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D−Hazard risk Grade
Flood & hazards in Carlton · Environment Agency

41% of Carlton’s homes are at high or medium risk from rivers or the sea, more than in 99% of UK towns

On the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences, “high or medium” means at least a 1 in 100 chance of flooding from rivers or the sea in any year. Carlton’s Hazard risk Grade is D−.

In brief

What stands out about Carlton’s hazards

From the Environment Agency’s maps and records and the BGS radon atlas, below.

By hazard

What Carlton faces

Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.

Not on this page: coastal erosion, subsidence and shrink-swell ground (the British Geological Survey licenses it), groundwater flooding and reservoir failure.
Hazard risk Grade

Carlton grades D− for hazard risk

Flood risk from rivers and the sea, against all UK towns.

Homes at high or medium flood risk (41%)Fewer than 1% of UK towns

The share of homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea, ranked against every UK town of 1,000 or more: fewer homes at risk is better. Towns with none at high or medium risk are ordered by their share at low risk, so they don’t all share one score. Surface water and radon aren’t graded: they are described below.

Flood map

Where the water goes in Carlton

Turn layers on and off. Blue is the risk from rivers and the sea; pink is where heavy rain collects. Both allow for flood defences.

© OpenStreetMap contributors · EA NaFRA2
HighMediumLowrivers & seaHighMediumLowsurface waterCarlton’s built-up area

The river and sea risk follows the River Aire. Surface-water risk is patchier: dips, underpasses and small streams.

Rivers and the sea

41% of Carlton’s homes are at high or medium risk from rivers or the sea

The Environment Agency’s national map, allowing for defences. A further 0.3% are at low risk.

High risk2.8%of homes · 1 in 30 a year or more28 homes, EA count
Medium risk38%of homes · 1 in 30 to 1 in 100375 homes, EA count
Low risk0.3%of homes · 1 in 100 to 1 in 1,0004 homes, EA count
Where Carlton sits among 3,735 UK towns
35%None
23%Under 0.5%
9%0.5–1%
11%1–2%
11%2–5%
5%5–10%
3%10–20%
2%20% +Carlton

Share of each UK town’s homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. 35% of UK towns have none; Carlton has more than 99% of towns.

The Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea (NaFRA2, June 2026) counts each postcode’s homes by band; the shares weight those postcodes by Census 2021 households. The EA counts include homes built since 2021.

Surface water

Rivers and the sea, more than heavy rain, are Carlton’s flood risk

Surface water is rain that falls faster than drains and the ground can take it. It is mapped separately from rivers and the sea, and it is not in the Hazard risk Grade.

Surface water5%
Rivers and the sea41%
0%21%42% of homes

About 0.3% of homes are at high risk of surface-water flooding (a 1 in 30 chance or more each year) and 4.7% at medium risk: roughly 50 households. A further 7.4% face a low risk from surface water. That is more than 69% of UK towns.

~50
households at high or medium risk
7.4%
of homes at low risk
69%
of UK towns have a smaller share
1,523
addresses read on the map

Our estimate: every address in the village (ONS NSUL) read on the Environment Agency’s Risk of Flooding from Surface Water map (NaFRA2, 2025), each postcode’s share weighted by its Census 2021 households. Neither agency publishes a count of homes for surface water, so treat it as a guide; one street can differ from the next.

River levels

The River Aire at Carlton Bridge: highest 6.35 m, in February 2001

The highest level each winter (October to September) at the Environment Agency’s Carlton Bridge gauge (Snaith), since 1996. The river normally runs between 0.00 m and 4.00 m here.

