now Carlton in 1947, the largest flood the record holds here (March).
1,653 of Carlton’s households today live inside the outline of a recorded flood.
Since 1947, the largest recorded flood inside the town covered 10 hectares.
The River Trent at Colwick: highest 5.50 m, in November 2000
The highest level each winter (October to September) at the Environment Agency’s Colwick gauge (Holme Pierrepont), since 1990. The river normally runs between 1.01 m and 3.60 m here.
- 8 November 20005.50 m
- 4 January 20245.34 m
- 22 October 20235.00 m
- 18 February 20204.98 m
- 27 November 20124.91 m
- 8 January 20254.90 m
The River Trent has topped its normal range on 194 days since 1990, most in the winters of 2023–24 and 2019–20. By its highest day, the winter of 2025–26 was the 9th-highest of the 36.
Environment Agency Hydrology API, Colwick (station 4009), daily maximum level; the record and normal range from the EA’s stage scale. Live river levels are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding.
No flood warning or alert is in force for Carlton · 28 warnings in 20 years
The Environment Agency has 8 flood warning areas and 2 alert areas reaching into the town; warnings since the service began in 2006.
The warning area covering the most of Carlton, River Trent at Colwick and Victoria Park, has not had a flood warning since 2006. Of the 28 warnings, 9 were for River Trent at Gunthorpe including the A6097 and 9 for River Trent at Holme Pierrepont for the National Watersports Centre.
2023 had the most warnings (6); 2019 the most alerts (26). The most recent warning was on 12 March 2026.
Show the 10 warning and alert areas
| Area | Kind | Since 2006 | Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| River Trent at Holme Pierrepont for the National Watersports Centre | Warning area | 9 | None |
| River Trent at Gunthorpe including the A6097 | Warning area | 9 | None |
| River Trent at Stoke Bardolph | Warning area | 4 | None |
| Ouse Dyke at Gedling and Carlton | Warning area | 4 | None |
| Ouse Dyke and River Trent at Netherfield | Warning area | 2 | None |
| River Trent at Burton Joyce | Warning area | 0 | None |
| River Trent at Colwick Racecourse | Warning area | 0 | None |
| River Trent at Colwick and Victoria Park | Warning area | 0 | None |
| River Trent Tributaries in Nottinghamshire | Alert area | 140 | None |
| River Trent in Nottinghamshire | Alert area | 71 | None |
Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (first issues only, not updates; “flood watch” counted as an alert before 2011) and the real-time flood-monitoring API. Sign up for free warnings on GOV.UK or call Floodline, 0345 988 1188.
Parts of Carlton are in radon Affected Areas, at the low end
Radon is a natural radioactive gas from the ground; long exposure raises the risk of lung cancer. The atlas gives the chance that a home in each 1 km square is above the UK action level (200 Bq/m³).
52% of Carlton’s built-up area is in a radon Affected Area (1% of homes or more above the action level).
The squares are indicative: each takes the highest band found anywhere inside it, so most homes in a coloured square are below it. Only a three-month test in the home gives a real answer.
BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3. Check an address at UKradon.org.
Flood risk in the places around Carlton
Share of homes at high or medium and at low risk from rivers and the sea. Tap a town for its page.
| Town | People | High or medium | Low | Hazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton | 53,555 | 4.1% | 7% | D |
| Arnold | 40,016 | under 0.1% | under 0.1% | B |
| Radcliffe on Trent | 7,205 | 1.6% | 1.3% | C− |
| Gamston (Rushcliffe) | 2,171 | 0% | 0.4% | B+ |
| Nottingham | 299,786 | 3.6% | 3.7% | D |
| Woodborough | 1,649 | 10% | 6.6% | D− |
| West Bridgford | 36,489 | 1.3% | 39% | C |
| Calverton | 7,318 | 2.1% | 0.9% | C− |
Woodborough, 3.6 miles north, has the most homes at risk around Carlton (10% at high or medium). Gamston (Rushcliffe) has none.
