Photo: Jo and Steve Turner · CC BY-SA 2.03.7% of Caerleon’s homes are at high or medium flood risk from rivers or the sea, 0.2% from surface water
On Natural Resources Wales’s maps, which allow for flood defences, “high or medium” means at least a 1 in 100 chance of flooding from rivers or the sea in any year (1 in 200 for the sea in Wales). Hazard risk puts Caerleon at D: #35 of 38 in Gwent.
What stands out about Caerleon’s hazards
From Natural Resources Wales’s maps and records and the BGS radon atlas, below.
What Caerleon faces
Each hazard against its own yardstick; meters run from low to high on that yardstick.
Rivers and the sea
Surface water
Past floods
Radon
Caerleon grades D for hazard risk
Flood risk from rivers and the sea, against all UK towns.
The share of homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea, ranked against every UK town of 1,000 or more: fewer homes at risk is better. Towns with none at high or medium risk are ordered by their share at low risk, so they don’t all share one score. Surface water and radon aren’t graded: they are described below.
Where the water goes in Caerleon
Turn layers on and off. Blue is the risk from rivers and the sea; pink is where heavy rain collects. Both allow for flood defences.
The river and sea risk follows the River Lwyd, the Usk Estuary and the River Usk. Surface-water risk is patchier: dips, underpasses and small streams.
3.7% of Caerleon’s homes are at high or medium risk from rivers or the sea
Natural Resources Wales’s national map, allowing for defences. A further 12% are at low risk.
Share of each UK town’s homes at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. 35% of UK towns have none; Caerleon has more than 87% of towns.
| # | Town | People | High or med. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings Hill Kent | 9,963 | 0% | |
| 2 | Whitchurch Shropshire | 9,856 | 0% | |
| 3 | Queensbury West Yorkshire | 9,707 | 0% | |
| … | ||||
| 461 | Coleford Gloucestershire | 5,023 | 3.6% | |
| 462 | Hayle Cornwall | 9,040 | 3.7% | |
| 463 | Caerleon Gwent | 7,329 | 3.7% | |
| 464 | Beccles Suffolk | 9,807 | 3.8% | |
| 465 | London Colney Hertfordshire | 7,932 | 3.8% | |
| … | ||||
| 537 | Sutton on Sea and Trusthorpe Lincolnshire | 5,042 | 42% | |
| 538 | Stainforth South Yorkshire | 5,999 | 63% | |
UK towns of 5,000 to 10,000 people.
Natural Resources Wales’s Flood Risk Assessment Wales map (May 2026) tested against every address in the town (ONS NSUL), weighted by Census 2021 households. Rivers and sea can overlap; the worse band counts.
Rivers and the sea, more than heavy rain, are Caerleon’s flood risk
Surface water is rain that falls faster than drains and the ground can take it. It is mapped separately from rivers and the sea, and it is not in the Hazard risk Grade.
About 0.1% of homes are at high risk of surface-water flooding (a 1 in 30 chance or more each year) and under 0.1% at medium risk: roughly 10 households. A further 0.2% face a low risk from surface water. That is more than 2% of UK towns.
Our estimate: every address in the town (ONS NSUL) read on Natural Resources Wales’s Flood Risk Assessment Wales map of surface water and small watercourses, each postcode’s share weighted by its Census 2021 households. Neither agency publishes a count of homes for surface water, so treat it as a guide; one street can differ from the next.
Caerleon has flooded in 3 recorded years since 1979, most of all in 1979
Every flood Natural Resources Wales has mapped inside Caerleon’s built-up area, newest first. The record is fullest for big river floods; small and surface-water floods are often missing.
- 2024November 2024: The River Llwyd overflowed3 hectares inside today’s built-up area · Caerleon, Afon Llwyd, Storm Bert
- 2014January 2014: The sea came in2 hectares inside today’s built-up area
- 1979December 1979: River flooding recorded9 hectares inside today’s built-up area
Floodwater covered 9 hectares of what is now Caerleon in 1979, the largest flood the record holds here (December).
147 of Caerleon’s households today live inside the outline of a recorded flood.
Since 1979, the largest recorded flood inside the town covered 3 hectares.
Natural Resources Wales warns 3 areas in Caerleon
Natural Resources Wales issues flood alerts and warnings for Wales; the Environment Agency’s live service covers England only. Both run Floodline, 0345 988 1188.
Show the 6 warning and alert areas
| Area | Kind | River or sea |
|---|---|---|
| River Usk in Monmouthshire and Newport | Alert area | River Usk |
| Rivers Ebbw, Sirhowy and Lwyd | Alert area | River Ebbw, River Sirhowy, River Lwyd |
| Usk Estuary | Alert area | Usk Estuary |
| River Lwyd at Ponthir | Warning area | River Lwyd |
| Usk Estuary at Caerleon | Warning area | Usk Estuary |
| Usk Estuary at St Julians | Warning area | Usk Estuary |
Parts of Caerleon are in radon Affected Areas, up to the 5–10% band
Radon is a natural radioactive gas from the ground; long exposure raises the risk of lung cancer. The atlas gives the chance that a home in each 1 km square is above the UK action level (200 Bq/m³).