Highest level each winter, metres
Winter 1996–97: highest 4.56 m · 5 days above the normal rangeWinter 1997–98: highest 4.55 m · 8 days above the normal rangeWinter 1998–99: highest 4.58 m · 10 days above the normal rangeWinter 1999–00: highest 4.71 m on 4 June 2000 · 9 days above the normal rangeWinter 2001–02: highest 4.53 m · 10 days above the normal rangeWinter 2002–03: highest 4.39 m · 3 days above the normal rangeWinter 2003–04: highest 4.44 m · 8 days above the normal rangeWinter 2004–05: highest 4.55 m · 4 days above the normal rangeWinter 2005–06: highest 4.28 m · 5 days above the normal rangeWinter 2006–07: highest 4.50 m · 14 days above the normal rangeWinter 2007–08: highest 4.52 m · 16 days above the normal rangeWinter 2008–09: highest 4.01 m · 1 days above the normal rangeWinter 2009–10: highest 4.45 m · 6 days above the normal rangeWinter 2010–11: highest 4.52 m · 8 days above the normal rangeWinter 2011–12: highest 4.51 m · 15 days above the normal rangeWinter 2013–14: highest 4.28 m · 3 days above the normal rangeWinter 2014–15: highest 4.42 m · 3 days above the normal rangeWinter 2015–16: highest 4.63 m on 27 December 2015 · 24 days above the normal rangeWinter 2016–17: highest 4.32 m · 2 days above the normal rangeWinter 2017–18: highest 4.57 m · 6 days above the normal rangeWinter 2018–19: highest 4.62 m · 7 days above the normal rangeWinter 2019–20: highest 4.76 m on 25 February 2020 · 31 days above the normal rangeWinter 2020–21: highest 4.50 m · 22 days above the normal rangeWinter 2021–22: highest 4.57 m · 10 days above the normal rangeWinter 2022–23: highest 4.48 m · 7 days above the normal rangeWinter 2023–24: highest 4.54 m · 25 days above the normal rangeWinter 2024–25: highest 4.57 m · 12 days above the normal rangeWinter 2025–26: highest 4.46 m · 7 days above the normal range’19–20’99–00’15–16Record 6.35 m, 2001Top of normal range
1996–972025–26
The highest days on record
  • 25 February 20204.76 m
  • 4 June 20004.71 m
  • 1 October 20194.65 m
  • 8 March 20004.64 m
  • 27 December 20154.63 m
  • 9 February 20164.61 m

The River Aire has topped its normal range on 281 days since 1996, most in the winters of 2019–20 and 2023–24. By its highest day, the winter of 2025–26 was the 20th-highest of the 28.

Environment Agency Hydrology API, Carlton Bridge (station L1801), daily maximum level; the record and normal range from the EA’s stage scale. Live river levels are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding.

Flood warnings

No flood warning or alert is in force for Carlton · 0 warnings in 20 years

The Environment Agency has 1 flood warning area and 1 alert area reaching into the village; warnings since the service began in 2006.

Now: no flood warnings or alerts for Carlton (checked 10 November 2026, 16:26). Check for flooding on GOV.UK →
Warnings and alerts each year for areas in Carlton
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
Flood warning (flooding expected)Flood alert (flooding possible)

None of Carlton’s 1 flood warning area has had a flood warning since the service began in 2006.

Show the 2 warning and alert areas
AreaKindSince 2006Now
River Aire at CarltonWarning area0None
Tidal River Aire catchmentAlert area44None

Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (first issues only, not updates; “flood watch” counted as an alert before 2011) and the real-time flood-monitoring API. Sign up for free warnings on GOV.UK or call Floodline, 0345 988 1188.

Radon

Carlton is in the lowest radon band

Radon is a natural radioactive gas from the ground; long exposure raises the risk of lung cancer. The atlas gives the chance that a home in each 1 km square is above the UK action level (200 Bq/m³).

SE6423: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSE6424: Under 1% of homes above the action levelSE6524: Under 1% of homes above the action level© OpenStreetMap contributors · BGS/UKHSA
Under 1%
Share of the village’s area in each band
Under 1% of homes100%

Every 1 km square over Carlton is in the lowest band: fewer than 1 in 100 homes are expected to be above the action level.

BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3. Check an address at UKradon.org.

Neighbours

Flood risk in the places around Carlton

Share of homes at high or medium and at low risk from rivers and the sea. Tap a town for its page.