Get ready for what Carlton faces
Free warnings, what to do in a cloudburst, and what to check before you move.
- Sign up free for Environment Agency flood warnings by text, call or email.
- Floodline: 0345 988 1188, 24 hours.
- Carlton’s warning areas include River Trent at Colwick and Victoria Park and River Trent at Stoke Bardolph.
- Surface water rises in minutes, often with no warning issued: stay out of underpasses and dips.
- Keep the gullies and drains outside your home clear of leaves.
- Report a blocked road drain to the council.
- Test over three months, in a living room and a bedroom.
- Above 200 Bq/m³, a small sump and fan usually fixes it.
- New homes in radon areas are built with protection: basic from 3%, full from 10%.
- Check the address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service: it gives rivers and sea and surface water separately.
- Ask whether the home has flooded or had a flood insurance claim; the TA6 property form asks the seller.
- Homes built before 2009 can get flood cover through Flood Re, the government-backed scheme; newer homes can’t.
- Check radon for the address on UKradon.org (a small fee) or ask the seller for a test result.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Defences are counted. Both agencies’ maps allow for flood defences and the chance they are overtopped or fail, so a town behind a defence scheme can show few homes at high risk and many at low risk.
- Surface water is our estimate. Neither agency publishes a count of homes at risk from surface water, so we read each address on the map. A flat on a hill and a basement in a dip can share a postcode.
- Past floods are what was recorded. The flood outlines come from surveys, aerial photographs and reports; many small floods, and most surface-water floods, were never mapped.
- One town, many streets. Risk is street by street. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service before you buy or rent.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Carlton
Does Carlton flood?
The last flood the Environment Agency recorded inside the town was in June 2007. 4.1% of homes are at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea on the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences. About 6.1% of homes are at high or medium risk from surface water, when heavy rain overwhelms the drains. Carlton grades D for hazard risk against UK towns.
Which parts of Carlton are at risk of flooding?
From rivers and the sea, the places the Environment Agency warns directly: River Trent at Gunthorpe including the A6097, River Trent at Holme Pierrepont for the National Watersports Centre, River Trent at Stoke Bardolph and Ouse Dyke at Gedling and Carlton. Surface water can collect in low spots anywhere in the town. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service.
When did Carlton last flood?
The recorded flood outlines inside the town run from 1932 to 2007 (6 years); the largest was in 1947. Flood warnings have been issued for parts of the town since 2006, most recently on 12 March 2026.
Is Carlton at risk of surface water flooding?
About 2.4% of homes are at high risk and 3.7% at medium risk from surface water, against 4.1% at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. Surface water floods come with little warning, and the agencies don’t issue warnings for them.
Is radon a problem in Carlton?
52% of the town’s built-up area is in a radon Affected Area on the BGS/UKHSA atlas. Most homes are below it; a three-month test is the only way to know.
Are there flood warnings in Carlton now?
No flood warning or alert was in force near Carlton at 11 November 2026, 06:21. Live warnings are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding service and Floodline, 0345 988 1188.
Contains Environment Agency information © Environment Agency and/or database right 2026. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026.
Sources: Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea, postcodes in areas at risk (June 2026); Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales (May 2026); ONS Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Surface Water (NaFRA2, 2025) and Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales surface water and small watercourses, read at every address (ONS National Statistics UPRN Lookup, September 2026) and weighted by Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Recorded Flood Outlines and Natural Resources Wales historic flood map, inside the ONS 2022 built-up-area boundary · Environment Agency Hydrology API (daily maximum river level) and flood-monitoring stage scales · Environment Agency real-time flood-monitoring API · Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (January 2006 to June 2026) and flood warning and alert areas · BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3, by 1 km square · TownRatings grades: our own summary of the data, ranked against UK towns only. All under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026 (ONS boundaries). Northern Ireland: Source: NISRA; contains Land & Property Services data and Ordnance Survey of Northern Ireland information, © Crown copyright, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Scotland: contains National Records of Scotland data, Registers of Scotland data and SEPA data, © Crown copyright / © SEPA 2025, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.