100% of Caerleon’s built-up area is in a radon Affected Area (1% of homes or more above the action level), and 77% in squares of 5% or more, mostly on the south-east side of the town.
The squares are indicative: each takes the highest band found anywhere inside it, so most homes in a coloured square are below it. Only a three-month test in the home gives a real answer.
BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3. Check an address at UKradon.org.
Flood risk in the places around Caerleon
Share of homes at high or medium and at low risk from rivers and the sea. Tap a town for its page.
Caerleon has more homes at high or medium risk than any neighbour in the table.
Get ready for what Caerleon faces
Free warnings, what to do in a cloudburst, and what to check before you move.
- Sign up free for Natural Resources Wales flood warnings by text, call or email.
- Floodline: 0345 988 1188, 24 hours.
- Caerleon’s warning areas include River Lwyd at Ponthir and Usk Estuary at Caerleon.
- Surface water rises in minutes, often with no warning issued: stay out of underpasses and dips.
- Keep the gullies and drains outside your home clear of leaves.
- Report a blocked road drain to the council.
- Test over three months, in a living room and a bedroom.
- Above 200 Bq/m³, a small sump and fan usually fixes it.
- New homes in radon areas are built with protection: basic from 3%, full from 10%.
- Check the address on Natural Resources Wales’s flood map: it shows rivers, the sea and surface water.
- Ask whether the home has flooded or had a flood insurance claim; the TA6 property form asks the seller.
- Homes built before 2009 can get flood cover through Flood Re, the government-backed scheme; newer homes can’t.
- Check radon for the address on UKradon.org (a small fee) or ask the seller for a test result.
What this data can and can’t tell you
- Defences are counted. Both agencies’ maps allow for flood defences and the chance they are overtopped or fail, so a town behind a defence scheme can show few homes at high risk and many at low risk.
- Surface water is our estimate. Neither agency publishes a count of homes at risk from surface water, so we read each address on the map. A flat on a hill and a basement in a dip can share a postcode.
- Past floods are what was recorded. The flood outlines come from surveys, aerial photographs and reports; many small floods, and most surface-water floods, were never mapped.
- One town, many streets. Risk is street by street. Check a specific address on Natural Resources Wales’s flood risk map before you buy or rent.
- Wales is measured slightly differently. NRW publishes no count of homes at risk, so each address in the town is tested against its map. Addresses include garages, chapels and shops, and NRW’s medium band for the sea runs to 1 in 200 (England’s stops at 1 in 100), so Welsh figures lean a little higher than English ones.
Questions about flooding and hazards in Caerleon
Does Caerleon flood?
The last flood Natural Resources Wales recorded inside the town was in November 2024. 3.7% of homes are at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea on Natural Resources Wales’s maps, which allow for flood defences. About 0.2% of homes are at high or medium risk from surface water, when heavy rain overwhelms the drains. Caerleon grades D for hazard risk against UK towns.
Which parts of Caerleon are at risk of flooding?
From rivers and the sea, the places Natural Resources Wales warns directly: River Lwyd at Ponthir, Usk Estuary at Caerleon and Usk Estuary at St Julians. Surface water can collect in low spots anywhere in the town. Check a specific address on NRW’s flood risk map.
When did Caerleon last flood?
The recorded flood outlines inside the town run from 1979 to 2024 (3 years); the largest was in 1979.
Is Caerleon at risk of surface water flooding?
About 0.1% of homes are at high risk and under 0.1% at medium risk from surface water, against 3.7% at high or medium risk from rivers and the sea. Surface water floods come with little warning, and the agencies don’t issue warnings for them.
Is radon a problem in Caerleon?
100% of the town’s built-up area is in a radon Affected Area on the BGS/UKHSA atlas, and 77% is in 1 km squares where 5% or more of homes may be above the action level. Most homes are below it; a three-month test is the only way to know.
Where can I find flood warnings for Caerleon?
Natural Resources Wales issues flood warnings and alerts for Wales on its flood warnings service, and runs Floodline (0345 988 1188) with the Environment Agency.
Contains Natural Resources Wales information © Natural Resources Body for Wales and database right. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains Royal Mail data © Royal Mail copyright and database right 2026. Contains British Geological Survey materials © UKRI 2026.
Sources: Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Rivers and Sea, postcodes in areas at risk (June 2026); Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales (May 2026); ONS Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Risk of Flooding from Surface Water (NaFRA2, 2025) and Natural Resources Wales Flood Risk Assessment Wales surface water and small watercourses, read at every address (ONS National Statistics UPRN Lookup, September 2026) and weighted by Census 2021 households by postcode · Environment Agency Recorded Flood Outlines and Natural Resources Wales historic flood map, inside the ONS 2022 built-up-area boundary · BGS/UKHSA Indicative Atlas of Radon in Great Britain, version 3, by 1 km square · TownRatings grades: our own summary of the data, ranked against UK towns only. All under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026 (ONS boundaries). Northern Ireland: Source: NISRA; contains Land & Property Services data and Ordnance Survey of Northern Ireland information, © Crown copyright, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0. Scotland: contains National Records of Scotland data, Registers of Scotland data and SEPA data, © Crown copyright / © SEPA 2025, licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.