ABCD
TownPeopleHigh or mediumLowHazard
Carlton2,04041%0.3%D−
Camblesforth1,55745%13%D−
Snaith3,5575.7%2.9%D
Rawcliffe1,58052%28%D−
Hemingbrough1,87422%4%D−
Brayton4,0920.1%40%B−
Selby19,48012%80%D−
Eggborough2,4400%0%A

Rawcliffe, 2.5 miles east, has the most homes at risk around Carlton (52% at high or medium). Eggborough has none.

Be ready

Get ready for what Carlton faces

Free warnings, what to do in a cloudburst, and what to check before you move.

Get the warnings
  • Sign up free for Environment Agency flood warnings by text, call or email.
  • Floodline: 0345 988 1188, 24 hours.
  • Carlton’s warning areas include River Aire at Carlton.
Sign up ↗
In a cloudburst
  • Surface water rises in minutes, often with no warning issued: stay out of underpasses and dips.
  • Keep the gullies and drains outside your home clear of leaves.
  • Report a blocked road drain to the council.
When the river rises
  • Never walk or drive through floodwater: 30 cm of moving water can float a car.
  • Move valuables, papers and medicines upstairs.
  • Turn off gas, electricity and water if you’re told to.
Before you buy or rent in Carlton
  • Check the address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service: it gives rivers and sea and surface water separately.
  • Ask whether the home has flooded or had a flood insurance claim; the TA6 property form asks the seller.
  • Homes built before 2009 can get flood cover through Flood Re, the government-backed scheme; newer homes can’t.
How to read these numbers

What this data can and can’t tell you

  • Defences are counted. Both agencies’ maps allow for flood defences and the chance they are overtopped or fail, so a town behind a defence scheme can show few homes at high risk and many at low risk.
  • Surface water is our estimate. Neither agency publishes a count of homes at risk from surface water, so we read each address on the map. A flat on a hill and a basement in a dip can share a postcode.
  • One town, many streets. Risk is street by street. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service before you buy or rent.

Check the long-term flood risk for an address on GOV.UK →

Questions about flooding and hazards in Carlton

Does Carlton flood?

41% of homes are at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea on the Environment Agency’s maps, which allow for flood defences. About 5% of homes are at high or medium risk from surface water, when heavy rain overwhelms the drains. Carlton grades D− for hazard risk against UK towns.

Which parts of Carlton are at risk of flooding?

From rivers and the sea, the places the Environment Agency warns directly: River Aire at Carlton. Surface water can collect in low spots anywhere in the village. Check a specific address on GOV.UK’s long-term flood risk service.

Is Carlton at risk of surface water flooding?

About 0.3% of homes are at high risk and 4.7% at medium risk from surface water, against 41% at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. Surface water floods come with little warning, and the agencies don’t issue warnings for them.

Is radon a problem in Carlton?

Not by the atlas: every 1 km square over Carlton is in the lowest band, where fewer than 1 in 100 homes are expected to be above the action level.

Are there flood warnings in Carlton now?

No flood warning or alert was in force near Carlton at 10 November 2026, 16:26. Live warnings are on GOV.UK’s Check for flooding service and Floodline, 0345 988 1188.

Contains Environment Agency information © Environment Agency and/or database right 2026. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026.

Sources: Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea, postcodes in areas at risk (June 2026); Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales (May 2026); ONS Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Surface Water (NaFRA2, 2025) and Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales surface water and small watercourses, read at every address (ONS National Statistics UPRN Lookup, September 2026) and weighted by Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Hydrology API (daily maximum river level) and flood-monitoring stage scales · Environment Agency real-time flood-monitoring API · Environment Agency Historic Flood Warnings (January 2006 to June 2026) and flood warning and alert areas · BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3, by 1 km square · TownRatings grades: our own summary of the data, ranked against UK towns only. All under the Open Government Licence v3.0.

Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026 (ONS boundaries). Northern Ireland: Source: NISRA; contains Land & Property Services data and Ordnance Survey of Northern Ireland information, © Crown copyright, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Scotland: contains National Records of Scotland data, Registers of Scotland data and SEPA data, © Crown copyright / © SEPA 2025, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.